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Operational flood forecasting still relies on high-fidelity two-dimensional hydraulic solvers, but their runtime can be prohibitive for rapid decision support on large urban floodplains. In parallel, AI-based surrogate models have shown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Valentin Mercier , Serge Gratton , Lapeyre Corentin , Gwenaël Chevallet

We investigate how the extreme wave statistics of a windsea is modified by a following swell, by means of laboratory experiments and simulations using a High Order Spectral Method (HOSM) of long-crested sea. The windsea spectrum is kept…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-04-16 Susanne Støle-Hentschel , Karsten Trulsen Shkurte Olluri

This paper describes a novel machine learning (ML) framework for tropical cyclone intensity and track forecasting, combining multiple ML techniques and utilizing diverse data sources. Our multimodal framework, called Hurricast, efficiently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Léonard Boussioux , Cynthia Zeng , Théo Guénais , Dimitris Bertsimas

Geochemical processes in subsurface reservoirs affected by microbial activity change the material properties of porous media. This is a complex biogeochemical process in subsurface reservoirs that currently contains strong conceptual…

Occurrences of tropical cyclones at a location are rare, and for many locations, only short periods of observations or hindcasts are available. Hence, estimation of return values (corresponding to a period considerably longer than that for…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-16 Ryota Wada , Jeremy Rohmer , Yann Krien , Philip Jonathan

Rogue waves are associated with various ocean processes, both at the coast and in the open ocean. In either zone, inhomogeneities in the wave field caused by shoaling, crossing seas or current interactions disturb wave statistics,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-11 Saulo Mendes , Ina Teutsch , Jérôme Kasparian

A theoretical formulation for the early stage (Tropical Storm stage) of hurricane development is proposed. These solutions are not only consistent with observations but also offer some new insights into hurricane properties. This is the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Chanh Q. Kieu

Intensification of tropical storms measured as the central pressure tendency represents a subtle imbalance, of the order of $10^{-3}$, between the inflow and outflow of air in the storm core. Factors driving this imbalance, especially in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-30 Anastassia M. Makarieva , Andrei V. Nefiodov

Boundary layer turbulence in coastal regions differs from that in deep ocean because of bottom interactions. In this paper, we focus on the merging of surface and bottom boundary layers in a finite-depth coastal ocean by numerically solving…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-04-13 Chao Yan , James C. McWilliams , Marcelo Chamecki

The Model Coupling Executable Library (MCEL), developed at the University of Southern Mississippi's Center of Higher Learning, has been successfully used to couple the Coupled Ocean/Atmospheric Mesoscale Prediction System (COAMPS) and the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-04-20 Pat Fitzpatrick , Gueorgui Mostovoi , Yongzuo Li , Matt Bettencourt , Shahrdad G. Sajjadi

Modern container ships face higher wind loads due to increased windage areas, making accurate predictions of wind loads essential for mooring design. Existing empirical models, largely developed for container ships with smaller windage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Matilde Fiore , Andrea Bresciani , Miguel Alfonso Mendez , Jeroen van Beeck

Results of direct numerical simulations have been used to show that intensive thermal convection in a horizontal layer and on a hemisphere can be described by the distributed chaos approach. The vorticity and helicity dominated distributed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-02-22 A. Bershadskii

A flexible spatio-temporal model is implemented to analyse extreme extra-tropical cyclones objectively identified over the Atlantic and Europe in 6-hourly re-analyses from 1979-2009. Spatial variation in the extremal properties of the…

Applications · Statistics 2015-01-27 Theodoros Economou , David B. Stephenson , Christopher A. T. Ferro

We consider the problem of predicting power outages in an electrical power grid due to hazards produced by convective storms. These storms produce extreme weather phenomena such as intense wind, tornadoes and lightning over a small area. In…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-05-22 Roope Tervo , Joonas Karjalainen , Alexander Jung

Idealized convection-permitting simulations of radiative-convective equilibrium (RCE) have become a popular tool for understanding the physical processes leading to horizontal variability of tropical water vapor and rainfall. However, the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-19 Tom Beucler , Tristan Abbott , Timothy Cronin , Michael Pritchard

Information about the hydro-meteorological parameters during the extreme sea storms is of significant importance for the sustainable development in the context of flood risk for the coastal areas. Usually there is a lack of sufficiently…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-09-30 Vasko Galabov , Anna Kortcheva , Andrey Bogatchev , Boryana Tsenova

Stochastic inverse problems are generally solved by some form of finite sampling of a space of uncertain parameters. For computationally expensive models, surrogate response surfaces are often employed to increase the number of samples used…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Steven Mattis , Barbara Wohlmuth

Reliable estimates of sea level return levels are crucial for coastal flooding risk assessments and for coastal flood defence design. We describe a novel method for estimating extreme sea levels that is the first to capture seasonality,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-21 Eleanor D'Arcy , Jonathan A. Tawn , Amélie Joly , Dafni E. Sifnioti

Storm surge forecasting remains a critical challenge in mitigating the impacts of tropical cyclones on coastal regions, particularly given recent trends of rapid intensification and increasing nearshore storm activity. Traditional high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Noujoud Nader , Stefanos Giaremis , Clint Dawson , Carola Kaiser , Karame Mohammadiporshokooh , Hartmut Kaiser

Cartesian-grid methods in combination with immersed-body and volume-of-fluid methods are ideally suited for simulating breaking waves around ships. A surface panelization of the ship hull is used as input to impose body-boundary conditions…