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This paper is concerned with the estimation of time-varying networks for high-dimensional nonstationary time series. Two types of dynamic behaviors are considered: structural breaks (i.e., abrupt change points) and smooth changes. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Mengyu Xu , Xiaohui Chen , Wei Biao Wu

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) represent a significant advancement at the intersection of machine learning and dynamical systems, offering a continuous-time analog to discrete neural networks. Despite their promise, deploying…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-18 Matteo Caldana , Jan S. Hesthaven

Low-count time series describe sparse or intermittent events, which are prevalent in large-scale online platforms that capture and monitor diverse data types. Several distinct challenges surface when modelling low-count time series,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Philipp Renz , Kurt Cutajar , Niall Twomey , Gavin K. C. Cheung , Hanting Xie

Human dynamical social networks encode information and are highly adaptive. To characterize the information encoded in the fast dynamics of social interactions, here we introduce the entropy of dynamical social networks. By analysing a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-01-17 Kun Zhao , Márton Karsai , Ginestra Bianconi

Many practical systems can be described by dynamic networks, for which modern technique can measure their output signals, and accumulate extremely rich data. Nevertheless, the network structures producing these data are often deeply hidden…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-18 Yang Chen , Zhaoyang Zhang , Tianyu Chen , Shihong Wang , Gang Hu

Continuing in the steps of Jon Kleinberg's and others celebrated work on decentralized search in small-world networks, we conduct an experimental analysis of a dynamic algorithm that produces small-world networks. We find that the algorithm…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2008-04-08 Olof Mogren , Oskar Sandberg , Vilhelm Verendel , Devdatt Dubhashi

We use series expansions to study dynamics of equilibrium and non-equilibrium systems on networks. This analytical method enables us to include detailed non-universal effects of the network structure. We show that even low order…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 M. B. Hastings

A new algorithm is presented for reconstructing stochastic nonlinear dynamical models from noisy time-series data. The approach is analytical; consequently, the resulting algorithm does not require an extensive global search for the model…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 V. N. Smelyanskiy , D. G. Luchinsky , D. A. Timucin , A. Bandrivskyy

Recent research on temporal networks has highlighted the limitations of a static network perspective for our understanding of complex systems with dynamic topologies. In particular, recent works have shown that i) the specific order in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-20 Ingo Scholtes , Nicolas Wider , Antonios Garas

Understanding the structural complexity and predictability of complex networks is a central challenge in network science. Although recent studies have revealed a relationship between compression-based entropy and link prediction…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Sebastián Brzovic , Cristóbal Rojas , Andrés Abeliuk

In recent years, specific evaluation metrics for time series anomaly detection algorithms have been developed to handle the limitations of the classical precision and recall. However, such metrics are heuristically built as an aggregate of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Alexis Huet , Jose Manuel Navarro , Dario Rossi

Random network models play a prominent role in modeling, analyzing and understanding complex phenomena on real-life networks. However, a key property of networks is often neglected: many real-world networks exhibit spatial structure, the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-07 John Lang , Hans De Sterck , Jamieson L. Kaiser , Joel C. Miller

We introduce a general framework for testing temporal symmetries in time series based on the distribution of ordinal patterns. While previous approaches have focused on specific forms of asymmetry, such as time reversal, our method provides…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Annika Betken , Giorgio Micali , Manuel Ruiz Marín

We investigate the predictive power of recurrent neural networks for oscillatory systems not only on the attractor, but in its vicinity as well. For this we consider systems perturbed by an external force. This allows us to not merely…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-07-02 Rok Cestnik , Markus Abel

We propose a method to search for signs of causal structure in spatiotemporal data making minimal a priori assumptions about the underlying dynamics. To this end, we generalize the elementary concept of recurrence for a point process in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-09-08 J. Davidsen , P. Grassberger , M. Paczuski

Varied sensory systems use noise in order to enhance detection of weak signals. It has been conjectured in the literature that this effect, known as stochastic resonance, may take place in central cognitive processes such as the memory…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Julien Mayor , Wulfram Gerstner

Many networks must maintain synchrony despite the fact that they operate in noisy environments. Important examples are stochastic inertial oscillators, which are known to exhibit fluctuations with broad tails in many applications, including…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-12-03 Jason Hindes , Philippe Jacquod , Ira B. Schwartz

We introduce an ordinate method for noisy data analysis, based solely on rank information and thus insensitive to outliers. The method is nonparametric, objective, and the required data processing is parsimonious. Main ingredients are a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-09-11 Glenn Ierley , Alex Kostinski

We introduce circulance, a scalar measure for classifying time series of dynamical systems. Circulance captures the extent of temporal regularity or irregularity that is encoded in the topology of a directed ordinal pattern transition…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-05 Max Potratzki , Manuel Adams , Timo Bröhl , Klaus Lehnertz

The significant imbalance between power generation and load caused by severe disturbance may make the power system unable to maintain a steady frequency. If the post-disturbance dynamic frequency features can be predicted and emergency…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-23 Jintian Lin , Yichao Zhang , Xiaoru Wang , Qingyue Chen