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We present an efficient particle filtering algorithm for multiscale systems, that is adapted for simple atmospheric dynamics models which are inherently chaotic. Particle filters represent the posterior conditional distribution of the state…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-04 Nishanth Lingala , N. Sri Namachchivaya , Nicolas Perkowski , Hoong C. Yeong

In this paper, we propose a Poisson multi-Bernoulli (PMB) filter for extended object tracking (EOT), which directly estimates the set of object trajectories, using belief propagation (BP). The proposed filter propagates a PMB density on the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-20 Yuxuan Xia , Ángel F. García-Fernández , Florian Meyer , Jason L. Williams , Karl Granström , Lennart Svensson

In this paper, we propose a new method to forecast the drift of objects in near coastal ocean on a period of several weeks. The proposed approach consists in estimating the probability of events linked to the drift using Monte Carlo…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Pierre Ailliot , Emmanuel Frenod , Valerie Monbet

This paper presents a novel approach to enhancing marine vision by fusing real-time visual data with chart information. Our system overlays nautical chart data onto live video feeds by accurately matching detected navigational aids, such as…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Marten Kreis , Benjamin Kiefer

Conformal inference is a statistical method used to construct prediction sets for point predictors, providing reliable uncertainty quantification with probability guarantees. This method utilizes historical labeled data to estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Xiaoyi Su , Zhixin Zhou , Rui Luo

Particle smoothing methods are used for inference of stochastic processes based on noisy observations. Typically, the estimation of the marginal posterior distribution given all observations is cumbersome and computational intensive. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-24 H. -Ch. Ruiz , H. J. Kappen

In this paper we propose the use of a continuous data assimilation algorithm for miscible flow models in a porous medium. In the absence of initial conditions for the model, observed sparse measurements are used to generate an approximation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-06-23 Hakima Bessaih , Victor Ginting , Bradley McCaskill

Particle smoothers are widely used algorithms allowing to approximate the smoothing distribution in hidden Markov models. Existing algorithms often suffer from slow computational time or degeneracy. We propose in this paper a way to improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-28 Cyrille Dubarry , Randal Douc

Millimeter-wave radar provides robust perception in visually degraded environments. However, radar-inertial state estimation is inherently susceptible to drift. Because radar yields only sparse, body-frame velocity measurements, it provides…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Ali Alridha Abdulkarim , Mikhail Litvinov , Dzmitry Tsetserukou

We propose a new method for combining in situ buoy measurements with Earth system models (ESMs) to improve the accuracy of temperature predictions in the ocean. The technique utilizes the dynamics \textit{and} modes identified in ESMs…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-21 Derek DeSantis , Ayan Biswas , Earl Lawrence , Phillip Wolfram

In this paper, we model the trajectory of sea vessels and provide a service that predicts in near-real time the position of any given vessel in 4', 10', 20' and 40' time intervals. We explore the necessary tradeoffs between accuracy,…

Assimilation of continuously streamed monitored data is an essential component of a digital twin; the assimilated data are used to ensure the digital twin is a true representation of the monitored system. One way this is achieved is by…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Rebecca Ward , Ruchi Choudhary , Alastair Gregory , Melanie Jans-Singh , Mark Girolami

We introduce a framework for Data Assimilation (DA) in which the data is split into multiple sets corresponding to low-rank projections of the state space. Algorithms are developed that assimilate some or all of the projected data,…

Computation · Statistics 2020-05-19 John Maclean , Erik S Van Vleck

Integration of renewable power sources into grids remains an active research and development area, particularly for less developed renewable energy technologies such as wave energy converters (WECs). WECs are projected to have strong early…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-10-03 Mohammad Khalil , Carlos Michelén Ströfer , Kaustubha Raghukumar , Ann Dallman

The increasing integration of sensors in autonomous maritime navigation has led to large-scale multimodal datasets, raising challenges in achieving efficient real-time perception. In such systems, object detection and trajectory perception…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Grigorios Papanikolaou , Ioannis Kontopoulos , Giannis Spiliopoulos , Dimitris Zissis , Konstantinos Tserpes

In applied machine learning, concept drift, which is either gradual or abrupt changes in data distribution, can significantly reduce model performance. Typical detection methods,such as statistical tests or reconstruction-based models,are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 N Harshit , K Mounvik

Particle tracking has several important applications for solute transport studies in aquifer systems. Travel time distribution at observation points, particle coordinates in time and streamlines are some practical results providing…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Rodrigo Pérez-Illanes , Daniel Fernàndez-Garcia

We propose Drift-Resistant Navigation World Model, a generative model that mitigates both perceptual drift and geometric drift in conventional rollout-based navigation world models. Existing methods recursively feed generated content into…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Po-Chien Luan , Zimin Xia , Wuyang Li , Yang Gao , Alexandre Alahi

Particle filters contain the promise of fully nonlinear data assimilation. They have been applied in numerous science areas, but their application to the geosciences has been limited due to their inefficiency in high-dimensional systems in…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-16 Peter Jan van Leeuwen , Hans R. Künsch , Lars Nerger , Roland Potthast , Sebastian Reich

Hurricanes and coastal floods are among the most disastrous natural hazards. Both are intimately related to storm surges, as their causes and effects, respectively. However, the short-term forecasting of storm surges has proven challenging,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-04-10 Patrick Ebel , Brandon Victor , Peter Naylor , Gabriele Meoni , Federico Serva , Rochelle Schneider