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Related papers: Large deviation bounds for the Airy point process

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We obtain large deviation results for non-uniformly expanding maps with non-flat singularities or criticalities and for partially hyperbolic non-uniformly expanding attracting sets. That is, given a continuous function we consider its space…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-09-14 V Araujo , M J Pacifico

[B{\l}aszczyszyn, Yogeshwaran and Yukich (2019)] established central limit theorems for geometric statistics of point processes having fast decay dependence. As limit theorems are of limited use unless we understand their errors involved in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-27 Tianshu Cong , Aihua Xia

We establish sharp large-deviation asymptotic estimates for the maximum order statistic of i.i.d.\ standard normal random variables on all Borel subsets of the positive real line. This result yields more accurate tail approximations than…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 José M. Zapata

Given a set of moment restrictions (MRs) that overidentify a parameter $\theta$, we investigate a semiparametric Bayesian approach for inference on $\theta$ that does not restrict the data distribution $F$ apart from the MRs. As main…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-11 Jean-Pierre Florens , Anna Simoni

A continuous-time regression model with a jointly strictly sub-Gaussian random noise is considered in the paper. Upper exponential bounds for probabilities of large deviations of the least squares estimator for the regression parameter are…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Alexander V. Ivanov , Igor V. Orlovskyi

In this paper, we prove the lower bound of the unconditional large gap is 3.5555 which improves the obtained value 3.079 in the literature. Next, on the hypothesis that the moments of the Hardy Z-function and its derivatives are correctly…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-23 S. H. Saker

Simulation-based verification algorithms can provide formal safety guarantees for nonlinear and hybrid systems. The previous algorithms rely on user provided model annotations called discrepancy function, which are crucial for computing…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-02-09 Chuchu Fan , Sayan Mitra

In this paper we first provide several conditional limit theorems for L\'evy processes with negative drift and regularly varying tail. Then we apply them to study the asymptotic behavior of expectations of some exponential functionals of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Wei Xu

We consider a modulated process S which, conditional on a background process X, has independent increments. Assuming that S drifts to -infinity and that its increments (jumps) are heavy-tailed (in a sense made precise in the paper), we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Takis Konstantopoulos , Stan Zachary

We study large deviations asymptotics for a class of unbounded additive functionals, interpreted as normalized accumulated areas, of one-dimensional Langevin diffusions with sub-linear gradient drifts. Our results provide parametric…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Mihail Bazhba , Jose Blanchet , Roger J. A. Laeven , Bert Zwart

Consider first passage percolation with identical and independent weight distributions and first passage time ${\rm T}$. In this paper, we study the upper tail large deviations $\mathbb{P}({\rm T}(0,nx)>n(\mu+\xi))$, for $\xi>0$ and $x\neq…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Clément Cosco , Shuta Nakajima

We consider the Airy$_1$ process, which is the limit process in KPZ growth models with flat and non-random initial conditions. We study the persistence probability, namely the probability that the process stays below a given threshold $c$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Patrik L. Ferrari , Min Liu

The inverse first-passage time problem determines a boundary such that the first-passage time of a Wiener process to this boundary has a given distribution. An approximation which is based on the starting value of the boundary to a smooth…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Yoann Potiron

The Gaussian process (GP) regression can be severely biased when the data are contaminated by outliers. This paper presents a new robust GP regression algorithm that iteratively trims the most extreme data points. While the new algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Zhao-Zhou Li , Lu Li , Zhengyi Shao

We prove the large deviations principle for empirical Bures-Wasserstein barycenters of independent, identically-distributed samples of covariance matrices and covariance operators. As an application, we explore some consequences of our…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Adam Quinn Jaffe , Leonardo V. Santoro

In this work we study high probability bounds for stochastic subgradient methods under heavy tailed noise. In this setting the noise is only assumed to have finite variance as opposed to a sub-Gaussian distribution for which it is known…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Daniela A. Parletta , Andrea Paudice , Massimiliano Pontil , Saverio Salzo

We study two-layer belief networks of binary random variables in which the conditional probabilities Pr[childlparents] depend monotonically on weighted sums of the parents. In large networks where exact probabilistic inference is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Michael Kearns , Lawrence Saul

We study the totally asymmetric exclusion process on the positive integers with a single particle source at the origin. Liggett (1975) has shown that the long term behaviour of this process has a phase transition: If the particle production…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-05-26 Horacio González Duhart , Peter Mörters , Johannes Zimmer

We consider the one dimensional asymmetric exclusion process with particle injection and extraction at two boundaries. The model is known to exhibit four distinct phases in its stationary state. We analyze the current statistics at the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 Jan de Gier , Fabian H. L. Essler

We consider the limiting extremal process ${\mathcal X}$ of the particles of the binary branching Brownian motion. We show that after a shift by the logarithm of the derivative martingale $Z$, the rescaled "density" of particles, which are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-03 Leonid Mytnik , Jean-Michel Roquejoffre , Lenya Ryzhik
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