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Wildfire is an important system process of the earth that occurs across a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. A variety of methods have been used to predict wildfire phenomena during the past century to better our understanding of…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-24 S. W. Taylor , Douglas G. Woolford , C. B. Dean , David L. Martell

Wildfire forecasting problems usually rely on complex grid-based mathematical models, mostly involving Computational fluid dynamics(CFD) and Celluar Automata, but these methods have always been computationally expensive and difficult to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Hansong Xiao

The critical dimension necessary for a flame to propagate in suspensions of fuel particles in oxidizer is studied analytically and numerically. Two types of models are considered: First, a continuum model, wherein the individual particulate…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-12-23 Fredric Y. K. Lam , XiaoCheng Mi , Andrew J. Higgins

We present the analytic solution of the self-organized critical (SOC) forest-fire model in one dimension proving SOC in systems without conservation laws by analytic means. Under the condition that the system is in the steady state and very…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 Barbara Drossel , Siegfried Clar , Franz Schwabl

Recent work has demonstrated the utility of Random Forest (RF) proximities for various supervised machine learning tasks, including outlier detection, missing data imputation, and visualization. However, the utility of the RF proximities…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Ben Shaw , Adam Rustad , Sofia Pelagalli Maia , Jake S. Rhodes , Kevin R. Moon

Random Forests have been extensively used in regression and classification, inspiring the development of various forest-based methods. Among these, Mondrian Forests, derived from the Mondrian process, mark a significant advancement.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-28 Haoran Zhan , Jingli Wang , Yingcun Xia

The last decade has witnessed a growing interest in random forest models which are recognized to exhibit good practical performance, especially in high-dimensional settings. On the theoretical side, however, their predictive power remains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Erwan Scornet

We propose generalized random forests, a method for non-parametric statistical estimation based on random forests (Breiman, 2001) that can be used to fit any quantity of interest identified as the solution to a set of local moment…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-06 Susan Athey , Julie Tibshirani , Stefan Wager

A wildland fire model based on semi-empirical relations for the spread rate of a surface fire and post-frontal heat release is coupled with the Weather Research and Forecasting atmospheric model (WRF). The propagation of the fire front is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-08-03 Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley , Soham Chakraborty , Janice L. Coen , Craig C. Douglas , Anthony Vodacek , Zhen Wang

In the classical Drossel-Schwabl forest fire process, vertices of a lattice become occupied at rate $1$, and they are hit by lightning at some tiny rate $\zeta > 0$, which causes entire connected components to burn. In this paper, we study…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-19 Jacob van den Berg , Pierre Nolin

In recent years, advances in computational power and spatial data analysis (GIS, remote sensing, etc) have led to an increase in attempts to model the spread and behaviour of wildland fires across the landscape. This series of review papers…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-07-28 A. L. Sullivan

The role of forest heterogeneity in the long-term, large-scale dynamics of forest fires is investigated by means of a cellular automata model and mean field approximation. Heterogeneity was conceived as trees (or acres of forest) with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-08-04 G. Camelo-Neto , S. Coutinho

Wildfire forecasting is of paramount importance for disaster risk reduction and environmental sustainability. We approach daily fire danger prediction as a machine learning task, using historical Earth observation data from the last decade…

Domain generalization is a popular machine learning technique that enables models to perform well on the unseen target domain, by learning from multiple source domains. Domain generalization is useful in cases where data is limited,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Yuyang Sun , Panagiotis Kosmas

In many forest fire incidences, late detection of the fire has lead to severe damages to the forest and human property requiring more resources to gain control over the fire. An early warning and immediate response system can be a promising…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-10-18 Kaushlendra Pandey , Abhishek Gupta

Fire is an indissoluble component of ecosystems, however quantifying the effects of fire on vegetation is challenging task as fire lies outside the typical experimental design attributes. A recent simulation study showed that under…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-16 Aristides Moustakas

We introduce a Renormalization scheme for the one and two dimensional Forest-Fire models in order to characterize the nature of the critical state and its scale invariant dynamics. We show the existence of a relevant scaling field…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 V. Loreto , L. Pietronero , A. Vespignani , S. Zapperi

We consider random dynamics on the edges of a uniform Cayley tree with $n$ vertices, in which edges are either inflammable, fireproof, or burt. Every inflammable edge is replaced by a fireproof edge at unit rate, while fires start at…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-01 Jean Bertoin

The availability of wildland fire propagation models with parameters estimated in an accurate way starting from measurements of fire fronts is crucial to predict the evolution of fire and allocate resources for firefighting. Thus, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Angelo Alessandri , Patrizia Bagnerini , Mauro Gaggero , Luca Mantelli

We investigate a forest-fire model with the density of empty sites as control parameter. The model exhibits three phases, separated by one first-order phase transition and one 'mixed' phase transition which shows critical behavior on only…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 Siegfried Clar , Klaus Schenk , Franz Schwabl