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Suppose that one observes pairs $(x_1,Y_1)$, $(x_2,Y_2)$, ..., $(x_n,Y_n)$, where $x_1\le x_2\le ... \le x_n$ are fixed numbers, and $Y_1,Y_2,...,Y_n$ are independent random variables with unknown distributions. The only assumption is that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-28 Lutz Duembgen

Conformal prediction is widely adopted in uncertainty quantification, due to its post-hoc, distribution-free, and model-agnostic properties. In the realm of modern deep learning, researchers have proposed Feature Conformal Prediction (FCP),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Zihao Tang , Boyuan Wang , Chuan Wen , Jiaye Teng

To evaluate a classification algorithm, it is common practice to plot the ROC curve using test data. However, the inherent randomness in the test data can undermine our confidence in the conclusions drawn from the ROC curve, necessitating…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-22 Zheshi Zheng , Bo Yang , Peter Song

We introduce new goodness-of-fit tests and corresponding confidence bands for distribution functions. They are inspired by multi-scale methods of testing and based on refined laws of the iterated logarithm for the normalized uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-26 Lutz Duembgen , Jon A. Wellner

This paper considers the distributed computation of confidence regions tethered to multidimensional parameter estimation under linear measurement models. In particular, the considered confidence regions are non-asymptotic, this meaning that…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-10-01 Vincenzo Zambianchi , Michel Kieffer , Gianni Pasolini , Francesca Bassi , Davide Dardari

The paper introduces a method to construct confidence bands for bounded, band-limited functions based on a finite sample of input-output pairs. The approach is distribution-free w.r.t. the observation noises and only the knowledge of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-28 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Bálint Horváth

The frequency response function (FRF) is an established way to describe the outcome of experiments in posture control literature. The FRF is an empirical transfer function between an input stimulus and the induced body segment sway profile,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-27 Vittorio Lippi

Functional data analysis has attracted considerable interest and is facing new challenges, one of which is the increasingly available data in a streaming manner. In this article we develop an online nonparametric method to dynamically…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-05 Ying Yang , Fang Yao

Much of the research on multiple comparison and simultaneous inference in the past sixty years or so has been for the comparisons of several population means. Spurrier (1999) seems to be the first to study the multiple comparison of several…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-21 Jianan Peng , Wei Liu , Frank Bretz , Anthony Hayter

Ordinary differential equation (ODE) is an important tool to study the dynamics of a system of biological and physical processes. A central question in ODE modeling is to infer the significance of individual regulatory effect of one signal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Xiaowu Dai , Lexin Li

Uncertainty quantification for estimation through stochastic optimization solutions in an online setting has gained popularity recently. This paper introduces a novel inference method focused on constructing confidence intervals with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Wanrong Zhu , Zhipeng Lou , Ziyang Wei , Wei Biao Wu

This paper develops a method to construct uniform confidence bands in deconvolution when the error distribution is unknown. We mainly focus on the baseline setting where an auxiliary sample from the error distribution is available and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Kengo Kato , Yuya Sasaki

A bootstrap procedure for constructing prediction bands for a stationary functional time series is proposed. The procedure exploits a general vector autoregressive representation of the time-reversed series of Fourier coefficients appearing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-17 Efstathios Paparoditis , Han Lin Shang

We aim to develop simultaneous inference tools for the mean function of functional data from sparse to dense. First, we derive a unified Gaussian approximation to construct simultaneous confidence bands of mean functions based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-01 Leheng Cai , Qirui Hu

Let $f$ be a probability density and $C$ be an interval on which $f$ is bounded away from zero. By establishing the limiting distribution of the uniform error of the kernel estimates $f_n$ of $f$, Bickel and Rosenblatt (1973) provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Abdelkader Mokkadem , Mariane Pelletier

Given a sample from some unknown continuous density $f:\mathbb{R}\to\mathbb{R}$, we construct adaptive confidence bands that are honest for all densities in a "generic" subset of the union of $t$-H\"older balls, $0<t\le r$, where $r$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-26 Evarist Giné , Richard Nickl

Assessing goodness of fit to a given distribution plays an important role in computational statistics. The Probability integral transformation (PIT) can be used to convert the question of whether a given sample originates from a reference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-22 Teemu Säilynoja , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Aki Vehtari

Functional connectivity (FC) refers to the investigation of interactions between brain regions to understand integration of neural activity in several regions. FC is often estimated using functional magnetic resonance images (fMRI). There…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-24 Nathan Tung , Jerome Sanes , Eli Upfal , Ani Eloyan

Given a functional central limit (fCLT) for an estimator and a parameter transformation, we construct random processes, called functional delta residuals, which asymptotically have the same covariance structure as the limit process of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Fabian J. E. Telschow , Samuel Davenport , Armin Schwartzman

We develop a general framework for distribution-free predictive inference in regression, using conformal inference. The proposed methodology allows for the construction of a prediction band for the response variable using any estimator of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-09 Jing Lei , Max G'Sell , Alessandro Rinaldo , Ryan J. Tibshirani , Larry Wasserman