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Manufacturing advanced materials and products with a specific property or combination of properties is often warranted. To achieve that it is crucial to find out the optimum recipe or processing conditions that can generate the ideal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-20 Hamed Khosravi , Taofeeq Olajire , Ahmed Shoyeb Raihan , Imtiaz Ahmed

Solder joint reliability related to failures due to thermomechanical loading is a critically important yet physically complex engineering problem. As a result, simulated behavior is oftentimes computationally expensive. In an increasingly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-29 Leo Guo , Adwait Inamdar , Willem D. van Driel , GuoQi Zhang

We propose a MAP Bayesian approach to perform and evaluate a co-clustering of mixed-type data tables. The proposed model infers an optimal segmentation of all variables then performs a co-clustering by minimizing a Bayesian model selection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-07 Aichetou Bouchareb , Marc Boullé , Fabrice Rossi , Fabrice Clérot

Automatic Machine Learning (Auto-ML) systems tackle the problem of automating the design of prediction models or pipelines for data science. In this paper, we present Lifelong Bayesian Optimization (LBO), an online, multitask Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-24 Yao Zhang , James Jordon , Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

We propose an adaptive optimisation approach for tuning stochastic model predictive control (MPC) hyper-parameters while jointly estimating probability distributions of the transition model parameters based on performance rewards. In…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-06-02 Rel Guzman , Rafael Oliveira , Fabio Ramos

The aim of this paper is to compare three regularized particle filters in an online data processing context. We carry out the comparison in terms of hidden states filtering and parameters estimation, considering a Bayesian paradigm and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Roberto Casarin , Jean-Michel Marin

Bayesian optimization (BO) has been widely used in machine learning and simulation optimization. With the increase in computational resources and storage capacities in these fields, high-dimensional and large-scale problems are becoming…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-02 Haowei Wang , Ercong Zhang , Szu Hui Ng , Giulia Pedrielli

This paper considers a distributed adaptive optimization problem, where all agents only have access to their local cost functions with a common unknown parameter, whereas they mean to collaboratively estimate the true parameter and find the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Yaqun Yang , Jinlong Lei , Guanghui Wen , Yiguang Hong

This article addresses the problem of efficient Bayesian inference in dynamic systems using particle methods and makes a number of contributions. First, we develop a correlated pseudo-marginal (CPM) approach for Bayesian inference in state…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-22 P. Choppala , D. Gunawan , J. Chen , M. -N. Tran , R. Kohn

In this paper we investigate the existence of a separation principle between model identification and control design in the context of model predictive control. First, we clarify that such a separation principle holds asymptotically in the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-24 Giacomo Baggio , Ruggero Carli , Riccardo Alessandro Grimaldi , Gianluigi Pillonetto

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a method for Bayesian inference when the likelihood is unavailable but simulating from the model is possible. However, many ABC algorithms require a large number of simulations, which can be costly.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-15 Marko Järvenpää , Michael U. Gutmann , Arijus Pleska , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

Parameter identification and comparison of dynamical systems is a challenging task in many fields. Bayesian approaches based on Gaussian process regression over time-series data have been successfully applied to infer the parameters of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-04 Philippe Wenk , Alkis Gotovos , Stefan Bauer , Nico Gorbach , Andreas Krause , Joachim M. Buhmann

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a widely-used sequential method for zeroth-order optimization of complex and expensive-to-compute black-box functions. The existing BO methods assume that the function evaluation (feedback) is available to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Arun Verma , Zhongxiang Dai , Bryan Kian Hsiang Low

Bayesian filtering is a general framework for recursively estimating the state of a dynamical system. Classical solutions such that Kalman filter and Particle filter are introduced in this report. Gaussian processes have been introduced as…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-11-04 Mr. Chong Han , Dr. Ido Nevat , Dr. Gareth Peters , Prof. Jinhong Yuan

Many state estimation algorithms must be tuned given the state space process and observation models, the process and observation noise parameters must be chosen. Conventional tuning approaches rely on heuristic hand-tuning or gradient-based…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-19 Zhaozhong Chen , Nisar Ahmed , Simon Julier , Christoffer Heckman

Particle filtering is a popular method for inferring latent states in stochastic dynamical systems, whose theoretical properties have been well studied in machine learning and statistics communities. In many control problems, e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Simon S. Du , Wei Hu , Zhiyuan Li , Ruoqi Shen , Zhao Song , Jiajun Wu

In this thesis, we introduce Bayesian filtering as a principled framework for tackling diverse sequential machine learning problems, including online (continual) learning, prequential (one-step-ahead) forecasting, and contextual bandits. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-13 Gerardo Duran-Martin

Model-based design of experiments (MBDOE) is essential for efficient parameter estimation in nonlinear dynamical systems. However, conventional adaptive MBDOE requires costly posterior inference and design optimization between each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-25 Arno Strouwen , Sebastian Micluţa-Câmpeanu

This paper proposes a determined blind source separation method using Bayesian non-parametric modelling of sources. Conventionally source signals are separated from a given set of mixture signals by modelling them using non-negative matrix…

Sound · Computer Science 2019-04-09 Chaitanya Narisetty , Tatsuya Komatsu , Reishi Kondo

We propose a generalised framework for the updating of a prior ensemble to a posterior ensemble, an essential yet challenging part in ensemble-based filtering methods. The proposed framework is based on a generalised and fully Bayesian view…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-29 Margrethe Kvale Loe , Håkon Tjelmeland