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Temporal point processes have been widely applied to model event sequence data generated by online users. In this paper, we consider the problem of how to design the optimal control policy for point processes, such that the stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-13 Yichen Wang , Grady Williams , Evangelos Theodorou , Le Song

We study the problem of maximising terminal utility for an agent facing model uncertainty, in a frictionless discrete-time market with one safe asset and finitely many risky assets. We show that an optimal investment strategy exists if the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-10 Miklós Rásonyi , Andrea Meireles-Rodrigues

In this study, we consider an optimal control problem driven by a stochastic differential system with a stopping time terminal cost functional. We establish the stochastic maximum principle for this new kind of an optimal control problem by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Shuzhen Yang

We propose Variational Heteroscedastic Volatility Model (VHVM) -- an end-to-end neural network architecture capable of modelling heteroscedastic behaviour in multivariate financial time series. VHVM leverages recent advances in several…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-13 Zexuan Yin , Paolo Barucca

The classical dynamic programming-based optimal stochastic control methods fail to cope with nonseparable dynamic optimization problems as the principle of optimality no longer applies in such situations. Among these notorious nonseparable…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-06 Xiangyu Cui , Xun Li , Duan Li

We consider option pricing using a discrete-time Markov switching stochastic volatility with co-jump model, which can model volatility clustering and varying mean-reversion speeds of volatility. For pricing European options, we develop a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-29 Michael C. Fu , Bingqing Li , Rongwen Wu , Tianqi Zhang

In this paper, we solve the time inconsistent portfolio selection problem by using different utility functions with a moving target as our constraint. We solve this problem by finding an equilibrium control under the given definition as our…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-28 Hanqing Jin , Yimin Yang

This paper studies the properties of discrete time stochastic optimal control problems associated with portfolio selection. We investigate if optimal continuous time strategies can be used effectively for a discrete time market after a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-26 Alexandra Rodkina , Nikolai Dokuchaev

Many economic variables feature changes in their conditional mean and volatility, and Time Varying Vector Autoregressive Models are often used to handle such complexity in the data. Unfortunately, when the number of series grows, they…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-19 G. Cubadda , S. Grassi , B. Guardabascio

We study the optimal timing of derivative purchases in incomplete markets. In our model, an investor attempts to maximize the spread between her model price and the offered market price through optimally timing her purchase. Both the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-12 Tim Leung , Michael Ludkovski

In this paper, we study the stochastic optimal control problem for control system with time-varying delay. The corresponding stochastic differential equation is a kind of stochastic differential delay equation. We prove the existence and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Yuhang Li , Yuecai Han

We consider a continuous-time game-theoretic model of an investment market with short-lived assets and endogenous asset prices. The first goal of the paper is to formulate a stochastic equation which determines wealth processes of investors…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-01 Mikhail Zhitlukhin

We present a detailed study on the mean first-passage time of volatility processes. We analyze the theoretical expressions based on the most common stochastic volatility models along with empirical results extracted from daily data of major…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello

The paper studies problem of continuous time optimal portfolio selection for a incom- plete market diffusion model. It is shown that, under some mild conditions, near optimal strategies for investors with different performance criteria can…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-15 Nikolai Dokuchaev

This is a follow up of our previous paper - Trybu{\l}a and Zawisza \cite{TryZaw}, where we considered a modification of a monotone mean-variance functional in continuous time in stochastic factor model. In this article we address the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-23 Jakub Trybuła , Dariusz Zawisza

We determine the variance-optimal hedge when the logarithm of the underlying price follows a process with stationary independent increments in discrete or continuous time. Although the general solution to this problem is known as backward…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Friedrich Hubalek , Jan Kallsen , Leszek Krawczyk

We propose a virtual bidding strategy by modeling the price differences between the day-ahead market and the real-time market as Brownian motion with drift, where the drift rate and volatility are functions of meteorological variables. We…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-07 Zhou Fang

We assume that an individual invests in a financial market with one riskless and one risky asset, with the latter's price following a diffusion with stochastic volatility. In the current financial market especially, it is important to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-06 Erhan Bayraktar , Xueying Hu , Virginia R. Young

We consider an investor, whose portfolio consists of a single risky asset and a risk free asset, who wants to maximize his expected utility of the portfolio subject to the Value at Risk assuming a heavy tail distribution of the stock prices…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-02 Subhojit Biswas , Diganta Mukherjee

We employ model predictive control for a multi-period portfolio optimization problem. In addition to the mean-variance objective, we construct a portfolio whose allocation is given by model predictive control with a risk-parity objective,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-22 Xiaoyue Li , A. Sinem Uysal , John M. Mulvey
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