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The provision of information can improve individual judgments but also fail to make group decisions more accurate; if individuals choose to attend to the same information in the same manner, the predictive diversity that enables crowd…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-29 Jon Atwell , Marlon Twyman

Random forests are among the most famous algorithms for solving classification problems, in particular for large-scale data sets. Considering a set of labeled points and several decision trees, the method takes the majority vote to classify…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-24 Jan Pablo Burgard , Maria Eduarda Pinheiro , Martin Schmidt

Speech classification has attracted increasing attention due to its wide applications, particularly in classifying physical and mental states. However, these tasks are challenging due to the high variability in speech signals. Ensemble…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-25 Bagus Tris Atmaja , Felix Burkhardt

Tree-ensemble algorithms, such as random forest, are effective machine learning methods popular for their flexibility, high performance, and robustness to overfitting. However, since multiple learners are combined, they are not as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-09 Klest Dedja , Felipe Kenji Nakano , Konstantinos Pliakos , Celine Vens

. It is typically assumed that for the successful use of machine learning algorithms, these algorithms should have a higher accuracy than a human expert. Moreover, if the average accuracy of ML algorithms is lower than that of a human…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Saveli Goldberg , Lev Salnikov , Noor Kaiser , Tushar Srivastava , Eugene Pinsky

Ensemble learning is a method that leverages weak learners to produce a strong learner. However, obtaining a large number of base learners requires substantial time and computational resources. Therefore, it is meaningful to study how to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Jinghui Yuan , Weijin Jiang , Zhe Cao , Fangyuan Xie , Rong Wang , Feiping Nie , Yuan Yuan

Extracting meaning from uncertain, noisy data is a fundamental problem across time series analysis, pattern recognition, and language modeling. This survey presents a unified mathematical framework that connects classical estimation theory,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Mohammed Elmusrati

Given $K$ uncertainty sets that are arbitrarily dependent -- for example, confidence intervals for an unknown parameter obtained with $K$ different estimators, or prediction sets obtained via conformal prediction based on $K$ different…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-15 Matteo Gasparin , Aaditya Ramdas

Reliably labelling data typically requires annotations from multiple human workers. However, humans are far from being perfect. Hence, it is a common practice to aggregate labels gathered from multiple annotators to make a more confident…

Ensembles of artificial neural networks show improved generalization capabilities that outperform those of single networks. However, for aggregation to be effective, the individual networks must be as accurate and diverse as possible. An…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 P. M. Granitto , P. F. Verdes , H. A. Ceccatto

Aggregating signals from a collection of noisy sources is a fundamental problem in many domains including crowd-sourcing, multi-agent planning, sensor networks, signal processing, voting, ensemble learning, and federated learning. The core…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Ben Abramowitz , Nicholas Mattei

Social media is a popular platform for timely information sharing. One of the important challenges for social media platforms like Twitter is whether to trust news shared on them when there is no systematic news verification process. On the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Chandra Mouli Madhav Kotteti , Xishuang Dong , Lijun Qian

Machine learning (ML) applications have automated numerous real-life tasks, improving both private and public life. However, the black-box nature of many state-of-the-art models poses the challenge of model verification; how can one be sure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Ioannis Papantonis , Vaishak Belle

In this paper we experimentally compare the classification uncertainty of the randomised Decision Tree (DT) ensemble technique and the Bayesian DT technique with a restarting strategy on a synthetic dataset as well as on some datasets…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 V. Schetinin , D. Partridge , W. J. Krzanowski , R. M. Everson , J. E. Fieldsend , T. C. Bailey , A. Hernandez

Consider an urn filled with balls, each labeled with one of several possible collective decisions. Now, let a random voter draw two balls from the urn and pick her more preferred as the collective decision. Relabel the losing ball with the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-28 Florian Brandl , Felix Brandt

Majority voting and averaging are common approaches employed to resolve annotator disagreements and derive single ground truth labels from multiple annotations. However, annotators may systematically disagree with one another, often…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-10-13 Aida Mostafazadeh Davani , Mark Díaz , Vinodkumar Prabhakaran

Modern decision making tools are based on statistical analysis of abundant data, which is often collected by querying multiple individuals. We consider data collection through crowdsourcing, where independent and self-interested agents,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-19 Boi Faltings , Radu Jurca , Goran Radanovic

We study the often overlooked phenomenon, first noted in \cite{breiman2001random}, that random forests appear to reduce bias compared to bagging. Motivated by an interesting paper by \cite{mentch2020randomization}, where the authors explain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-23 Brian Liu , Rahul Mazumder

Ensemble clustering has demonstrated great success in practice; however, its theoretical foundations remain underexplored. This paper examines the generalization performance of ensemble clustering, focusing on generalization error, excess…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Xu Zhang , Haoye Qiu , Weixuan Liang , Hui Liu , Junhui Hou , Yuheng Jia

Class imbalance and distributional differences in large datasets present significant challenges for classification tasks machine learning, often leading to biased models and poor predictive performance for minority classes. This work…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-20 Alex Mak , Shubham Sahoo , Shivani Pandey , Yidan Yue , Linglong Kong