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Recent works have shown that social media platforms are able to influence the trends of stock price movements. However, existing works have majorly focused on the U.S. stock market and lacked attention to certain emerging countries such as…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Xi Zhang , Jiawei Shi , Di Wang , Binxing Fang

This paper will discuss how headline data can be used to predict stock prices. The stock price in question is the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, also known as SPY that tracks the performance of the largest 500 publicly traded corporations in the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-04 Ayaan Qayyum

It has been shown that financial news leads to the fluctuation of stock prices. However, previous work on news-driven financial market prediction focused only on predicting stock price movement without providing an explanation. In this…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-02-14 Linyi Yang , Zheng Zhang , Su Xiong , Lirui Wei , James Ng , Lina Xu , Ruihai Dong

Stock market prediction is one of the most attractive research topic since the successful prediction on the market's future movement leads to significant profit. Traditional short term stock market predictions are usually based on the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-16 Huicheng Liu

The prediction of a stock price has always been a challenging issue, as its volatility can be affected by many factors such as national policies, company financial reports, industry performance, and investor sentiment etc.. In this paper,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-08 Qiao Zhou , Ningning Liu

Sentiment-based stock prediction systems aim to explore sentiment or event signals from online corpora and attempt to relate the signals to stock price variations. Both the feature-based and neural-networks-based approaches have delivered…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Yue Zhou , Kerstin Voigt

Macroeconomic variables are known to significantly impact equity markets, but their predictive power for price fluctuations has been underexplored due to challenges such as infrequency and variability in timing of announcements, changing…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-26 Martina Halousková , Štefan Lyócsa

The gargantuan plethora of opinions, facts and tweets on financial business offers the opportunity to test and analyze the influence of such text sources on future directions of stocks. It also creates though the necessity to distill via…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-23 Junni L. Zhang , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Cathy Y. Chen , Elisabeth Bommes

In this paper, we design an integrated algorithm to evaluate the sentiment of Chinese market. Firstly, with the help of the web browser automation, we crawl a lot of news and comments from several influential financial websites…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-25 Junfeng Jiang , Jiahao Li

Stock market movements are influenced by public and private information shared through news articles, company reports, and social media discussions. Analyzing these vast sources of data can give market participants an edge to make profit.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-12 Kamaladdin Fataliyev , Aneesh Chivukula , Mukesh Prasad , Wei Liu

Sentiment analysis can be used for stock market prediction. However, existing research has not studied the impact of a user's financial background on sentiment-based forecasting of the stock market using artificial neural networks. In this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Ziyuan Ma , Conor Ryan , Jim Buckley , Muslim Chochlov

Recently, deep learning in stock prediction has become an important branch. Image-based methods show potential by capturing complex visual patterns and spatial correlations, offering advantages in interpretability over time series models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Zhiyuan Pei , Jianqi Yan , Jin Yan , Bailing Yang , Ziyuan Li , Lin Zhang , Xin Liu , Yang Zhang

Predicting future prices of a stock is an arduous task to perform. However, incorporating additional elements can significantly improve our predictions, rather than relying solely on a stock's historical price data to forecast its future…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-21 S. Srinivas , R. Gadela , R. Sabu , A. Das , G. Nath , V. Datla

The paper focuses on predicting the Nifty 50 Index by using 8 Supervised Machine Learning Models. The techniques used for empirical study are Adaptive Boost (AdaBoost), k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN), Linear Regression (LR), Artificial Neural…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-21 Gurjeet Singh

The rapid development of information technology, especially the Internet, has facilitated users with a quick and easy way to seek information. With these convenience offered by internet services, many individuals who initially invested in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Novan Fauzi Al Giffary , Feri Sulianta

Forecasting financial market trends through time series analysis and natural language processing poses a complex and demanding undertaking, owing to the numerous variables that can influence stock prices. These variables encompass a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-04 Ali Asgarov

In this short paper, we evaluate the performance of three well-known Machine Learning techniques for predicting the impact of a post in Facebook. Social medias have a huge influence in the social behaviour. Therefore to develop an automatic…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-05-16 Emmanuel Sam , Sergey Yarushev , Sebastián Basterrech , Alexey Averkin

We introduce a novel application of Support Vector Machines (SVM), an important Machine Learning algorithm, to determine the beginning and end of recessions in real time. Nowcasting, "forecasting" a condition about the present time because…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-28 Alexander James , Yaser S. Abu-Mostafa , Xiao Qiao

We develop a resource-efficient methodology for measuring economic outlook in news text that combines document embeddings with synthetic training data generated by large language models. Applied to 27 million news articles, the resulting…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-18 Elliot Beck , Franziska Eckert , Linus Kühne , Helge Liebert , Rina Rosenblatt-Wisch

This paper proposes an innovative Multi-Modal Transformer framework (MMF-Trans) designed to significantly improve the prediction accuracy of the Chinese stock market by integrating multi-source heterogeneous information including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Lumen AI , Tengzhou No. 1 Middle School , Shihao Ji , Zihui Song , Fucheng Zhong , Jisen Jia , Zhaobo Wu , Zheyi Cao , Xu Tianhao