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We study a model of electoral accountability and selection whereby heterogeneous voters aggregate incumbent politician's performance data into personalized signals through paying limited attention. Extreme voters' signals exhibit an…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-04-05 Anqi Li , Lin Hu

Despite many examples to the contrary, most models of elections assume that rules determining the winner will be followed. We present a model where elections are solely a public signal of the incumbent popularity, and citizens can protests…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-02-04 Andrew T. Little , Joshua A. Tucker , Tom LaGatta

This paper presents a theoretical model of an autocrat who controls the media in an attempt to persuade society of his competence. We base our analysis on a Bayesian persuasion framework in which citizens have heterogeneous preferences and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-08-29 A. Arda Gitmez , Pooya Molavi

There is growing evidence of systematic attempts to influence democratic elections by controlled and digitally organized dissemination of fake news. This raises the question of the intrinsic robustness of democratic electoral processes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-03 Glory M. Givi , Robin Delabays , Matthieu Jacquemet , Philippe Jacquod

In recent studies of political decision-making, apparently anomalous behavior has been observed on the part of voters, in which negative information about a candidate strengthens, rather than weakens, a prior positive opinion about the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-06-12 William W. Cohen , David P. Redlawsk , Douglas Pierce

Does electoral replacement ensure that officeholders eventually act in voters' interests? We study a reputational model of accountability. Voters observe incumbents' performance and decide whether to replace them. Politicians may be "good"…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-16 Navin Kartik , Elliot Lipnowski , Harry Pei

Presidential debates are viewed as providing an important public good by revealing information on candidates to voters. We consider an endogenous model of presidential debates in which an incumbent and a challenger (who is privately…

General Economics · Economics 2020-02-27 Doron Klunover , John Morgan

An increasing number of politicians are relying on cheaper, easier to access technologies such as online social media platforms to communicate with their constituency. These platforms present a cheap and low-barrier channel of communication…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-08 Benson Tsz Kin Leung , Pinar Yildirim

In recent years, scholars have raised concerns on the effects that unreliable news, or "fake news," has on our political sphere, and our democracy as a whole. For example, the propagation of fake news on social media is widely believed to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Banafsheh Behzad , Bhavana Bheem , Daniela Elizondo , Deyana Marsh , Susan Martonosi

This essay argues that a new form of democracy - an "Emergent Democracy" - will develop as a result of the use of Internet communication tools and platforms such as blogs. The essay explores a variety of tools available and explores the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-07-27 Joichi Ito

How can voters induce politicians to put forth more proximate (in terms of preference) as well as credible platforms (in terms of promise fulfillment) under repeated elections? Building on the work of Aragones et al. (2007), I study how…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-11 Shiladitya Kumar

How does targeted advertising influence electoral outcomes? This paper presents a one-dimensional spatial model of voting in which a privately informed challenger persuades voters to support him over the status quo. I show that targeted…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-01 Maria Titova

It is believed that interventions that change the media's costs of misreporting can increase the information provided by media outlets. This paper analyzes the validity of this claim and the welfare implications of those types of…

General Economics · Economics 2021-08-26 Federico Vaccari

Democratic societies increasingly rely on communication networks to aggregate citizen preferences and information, yet these same networks can systematically mislead voters under certain conditions. We introduce an agent-based model that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-30 Hsuan-Wei Lee , Po-Kang Hsiao

Over the past decade it has become evident that intentional disinformation in the political context -- so-called fake news -- is a danger to democracy. However, until now there has been no clear understanding of how to define fake news,…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-01 Dorje C. Brody , David M. Meier

We present an equilibrium model of politics in which political platforms compete over public opinion. A platform consists of a policy, a coalition of social groups with diverse intrinsic attitudes to policies, and a narrative. We…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-06-28 Kfir Eliaz , Simone Galperti , Ran Spiegler

The spread of online misinformation on social media is increasingly perceived as a problem for societal cohesion and democracy. The role of political leaders in this process has attracted less research attention, even though politicians who…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Jana Lasser , Segun Taofeek Aroyehun , Fabio Carrella , Almog Simchon , David Garcia , Stephan Lewandowsky

The integrity of democratic elections depends on voters' access to accurate information. However, modern media environments, which are dominated by social media, provide malicious actors with unprecedented ability to manipulate elections…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-11-22 Bryan Wilder , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

Disinformation research has proliferated in reaction to widespread false, problematic beliefs purported to explain major social phenomena. Yet while the effects of disinformation are well-known, there is less consensus about its causes; the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Nicholas Rabb

We present a model of news media that shape consumer beliefs by providing information (signals about an exogenous state) and narratives (models of what determines outcomes). To amplify consumers' engagement, media maximize consumers'…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-15 Kfir Eliaz , Ran Spiegler
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