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Increasing the thinking budget of AI models can significantly improve accuracy, but not all questions warrant the same amount of reasoning. Users may prefer to allocate different amounts of reasoning effort depending on how they value…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Michael Kleinman , Matthew Trager , Alessandro Achille , Wei Xia , Stefano Soatto

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a class of global optimization algorithms, suitable for minimizing an expensive objective function in as few function evaluations as possible. While BO budgets are typically given in iterations, this implicitly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-25 Eric Hans Lee , Valerio Perrone , Cedric Archambeau , Matthias Seeger

This research paper explores the performance of Machine Learning (ML) algorithms and techniques that can be used for financial asset price forecasting. The prediction and forecasting of asset prices and returns remains one of the most…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Philip Ndikum

Can artificial intelligence outperform humans at strategic foresight -- the capacity to form accurate judgments about uncertain, high-stakes outcomes before they unfold? We address this question through a fully prospective prediction…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-03 Felipe A. Csaszar , Aticus Peterson , Daniel Wilde

AI-assisted research is crossing a threshold: fully automated systems can now generate research papers for as little as $15, while long-horizon agents can execute experiments, draft manuscripts, and simulate critique with minimal human…

Large-language-model (LLM)-based AI agents have recently showcased impressive versatility by employing dynamic reasoning, an adaptive, multi-step process that coordinates with external tools. This shift from static, single-turn inference to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-08 Jiin Kim , Byeongjun Shin , Jinha Chung , Minsoo Rhu

As prompt engineering research rapidly evolves, evaluations beyond accuracy are crucial for developing cost-effective techniques. We present the Economical Prompting Index (EPI), a novel metric that combines accuracy scores with token…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Tyler McDonald , Anthony Colosimo , Yifeng Li , Ali Emami

An increasing number of software companies have already realized the importance of storing project-related data as valuable sources of information for training prediction models. Such kind of modeling opens the door for the implementation…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Victor Uc-Cetina

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly integrated into critical decision-making pipelines, a trend that raises the demand for robust and automated data analysis. Current approaches to dataset risk analysis are limited to manual…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Panteleimon Rodis

Systems like ChatGPT and Claude assist billions through proactive dialogue-offering unsolicited, task-relevant information. Drawing on Cognitive Load Theory, we study how cognitive load shapes performance in AI-assisted knowledge work. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Brandon Lepine , Juho Kim , Pamela Mishkin , Matthew Beane

Home sale prices are formed given the transaction actors economic interests, which include government, real estate dealers, and the general public who buy or sell properties. Generating an accurate property price prediction model is a major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Shashi Bhushan Jha , Vijay Pandey , Rajesh Kumar Jha , Radu F. Babiceanu

Information about action costs is critical for real-world AI planning applications. Rather than rely solely on declarative action models, recent approaches also use black-box external action cost estimators, often learned from data, that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-07-20 Eyal Weiss , Gal A. Kaminka

Visual inspection tasks often require humans to cooperate with AI-based image classifiers. To enhance this cooperation, explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) can highlight those image areas that have contributed to an AI decision.…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Romy Müller , David F. Reindel , Yannick D. Stadtfeld

Current large language models (LLMs) excel in verifiable domains where outputs can be checked before action but prove less reliable for high-stakes strategic decisions with uncertain outcomes. This gap, driven by mutually reinforcing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Alejandro R. Jadad

Policymakers increasingly use development cost and compute as proxies for AI capabilities and risks. Recent laws have introduced regulatory requirements for models or developers that are contingent on specific thresholds. However, technical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Stephen Casper , Luke Bailey , Tim Schreier

Declarative large-scale machine learning (ML) aims at the specification of ML algorithms in a high-level language and automatic generation of hybrid runtime execution plans ranging from single node, in-memory computations to distributed…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2015-03-24 Matthias Boehm

This paper aims to explore models based on the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) approach for business risk classification. Feature selection (FS) algorithms and hyper-parameter optimizations are simultaneously considered during model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-25 Yan Wang , Xuelei Sherry Ni

Artificial intelligence (AI) has revolutionized decision-making processes and systems throughout society and, in particular, has emerged as a significant technology in high-impact scenarios of national interest. Yet, despite AI's impressive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-05 Gregory Canal , Vladimir Leung , Philip Sage , Eric Heim , I-Jeng Wang

The prediction of defects in a target project based on data from external projects is called Cross-Project Defect Prediction (CPDP). Several methods have been proposed to improve the predictive performance of CPDP models. However, there is…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Faimison Porto , Leandro Minku , Emilia Mendes , Adenilso Simao

The pursuit of artificial general intelligence necessitates robust methods for evaluating the cognitive capabilities of models beyond narrow task performance. Here, we introduce a psychometric framework to assess the cognitive profiles of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Isaac Galatzer-Levy , Daniel McDuff , Xin Liu , Jed McGiffin