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We derive a perturbation expansion for general self-interacting random walks, where steps are made on the basis of the history of the path. Examples of models where this expansion applies are reinforced random walk, excited random walk, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Remco van der Hofstad , Mark Holmes

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

This article deals with the asymptotic behaviour as $t\to +\infty$ of the survival function $P[T > t],$ where $T$ is the first passage time above a non negative level of a random process starting from zero. In many cases of physical…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-30 Frank Aurzada , Thomas Simon

It was believed that the Mertens function is a simple random walk in the first versions of the article, so its asymptotic behavior obeys the law of the iterated logarithm. In the latest version of the article we show why the asymptotic…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-26 Victor Volfson

We obtain in this paper using the saddle point method the expression for the exact asymptotic for the tail of maximum of smooth (twice continuous differentiable) random field (process) distribution.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-20 E. Ostrovsky

We define the reflection of a random walk at a general barrier and derive, in case the increments are light tailed and have negative mean, a necessary and sufficient criterion for the global maximum of the reflected process to be finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Niels Richard Hansen

Gessel and Zeilberger generalized the reflection principle to handle walks confined to Weyl chambers, under some restrictions on the allowable steps. For those models that are invariant under the Weyl group action, they express the counting…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-09-18 Marni Mishna , Samuel Simon

In this paper we derive a new representation for the incomplete gamma function, exploiting the reformulation of the method of steepest descents by C. J. Howls (Howls, Proc. R. Soc. Lond. A 439 (1992) 373--396). Using this representation, we…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Gergő Nemes

We study the distribution of the maximum $M$ of a random walk whose increments have a distribution with negative mean and belonging, for some $\gamma>0$, to a subclass of the class $\mathcal{S}_\gamma$--see, for example, Chover, Ney, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Stan Zachary , Sergey Foss

We derive asymptotics of moments and identify limiting distributions, under the random permutation model on m-ary search trees, for functionals that satisfy recurrence relations of a simple additive form. Many important functionals…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 James Allen Fill , Nevin Kapur

We derive in this article the asymptotic behavior as well as non-asymptotical estimates of tail of distribution for self-normalized sums of random variables (r.v.) under natural classical norming. We investigate also the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-10 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We consider the possible visits to visible points of a random walker moving up and right in the integer lattice (with probability $\alpha$ and $1-\alpha$, respectively) and starting from the origin. We show that, almost surely, the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-16 Javier Cilleruelo , José L. Fernández , Pablo Fernández

For uniform random permutations conditioned to have no long cycles, we prove that the total number of cycles satisfies a central limit theorem. Under additional assumptions on the asymptotic behavior of the set of allowed cycle lengths, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-31 Volker Betz , Helge Schäfer

We study how to sample paths of a random walk up to the first time it crosses a fixed barrier, in the setting where the step sizes are iid with negative mean and have a regularly varying right tail. We introduce a desirable property for a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-16 Ton Dieker , Guido Lagos

We consider the first exit time of a nonnegative Harris-recurrent Markov process from the interval $[0,A]$ as $A\to\infty$. We provide an alternative method of proof of asymptotic exponentiality of the first exit time (suitably…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-07 Moshe Pollak , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Let $Y=\sum_{k\ge 1} 1_{A_k}$ be an infinite sum of the indicators of independent events. We investigate a precise (as opposed to logarithmic) first-order asymptotic behavior of the tail probabilities $\mathbb{P}\{Y\ge n\}$ and the point…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Alexander Iksanov , Valeriya Kotelnikova

A random walk with counterbalanced steps is a process of partial sums $\check S(n)=\check X_1+ \cdots + \check X_n$ whose steps $\check X_n$ are given recursively as follows. For each $n\geq 2$, with a fixed probability $p$, $\check X_n$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Jean Bertoin

Optimal truncations of asymptotic expansions are known to yield approximations to adiabatic quantum evolutions that are accurate up to exponentially small errors. In this paper, we rigorously determine the leading order non--adiabatic…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 George A. Hagedorn , Alain Joye

We study tail behaviour of the distribution of the area under the positive excursion of a random walk which has negative drift and heavy-tailed increments. We determine the asymptotics for tail probabilities for the area.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-03 Denis Denisov , Elena Perfilev , Vitali Wachtel

We consider a recurrent random walk of i.i.d. increments on the one-dimensional integer lattice and obtain a formula relating the hitting distribution of a half-line with the potential function, $a(x)$, of the random walk. Applying it, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-24 Kohei Uchiyama