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Data-driven modeling is useful for reconstructing nonlinear dynamical systems when the underlying process is unknown or too expensive to compute. Having reliable uncertainty assessment of the forecast enables tools to be deployed to predict…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-01 Mengyang Gu , Yizi Lin , Victor Chang Lee , Diana Qiu

Stochastic programs where the uncertainty distribution must be inferred from noisy data samples are considered. The stochastic programs are approximated with distributionally-robust optimizations that minimize the worst-case expected cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-04 Farhad Farokhi

Construction of ambiguity set in robust optimization relies on the choice of divergences between probability distributions. In distribution learning, choosing appropriate probability distributions based on observed data is critical for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-24 Xin Guo , Johnny Hong , Nan Yang

This paper studies a class of multiagent stochastic optimization problems where the objective is to minimize the expected value of a function which depends on a random variable. The probability distribution of the random variable is unknown…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-18 Ashish Cherukuri , Jorge Cortes

We study finite horizon reachable set estimation for unknown discrete-time dynamical systems using only sampled state trajectories. Rather than treating scenario optimization as a black-box tool, we show how it can be tailored to reachable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Georgios Pantazis , Michelle S. Chong

In this work, we develop a novel data-driven Bayesian nonparametric Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (BNWDRO) framework for decision-making under uncertainty. The proposed framework unifies a Bayesian nonparametric method…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Chao Ning , Xutao Ma

We present a data-driven approach for distributionally robust chance constrained optimization problems (DRCCPs). We consider the case where the decision maker has access to a finite number of samples or realizations of the uncertainty. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Ashish R. Hota , Ashish Cherukuri , John Lygeros

In this paper, we consider discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems with additive process noise in which both the initial state and noise distributions are uncertain. Our goal is to quantify how the uncertainty in these…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-19 Steven Adams , Eduardo Figueiredo , Luca Laurenti

We consider stochastic programs where the distribution of the uncertain parameters is only observable through a finite training dataset. Using the Wasserstein metric, we construct a ball in the space of (multivariate and non-discrete)…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-14 Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Daniel Kuhn

We consider machine learning, particularly regression, using locally-differentially private datasets. The Wasserstein distance is used to define an ambiguity set centered at the empirical distribution of the dataset corrupted by local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Farhad Farokhi

In this paper, we consider the problem of propagating an uncertain distribution by a possibly non-linear function and quantifying the resulting uncertainty. We measure the uncertainty using the Wasserstein distance, and for a given input…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-13 Eduardo Figueiredo , Steven Adams , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Luca Laurenti

We study decision dependent distributionally robust optimization models, where the ambiguity sets of probability distributions can depend on the decision variables. These models arise in situations with endogenous uncertainty. The developed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-26 Fengqiao Luo , Sanjay Mehrotra

In this paper, by proposing two new kinds of distributional uncertainty sets, we explore robustness of distortion risk measures against distributional uncertainty. To be precise, we first consider a distributional uncertainty set which is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-15 Xiangyu Han , Yijun Hu , Ran Wang , Linxiao Wei

Graphs are playing a crucial role in different fields since they are powerful tools to unveil intrinsic relationships among signals. In many scenarios, an accurate graph structure representing signals is not available at all and that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-14 Xiang Zhang , Yinfei Xu , Qinghe Liu , Zhicheng Liu , Jian Lu , Qiao Wang

In this article we present a general framework for non-concave robust stochastic control problems under model uncertainty in a discrete time finite horizon setting. Our framework allows to consider a variety of different path-dependent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Ariel Neufeld , Julian Sester

We study control of constrained linear systems with only partial statistical information about the uncertainty affecting the system dynamics and the sensor measurements. Specifically, given a finite collection of disturbance realizations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-15 Jean-Sébastien Brouillon , Andrea Martin , John Lygeros , Florian Dörfler , Giancarlo Ferrari Trecate

We present a methodology for predictable and safe covariance steering control of uncertain nonlinear stochastic processes. The systems under consideration are subject to general uncertainties, which include unbounded random disturbances…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-08 Aditya Gahlawat , Vivek Khatana , Duo Wang , Sambhu H. Karumanchi , Naira Hovakimyan , Petros Voulgaris

This paper studies a data-driven predictive control for a class of control-affine systems which is subject to uncertainty. With the accessibility to finite sample measurements of the uncertain variables, we aim to find controls which are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-03 Dan Li , Dariush Fooladivanda , Sonia Martinez

Structuring ambiguity sets in Wasserstein-based distributionally robust optimization (DRO) can improve their statistical properties when the uncertainty consists of multiple independent components. The aim of this paper is to solve…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Lotfi M. Chaouach , Tom Oomen , Dimitris Boskos

Robust optimization is a tractable and expressive technique for decision-making under uncertainty, but it can lead to overly conservative decisions when pessimistic assumptions are made on the uncertain parameters. Wasserstein…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Irina Wang , Cole Becker , Bart Van Parys , Bartolomeo Stellato