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Analyses of urban scaling laws assume that observations in different cities are independent of the existence of nearby cities. Here we introduce generative models and data-analysis methods that overcome this limitation by modelling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-21 Eduardo G. Altmann

Conformal prediction is a simple and powerful tool that can quantify uncertainty without any distributional assumptions. Many existing methods only address the average coverage guarantee, which is not ideal compared to the stronger…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-21 Xing Han , Ziyang Tang , Joydeep Ghosh , Qiang Liu

In high dimension, low sample size (HDLSS) settings, classifiers based on Euclidean distances like the nearest neighbor classifier and the average distance classifier perform quite poorly if differences between locations of the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-08 Sarbojit Roy , Soham Sarkar , Subhajit Dutta , Anil K. Ghosh

Sphere packings are essential to the development of physical models for powders, composite materials, and the atomic structure of the liquid state. There is a strong scientific need to be able to assess the fit of packing models to data,…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-10-31 Jeffrey Picka

The complete characterization of spatial coherence is difficult because the mutual coherence function is a complex-valued function of four independent variables. This difficulty limits the ability of controlling and optimizing spatial…

In this work, we propose an approach for assessing sensitivity to unobserved confounding in studies with multiple outcomes. We demonstrate how prior knowledge unique to the multi-outcome setting can be leveraged to strengthen causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-26 Jiajing Zheng , Jiaxi Wu , Alexander D'Amour , Alexander Franks

Spatial regression models have a variety of applications in several fields ranging from economics to public health. Typically, it is of interest to select important exogenous predictors of the spatially autocorrelated response variable. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Sagar Pandhare , Divya Kappara , Siuli Mukhopadhyay

The varying coefficient model has received broad attention from researchers as it is a powerful dimension reduction tool for non-parametric modeling. Most existing varying coefficient models fitted with polynomial spline assume equidistant…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-15 Xufei Wang , Bo Jiang , Jun S. Liu

Whereas confidence intervals are used to assess uncertainty due to unmeasured individuals, confounding intervals can be used to assess uncertainty due to unmeasured attributes. Previously, we have introduced a methodology for computing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Brian Knaeble , R Mitchell Hughes

Individual-level health data are often not publicly available due to confidentiality; masked data are released instead. Therefore, it is important to evaluate the utility of using the masked data in statistical analyses such as regression.…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-16 Yijie Zhou , Francesca Dominici , Thomas A. Louis

Results in epidemiology and social science often require the removal of confounding effects from measurements of the pairwise correlation of variables in survey data. This is typically accomplished by some variant of linear regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 William H. Press

In this paper we address the problem of matching two images with two different resolutions: a high-resolution image and a low-resolution one. The difference in resolution between the two images is not known and without loss of generality…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Yves Dufournaud , Cordelia Schmid , Radu Horaud

When observing spatial data, what standard errors should we report? With the finite population framework, we identify three channels of spatial correlation: sampling scheme, assignment design, and model specification. The Eicker-Huber-White…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-29 Ruonan Xu , Jeffrey M. Wooldridge

We consider the problems of variable selection and estimation in nonparametric additive regression models for high-dimensional data. In recent years, several methods have been proposed to model nonlinear relationships when the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-07 Linn Cecilie Bergersen , Kukatharmini Tharmaratnam , Ingrid K. Glad

Neural network ensembles, such as Bayesian neural networks (BNNs), have shown success in the areas of uncertainty estimation and robustness. However, a crucial challenge prohibits their use in practice. BNNs require a large number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Namuk Park , Songkuk Kim

In causal inference, sensitivity models assess how unmeasured confounders could alter causal analyses, but the sensitivity parameter -- which quantifies the degree of unmeasured confounding -- is often difficult to interpret. For this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 Alec McClean , Zach Branson , Edward H. Kennedy

Detecting and measuring confounding effects from data is a key challenge in causal inference. Existing methods frequently assume causal sufficiency, disregarding the presence of unobserved confounding variables. Causal sufficiency is both…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Abbavaram Gowtham Reddy , Vineeth N Balasubramanian

The scientific rigor and computational methods of causal inference have had great impacts on many disciplines, but have only recently begun to take hold in spatial applications. Spatial casual inference poses analytic challenges due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-07 Brian J Reich , Shu Yang , Yawen Guan , Andrew B Giffin , Matthew J Miller , Ana G Rappold

Background: The E-value has become widely used for assessing robustness to unmeasured confounding in observational studies, but the original framework was developed for single time-point exposure-outcome settings. This study extends the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-02 Md. Niamul Islam Sium

Microclimate models are essential for linking climate to ecological processes, yet most physically based frameworks estimate temperature independently for each spatial unit and rely on simplified representations of lateral heat exchange. As…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Idan Sulami , Alon Itzkovitch , Michael R. Kearney , Moni Shahar , Ofir Levy