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With increasing competition and pace in the financial markets, robust forecasting methods are becoming more and more valuable to investors. While machine learning algorithms offer a proven way of modeling non-linearities in time series,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-09 Lukas Ryll , Sebastian Seidens

Traffic prediction plays an important role in evaluating the performance of telecommunication networks and attracts intense research interests. A significant number of algorithms and models have been put forward to analyse traffic data and…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2018-04-04 Yuxiu Hua , Zhifeng Zhao , Rongpeng Li , Xianfu Chen , Zhiming Liu , Honggang Zhang

We investigate the predictability of several range-based stock volatility estimators, and compare them to the standard close-to-close estimator which is most commonly acknowledged as the volatility. The patterns of volatility changes are…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-21 Gábor Petneházi , József Gáll

Recurrent neural network is a powerful model that learns temporal patterns in sequential data. For a long time, it was believed that recurrent networks are difficult to train using simple optimizers, such as stochastic gradient descent, due…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-04-20 Tomas Mikolov , Armand Joulin , Sumit Chopra , Michael Mathieu , Marc'Aurelio Ranzato

With the rapid development of artificial intelligence, long short term memory (LSTM), one kind of recurrent neural network (RNN), has been widely applied in time series prediction. Like RNN, Transformer is designed to handle the sequential…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-21 Paul Bilokon , Yitao Qiu

The early outcome prediction of ongoing or completed processes confers competitive advantage to organizations. The performance of classic machine learning and, more recently, deep learning techniques such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

Customer segmentation has long been a productive field in banking. However, with new approaches to traditional problems come new opportunities. Fine-grained customer segments are notoriously elusive and one method of obtaining them is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-01-31 Charl Maree , Christian W. Omlin

Encouraged by the success of deep learning in a variety of domains, we investigate the suitability and effectiveness of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) in a domain where deep learning has not yet been used; namely detecting confusion from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-06-27 Shane D. Sims , Vanessa Putnam , Cristina Conati

In this work we propose lifted regression/reconstruction networks (LRRNs), which combine lifted neural networks with a guaranteed Lipschitz continuity property for the output layer. Lifted neural networks explicitly optimize an energy model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-08 Rasmus Kjær Høier , Christopher Zach

The paper examines the performance of regression models (OLS linear regression, Ridge regression, Random Forest, and Fully-connected Neural Network) on the prediction of CMA (Conservative Minus Aggressive) factor premium and the performance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-23 Prabhu Prasad Panda , Maysam Khodayari Gharanchaei , Xilin Chen , Haoshu Lyu

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have been used extensively and with increasing success to model various types of sequential data. Much of this progress has been achieved through devising recurrent units and architectures with the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-06 Yacine Jernite , Edouard Grave , Armand Joulin , Tomas Mikolov

The prediction of high-resolution hourly traffic volumes of a given roadway is essential for transportation planning. Traditionally, Automatic Traffic Recorders (ATR) are used to collect this hourly volume data. These large datasets are…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-26 MD Zadid Khan , Sakib Mahmud Khan , Mashrur Chowdhury , Kakan Dey

Machine and deep learning-based algorithms are the emerging approaches in addressing prediction problems in time series. These techniques have been shown to produce more accurate results than conventional regression-based modeling. It has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Sima Siami-Namini , Neda Tavakoli , Akbar Siami Namin

Network robustness is critical for various societal and industrial networks again malicious attacks. In particular, connectivity robustness and controllability robustness reflect how well a networked system can maintain its connectedness…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-25 Yang Lou , Ruizi Wu , Junli Li , Lin Wang , Xiang Li , Guanrong Chen

Recurrent neural networks are a powerful tool for modeling sequential data, but the dependence of each timestep's computation on the previous timestep's output limits parallelism and makes RNNs unwieldy for very long sequences. We introduce…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-11-22 James Bradbury , Stephen Merity , Caiming Xiong , Richard Socher

Accurate time series prediction is challenging due to the inherent nonlinearity and sensitivity to initial conditions. We propose a novel approach that enhances neural network predictions through differential learning, which involves…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Akash Yadav , Eulalia Nualart

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are more suitable for learning non-linear dependencies in dynamical systems from observed time series data. In practice all the external variables driving such systems are not known a priori, especially in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Mhlasakululeka Mvubu , Emmanuel Kabuga , Christian Plitz , Bubacarr Bah , Ronnie Becker , Hans Georg Zimmermann

Deep learning searches for nonlinear factors for predicting asset returns. Predictability is achieved via multiple layers of composite factors as opposed to additive ones. Viewed in this way, asset pricing studies can be revisited using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-27 Guanhao Feng , Jingyu He , Nicholas G. Polson

In the financial sector, a reliable forecast the future financial performance of a company is of great importance for investors' investment decisions. In this paper we compare long-term short-term memory (LSTM) networks to temporal…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-13 Lars Elend , Sebastian A. Tideman , Kerstin Lopatta , Oliver Kramer

Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and its variations such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), have become standard building blocks for learning online data of sequential nature in many research areas, including…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Enmao Diao , Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh