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``Localization'' has proven to be a valuable tool in the Statistical Learning literature as it allows sharp risk bounds in terms of the problem geometry. Localized bounds seem to be much less exploited in the Stochastic Optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-30 Roberto I. Oliveira , Philip Thompson

A well-known technique in estimating probabilities of rare events in general and in information theory in particular (used, e.g., in the sphere-packing bound), is that of finding a reference probability measure under which the event of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-12-23 Rami Atar , Neri Merhav

After experimenting with a number of non-probabilistic methods for dealing with uncertainty many researchers reaffirm a preference for probability methods [1] [2], although this remains controversial. The importance of being able to form…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Thomas Slack

In this paper, we prove a local limit theorem for the ratio of the Poisson distribution to the Gaussian distribution with the same mean and variance, using only elementary methods (Taylor expansions and Stirling's formula). We then apply…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-25 Frédéric Ouimet

Many representation schemes combining first-order logic and probability have been proposed in recent years. Progress in unifying logical and probabilistic inference has been slower. Existing methods are mainly variants of lifted variable…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Vibhav Gogate , Pedro Domingos

An approximation method is presented for probabilistic inference with continuous random variables. These problems can arise in many practical problems, in particular where there are "second order" probabilities. The approximation, based on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Ross D. Shachter

The local volatility model is a widely used for pricing and hedging financial derivatives. While its main appeal is its capability of reproducing any given surface of observed option prices---it provides a perfect fit---the essential…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-24 Martin Tegnér , Stephen Roberts

We consider recent formulations of the algorithmic Lovasz Local Lemma by Achlioptas-Iliopoulos-Kolmogorov [2] and by Achlioptas-Iliopoulos-Sinclair [3]. These papers analyze a random walk algorithm for finding objects that avoid undesired…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-08-17 Vladimir Kolmogorov

Local projections (LPs) are widely used for impulse response analysis, but Bayesian methods face challenges due to the absence of a likelihood function. Existing approaches rely on pseudo-likelihoods, which often result in poorly calibrated…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-19 Masahiro Tanaka

We consider methods for obtaining local lower bounds on characteristics of quantum (correspondingly, classical) systems, i.e. lower bounds valid in the trace norm $\epsilon$-neighborhood of a given state (correspondingly, probability…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-04-25 M. E. Shirokov

This work proposes a view of probability as a relative measure rather than an absolute one. To demonstrate this concept, we focus on finite outcome spaces and develop three fundamental axioms that establish requirements for relative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-30 Max Sklar

The constructive Lov\'{a}sz Local Lemma has become a central tool for designing efficient distributed algorithms. While it has been extensively studied in the classic LOCAL model that uses unlimited bandwidth, much less is known in the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Magnús M. Halldórsson , Yannic Maus , Saku Peltonen

We show that any randomised Monte Carlo distributed algorithm for the Lov\'asz local lemma requires $\Omega(\log \log n)$ communication rounds, assuming that it finds a correct assignment with high probability. Our result holds even in the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2015-11-04 Sebastian Brandt , Orr Fischer , Juho Hirvonen , Barbara Keller , Tuomo Lempiäinen , Joel Rybicki , Jukka Suomela , Jara Uitto

The concept of convex compactness, weaker than the classical notion of compactness, is introduced and discussed. It is shown that a large class of convex subsets of topological vector spaces shares this property and that is can be used in…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2010-06-02 Gordan Zitkovic

We give a complete expansion, at any accuracy order, for the iterated convolution of a complex valued integrable sequence in one space dimension. The remainders are estimated sharply with generalized Gaussian bounds. The result applies in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Jean-François Coulombel , Grégory Faye

The aim of this article is to promote the use of probabilistic methods in the study of problems in mathematical general relativity. Two new and simple singularity theorems, whose features are different from the classical singularity…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-21 Ismael Bailleul

We prove a local limit theorem for nearest neighbours random walks in stationary random environment of conductances on Z without using any of both classic assumptions of uniform ellipticity and independence on the conductances. Besides the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Jean-Marc Derrien

The objective of this paper is to study the characteristics (geometric and otherwise) of very large attribute based undirected networks. Real-world networks are often very large and fast evolving. Their analysis and understanding present a…

Applications · Statistics 2015-10-06 Koushiki Sarkar , Diganta Mukherjee

We present a new proof rule for verifying lower bounds on quantities of probabilistic programs. Our proof rule is not confined to almost-surely terminating programs -- as is the case for existing rules -- and can be used to establish…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Shenghua Feng , Mingshuai Chen , Han Su , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Naijun Zhan

These lecture notes focus on the application of ideas of locality, in particular Lieb-Robinson bounds, to quantum many-body systems. We consider applications including correlation decay, topological order, a higher dimensional…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2010-08-31 M. B. Hastings