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In the present paper, we consider the Pearson chi-square statistic defined on a finite alphabet which is assumed to dynamically vary as the sample size increases, and establish its moderate deviation principle.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Zhenhong Yu , Yu Miao

This work concerns about multiscale multivalued McKean-Vlasov stochastic systems. First of all, we use a contractive mapping principle to establish the well-posedness for fully coupled multivalued McKean-Vlasov stochastic systems under…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Huijie Qiao

In this paper we prove a necessary condition of the optimal control problem for a class of general mean-field forward-backward stochastic systems with jumps in the case where the diffusion coefficients depend on control, the control set…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Tao Hao , Qingxin Meng

In order to understand the impact of random influences at physical boundary on the evolution of multiscale systems, a stochastic partial differential equation model under a fast random dynamical boundary condition is investigated. The…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-08-07 Wei Wang , Jinqiao Duan

We consider the averaging principle for deterministic or stochastic systems with a fast stochastic component (family of continuous-time Markov chains depending on the state of the system as a parameter). We show that, due to bifurcations in…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Mark Freidlin , Leonid Koralov

This paper introduces coordinate-independent methods for analysing multiscale dynamical systems using numerical techniques based on the transfer operator and its adjoint. In particular, we present a method for testing whether an arbitrary…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-09-30 Gary Froyland , Georg A. Gottwald , Andy Hammerlindl

Dynamical systems theory provides powerful methods to extract effective macroscopic dynamics from complex systems with slow modes and fast modes. Here we derive and theoretically support a macroscopic, spatially discrete, model for a class…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2010-03-12 Wei Wang , A. J. Roberts

The incidence of rare events in fast-slow systems is investigated via analysis of the large deviation principle (LDP) that characterizes the likelihood and pathway of large fluctuations of the slow variables away from their mean behavior --…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-02-17 Freddy Bouchet , Tobias Grafke , Tomás Tangarife , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

The main purpose of this article is to establish moderate deviation principles for additive functionals of bifurcating Markov chains. Bifurcating Markov chains are a class of processes which are indexed by a regular binary tree. They can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-21 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Gorgui Gackou

Consider a collection of particles whose state evolution is described through a system of interacting diffusions in which each particle is driven by an independent individual source of noise and also by a small amount of noise that is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Amarjit Budhiraja , Michael Conroy

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of path-dependent multivalued McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations perturbed by small noise. Specifically, we first establish a large deviation principle for such equations under…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Ying Ma , Huijie Qiao

A moderate deviations principle for the law of a stochastic Burgers equation is proved via the weak convergence approach. In addition, some useful estimates toward a central limit theorem are established.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-17 Rachid Belfadli , Lahcen Boulanba , Mohamed Mellouk

Importance sampling has become an important tool for the computation of tail-based risk measures. Since such quantities are often determined mainly by rare events standard Monte Carlo can be inefficient and importance sampling provides a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-29 Pierre Nyquist

We consider random walk with bounded jumps on a hypercubic lattice of arbitrary dimension in a dynamic random environment. The environment is temporally independent and spatially translation invariant. We study the rate functions of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Firas Rassoul-Agha , Timo Seppäläinen , Atilla Yilmaz

We study two interacting particle systems, both modeled as a system of $N$ stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motions with singular kernels and moderate interaction. We show a quantitative result where the convergence rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Josué Knorst , Christian Olivera , Alexandre B. de Souza

The aim of this paper is to develop tractable large deviation approximations for the empirical measure of a small noise diffusion. The starting point is the Freidlin-Wentzell theory, which shows how to approximate via a large deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-11 Paul Dupuis , Guo-Jhen Wu

We consider the discretization in time of a system of parabolic stochastic partial differential equations with slow and fast components; the fast equation is driven by an additive space-time white noise. The numerical method is inspired by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-02-14 Charles-Edouard Bréhier

We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems where the slow motion is driven by fractional Brownian motion. We develop statistical estimators for both the Hurst index as well as a vector of unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-26 Solesne Bourguin , Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We study a one-dimensional Markov modulated random walk with jumps. It is assumed that amplitudes of jumps as well as a chosen velocity regime are random and depend on a time spent by the process at a previous state of the underlying Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-13 Nikita Ratanov

We consider a class of tempered subordinators, namely a class of subordinators with one-dimensional marginal tempered distributions which belong to a family studied in [3]. The main contribution in this paper is a non-central moderate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Nikolai Leonenko , Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti
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