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The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and the El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are two dominant modes of tropical climate variability, each with profound global weather impacts. While their individual dynamics have been widely studied,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-22 Yinling Zhang , Nan Chen , Charlotte Moser

Non-equilibrium and equilibrium fluid systems differ due to the existence of long-range correlations in non-equilibrium that are not present in equilibrium, except at critical points. Here we examine fluctuations of the temperature, of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-02 T. R. Kirkpatrick , J. R. Dorfman

Considering light-mediated long-range interactions between cold atoms in a magneto-optical trap (MOT), we present numerical evidence of a nonequilibrium steady state (NESS) for sufficiently large number of atoms (> 10^8). This state…

Atomic Physics · Physics 2022-12-20 Marius Gaudesius , Yong-Chang Zhang , Thomas Pohl , Guillaume Labeyrie , Robin Kaiser

A stochastic dynamics has a natural decomposition into a drift capturing mean rate of change and a martingale increment capturing randomness. They are two statistically uncorrelated, but not necessarily independent mechanisms contributing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-28 Ying-Jen Yang , Hong Qian

We investigate the low-temperature dynamics of a simple stochastic model, introduced recently in the context of the physics of glasses. The slowest characteristic time at equilibrium diverges exponentially at low temperature. On smaller…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 C Godreche , J M Luck

We review some recent developments which make use of the concept of `superstatistics', an effective description for nonequilibrium systems with a varying intensive parameter such as the inverse temperature. We describe how the asymptotic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-08-23 Christian Beck

We develop Bayesian state space methods for modelling changes to the mean level or temporal correlation structure of an observed time series due to intermittent coupling with an unobserved process. Novel intervention methods are proposed to…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-08 Philip G. Sansom , Daniel B. Williamson , David B. Stephenson

When periodically driven by an external magnetic field, a spin system can enter a phase of steady entrained oscillations with nonequilibrium probability distribution function. We consider an arbitrary magnetic field switching its direction…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-02-27 Seung Ki Baek , Fabio Marchesoni

The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the strongest driver of interannual global climate variability and can lead to extreme weather events like droughts and flooding. Additionally, ENSO influences the mean global temperature with…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-02-04 J. Ludescher , J. Meng , J. Fan , A. Bunde , H. J. Schellnhuber

Among various possible routes to extend entropy and thermodynamics to nonequilibrium steady states (NESS), we take the one which is guided by operational thermodynamics and the Clausius relation. In our previous study, we derived the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-02-13 Teruhisa S. Komatsu , Naoko Nakagawa , Shin-ichi Sasa , Hal Tasaki

Relaxation dynamics of complex quantum systems with strong interactions towards the steady state is a fundamental problem in statistical mechanics. The steady state of subsystems weakly interacting with their environment is described by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-06-22 Alexey M. Shakirov , Yulia E. Shchadilova , Alexey N. Rubtsov

It is known that each single typical pure state in an energy shell of a large isolated quantum system well represents a thermal equilibrium state of the system. We show that such typicality holds also for nonequilibrium steady states…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-02 Takaaki Monnai , Kazuya Yuasa

Studying the response of a climate system to perturbations has practical significance. Standard methods in computing the trajectory-wise deviation caused by perturbations may suffer from the chaotic nature that makes the model error…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-07 Marios Andreou , Nan Chen

Basin stability (BS) is a measure of nonlinear stability in multi-stable dynamical systems. BS has previously been estimated using Monte-Carlo simulations, which requires the explicit knowledge of a dynamical model. We discuss the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-12-08 Adrian van Kan , Jannes Jegminat , Jonathan Donges

Here we use a very simple conceptual model in an attempt to reduce essential parts of the complex nonlinearity of abrupt glacial climate changes (the so-called Dansgaard-Oeschger events) to a few simple principles, namely (i) a threshold…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-01-29 H. Braun , A. Ganopolski , M. Christl , D. R. Chialvo

El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) exhibits diverse characteristics in spatial pattern, peak intensity, and temporal evolution. Here we develop a three-region multiscale stochastic model to show that the observed ENSO complexity can be…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-04-16 Nan Chen , Xianghui Fang , Jin-Yi Yu

We study the relationship between the El Ni\~no--Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian summer monsoon in ensemble simulations from state-of-the-art climate models, the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM) and the Community…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Mátyás Herein , Gábor Drótos , Tamás Bódai , Frank Lunkeit , Valerio Lucarini

The climate belongs to the class of non-equilibrium forced and dissipative systems, for which most results of quasi-equilibrium statistical mechanics, including the fluctuation-dissipation theorem, do not apply. We show for the first time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-11 Valerio Lucarini , Stefania Sarno

The Lorenz equations [1] are a severe Galerkin-truncation of the Oberbeck-Boussinesq (OB) equations describing Rayleigh-B\'enard convection (RBC). Here we examine the mathematical connections between the chaotic lobe-switching behavior of a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-29 Yanni Bills , J. S. Wettlaufer

A new theoretical approach to non-equilibrium statistical systems has recently been proposed by the author, a co-author and others. It is based on a variational principle which is associated with the discrepancy of a path through…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-08-06 Richard Kleeman
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