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Many parametric statistical models are not properly normalised and only specified up to an intractable partition function, which renders parameter estimation difficult. Examples of unnormalised models are Gibbs distributions, Markov random…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-12 Ciwan Ceylan , Michael U. Gutmann

This paper considers the problem of variable selection allowing for parameter instability. It distinguishes between signal and pseudo-signal variables that are correlated with the target variable, and noise variables that are not, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-17 Alexander Chudik , M. Hashem Pesaran , Mahrad Sharifvaghefi

We consider a strictly stationary random field on the two-dimensional integer lattice with regularly varying marginal and finite-dimensional distributions. Exploiting the regular variation, we define the spatial extremogram which takes into…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Ewa Damek , Thomas Mikosch , Yuwei Zhao , Jacek Zienkiewicz

Gaussian processes are rich distributions over functions, with generalization properties determined by a kernel function. When used for long-range extrapolation, predictions are particularly sensitive to the choice of kernel parameters. It…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-05 Phillip A. Jang , Andrew E. Loeb , Matthew B. Davidow , Andrew Gordon Wilson

By using Bismut's approach about the Malliavin calculus with jumps, we study the regularity of the distributional density for SDEs driven by degenerate additive L\'evy noises. Under full H\"ormander's conditions, we prove the existence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-21 Yulin Song , Xicheng Zhang

This paper addresses the problem of learning linear dynamical systems from noisy observations. In this setting, existing algorithms either yield biased parameter estimates or have large sample complexities. We resolve these issues by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-08 Yuyang Zhang , Xinhe Zhang , Jia Liu , Na Li

High-throughput data analyses are becoming common in biology, communications, economics and sociology. The vast amounts of data are usually represented in the form of matrices and can be considered as knowledge networks. Spectra-based…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-01-06 Viet-Anh Nguyen , Zdena Koukolikova-Nicola , Franco Bagnoli , Pietro Lio

Given a sample from a discretely observed L\'evy process $X=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ of the finite jump activity, the problem of nonparametric estimation of the L\'evy density $\rho$ corresponding to the process $X$ is studied. An estimator of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili

We consider the problem of parameter estimation by the observations of deterministic signal in white gaussian noise. It is supposed that the signal has a singularity of cusp-type. The properties of the maximum likelihood and bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-10 Oleg Chernoyarov , Serguei Dachian , Yury Kutoyants

Discrete time trawl processes constitute a large class of time series parameterized by a trawl sequence (a j) j$\in$N and defined though a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) copies of a continuous time process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Paul Doukhan , François Roueff , Joseph Rynkiewicz

Managing noisy data is a central challenge in direct data-driven control design. We propose an approach for synthesizing model-reference controllers for linear time-invariant (LTI) systems using noisy state-input data, employing novel noise…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-20 Manas Mejari , Valentina Breschi , Simone Formentin , Dario Piga

In this paper, we establish a large deviation principle for a type of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with locally monotone coefficients driven by L\'evy noise. The weak convergence method plays an important role.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-08 Jie Xiong , Jianliang Zhai

We investigate the stationary diffusion equation with a coefficient given by a (transformed) L\'evy random field. L\'evy random fields are constructed by smoothing L\'evy noise fields with kernels from the Mat\'ern class. We show that…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-11-19 Oliver G. Ernst , Hanno Gottschalk , Thomas Kalmes , Toni Kowalewitz , Marco Reese

A non-parametric diffusion model with an additive fractional Brownian motion noise is considered in this work. The drift is a non-parametric function that will be estimated by two methods. On one hand, we propose a locally linear estimator…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Bruno Saussereau

We consider nonparametric statistical inference for L\'evy processes sampled irregularly, at low frequency. The estimation of the jump dynamics as well as the estimation of the distributional density are investigated. Non-asymptotic risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-23 Johanna Kappus

We develop asymptotic theory for weighted likelihood estimators (WLE) under two-phase stratified sampling without replacement. We also consider several variants of WLEs involving estimated weights and calibration. A set of empirical process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-09 Takumi Saegusa , Jon A. Wellner

This paper focuses on the problem of recursive nonlinear least squares parameter estimation in multi-agent networks, in which the individual agents observe sequentially over time an independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.)…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-20 Anit Kumar Sahu , Soummya Kar , Jose' M. F. Moura , H. Vincent Poor

Some limit theorems are proven for the linear oscillator with random coefficients. The asymptotic behaviour of the moments is studied in detail. The technique presented in this paper can be applied to general linear systems with noise and…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2016-09-08 V. Balandin , H. Mais

Stochastic volatility modelling of financial processes has become increasingly popular. The proposed models usually contain a stationary volatility process. We will motivate and review several nonparametric methods for estimation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-15 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij , Harry van Zanten

The paper is concerned with spatial and time regularity of solutions to linear stochastic evolution equation perturbed by L\'evy white noise "obtained by subordination of a Gaussian white noise". Sufficient conditions for spatial continuity…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-23 Zdzisław Brzeźniak , Jerzy Zabczyk