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In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

We study system design problems stated as parameterized stochastic programs with a chance-constraint set. We adopt a Bayesian approach that requires the computation of a posterior predictive integral which is usually intractable. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-07 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

In this paper, we propose a sequence-to-set method that can transform any sequence generative model based on maximum likelihood to a set generative model where we can evaluate the utility/probability of any set. An efficient importance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Longtao Tang , Ying Zhou , Yu Yang

We consider the utilization of a computational model to guide the optimal acquisition of experimental data to inform the stochastic description of model input parameters. Our formulation is based on the recently developed consistent…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-04 Scott N. Walsh , Tim M. Wildey , John D. Jakeman

The Bayesian approach has proved to be a coherent approach to handle ill posed Inverse problems. However, the Bayesian calculations need either an optimization or an integral calculation. The maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation requires…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Mohammad-Djafari

When working with multimodal Bayesian posterior distributions, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have difficulty moving between modes, and default variational or mode-based approximate inferences will understate posterior…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-19 Yuling Yao , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

Many geophysical problems can be cast as inverse problems that estimate a set of parameter values from observed data. Within a Bayesian framework, solutions to such problems are described probabilistically by the so-called posterior…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-07-23 Xuebin Zhao , Andrew Curtis

This paper presents a new Expectation Propagation (EP) framework for image restoration using patch-based prior distributions. While Monte Carlo techniques are classically used to sample from intractable posterior distributions, they can…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-11 Dan Yao , Stephen McLaughlin , Yoann Altmann

We present a continuation method that entails generating a sequence of transition probability density functions from the prior to the posterior in the context of Bayesian inference for parameter estimation problems. The characterization of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-27 Ben Mansour Dia

We develop a self-supervised ensemble learning (SSEL) method to accurately classify distinct types of phase transitions by analyzing the fluctuation properties of machine learning outputs. Employing the 2D Potts model and the 2D Clock model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-27 Chi-Ting Ho , Daw-Wei Wang

We develop a computational framework to quantify uncertainty in shear elastography imaging of anomalies in tissues. We adopt a Bayesian inference formulation. Given the observed data, a forward model and their uncertainties, we find the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-07 Ana Carpio , Elena Cebrian , Andrea Gutierrez

Bayesian inference in deep neural networks is challenging due to the high-dimensional, strongly multi-modal parameter posterior density landscape. Markov chain Monte Carlo approaches asymptotically recover the true posterior but are…

Estimating the entropy rate of discrete time series is a challenging problem with important applications in numerous areas including neuroscience, genomics, image processing and natural language processing. A number of approaches have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-22 Ioannis Papageorgiou , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

We propose an Euler particle transport (EPT) approach for generative learning. The proposed approach is motivated by the problem of finding an optimal transport map from a reference distribution to a target distribution characterized by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Yuan Gao , Jian Huang , Yuling Jiao , Jin Liu , Xiliang Lu , Zhijian Yang

This paper considers properties of an optimization based sampler for targeting the posterior distribution when the likelihood is intractable and auxiliary statistics are used to summarize information in the data. Our reverse sampler…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-02 Jean-Jacques Forneron , Serena Ng

Set Shaping Theory (SST) moves beyond the classical fixed-space model by constructing bijective mappings the original sequence set into structured regions of a larger sequence space. These shaped subsets are characterized by a reduced…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-23 A. Schmidt , A. Vdberg , A. Petit

Estimating the predictive uncertainty of a Bayesian learning model is critical in various decision-making problems, e.g., reinforcement learning, detecting adversarial attack, self-driving car. As the model posterior is almost always…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Yufei Cui , Wuguannan Yao , Qiao Li , Antoni B. Chan , Chun Jason Xue

In this paper, we study a fast approximate inference method based on expectation propagation for exploring the posterior probability distribution arising from the Bayesian formulation of nonlinear inverse problems. It is capable of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Matthias Gehre , Bangti Jin

The following electromagnetism (EM) inverse problem is addressed. It consists in estimating local radioelectric properties of materials recovering an object from global EM scattering measurements, at various incidences and wave frequencies.…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-12 François Giraud , Pierre Minvielle , Pierre Del Moral

Medical time-series datasets have unique characteristics that make prediction tasks challenging. Most notably, patient trajectories often contain longitudinal variations in their input-output relationships, generally referred to as temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Victor D. Bourgin , Ioana Bica , Mihaela van der Schaar
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