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Predicting cancer dynamics under treatment is challenging due to high inter-patient heterogeneity, lack of predictive biomarkers, and sparse and noisy longitudinal data. Mathematical models can summarize cancer dynamics by a few…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-24 Even Moa Myklebust , Arnoldo Frigessi , Fredrik Schjesvold , Jasmine Foo , Kevin Leder , Alvaro Köhn-Luque

Model informed precision dosing (MIPD) is a Bayesian framework to individualize drug therapy based on prior knowledge and patient-specific monitoring data. Typically, prior knowledge results from controlled clinical trials with a more…

Computation · Statistics 2025-05-27 Franziska Thoma , Niklas Hartung , Manfred Opper , Wilhelm Huisinga

Clustering is commonly performed as an initial analysis step for uncovering structure in 'omics datasets, e.g. to discover molecular subtypes of disease. The high-throughput, high-dimensional nature of these datasets means that they provide…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-02 Paul D. W. Kirk , Filippo Pagani , Sylvia Richardson

Multisource domain adaptation (MDA) aims to use multiple source datasets with available labels to infer labels on a target dataset without available labels for target supervision. Prior works on MDA in the literature is ad-hoc as the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Alexander M. Glandon , Khan M. Iftekharuddin

Human exposure to chemicals commonly arises from multiple sources, yet traditional assessments often treat these sources in isolation, overlooking their combined impact. We introduce a Bayesian framework for aggregated chemical exposure…

Network meta-analysis (NMA) synthesizes evidence for multiple treatments, but decisions on node formation can have important statistical implications including bias or inflated uncertainty. Existing data-driven methods often lack…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-30 Timothy Disher , Chris Cameron , Brian Hutton

Data Assimilation is a cornerstone of atmospheric system modeling, tasked with reconstructing system states by integrating sparse, noisy observations with prior estimation. While traditional approaches like variational and ensemble Kalman…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Hao Wang , Zixuan Weng , Jindong Han , Wei Fan , Hao Liu

Successful pharmaceutical drug development requires finding correct doses that provide an optimum balance between efficacy and toxicity. Competing responses to dose such as efficacy and toxicity often will increase with dose, and it is…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-26 A. Lawrence Gould

We propose a new integrated phase I/II trial design to identify the most efficacious dose combination that also satisfies certain safety requirements for drug-combination trials. We first take a Bayesian copula-type model for dose finding…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-09 Ying Yuan , Guosheng Yin

Accurate trend forecasting in healthcare time series is essential for planning and resource allocation. This paper proposes a Bayesian framework for predicting oncology demand trends, modeling weekly appointments as a Poisson process with a…

Causal discovery is crucial for understanding complex systems and informing decisions. While observational data can uncover causal relationships under certain assumptions, it often falls short, making active interventions necessary. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Yuxuan Wang , Mingzhou Liu , Xinwei Sun , Wei Wang , Yizhou Wang

This study explores the classification error of Mixture Discriminant Analysis (MDA) in scenarios where the number of mixture components exceeds those present in the actual data distribution, a condition known as overspecification. We use a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-03 Arman Bolatov , Alan Legg , Igor Melnykov , Amantay Nurlanuly , Maxat Tezekbayev , Zhenisbek Assylbekov

Alzheimer's disease (AD) persists as a paramount challenge in neurological research, characterized by the pathological hallmarks of amyloid-$\beta$ (A$\beta$) plaques and neurofibrillary tangles composed of hyperphosphorylated tau. This…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-05 She Xutong

Network Meta-Analysis (NMA) is an increasingly popular evidence synthesis tool that can provide a ranking of competing treatments, also known as a treatment hierarchy. Treatment-Covariate Interactions (TCIs) can be included in NMA models to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Augustine Wigle , Erica E. M. Moodie

Given the joint chances of a pair of random variables one can compute quantities of interest, like the mutual information. The Bayesian treatment of unknown chances involves computing, from a second order prior distribution and the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Marcus Hutter , Marco Zaffalon

Accurate plasma state reconstruction will be crucial for the success of ITER and future fusion plants, but the harsh conditions of a burning plasma will make diagnostic operation more challenging than in current machines. Integrated data…

Predicting the presence of major depressive disorder (MDD) using behavioural and cognitive signals is a highly non-trivial task. The heterogeneous clinical profile of MDD means that any given speech, facial expression and/or observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-26 Salvatore Fara , Orlaith Hickey , Alexandra Georgescu , Stefano Goria , Emilia Molimpakis , Nicholas Cummins

Chemotherapeutic response of cancer cells to a given compound is one of the most fundamental information one requires to design anti-cancer drugs. Recent advances in producing large drug screens against cancer cell lines provided an…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-17 Mehmet Tan , Ozan Fırat Özgül , Batuhan Bardak , Işıksu Ekşioğlu , Suna Sabuncuoğlu

X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS) is a powerful technique to probe the electronic and structural properties of materials. With the rapid growth in both the volume and complexity of XAS datasets driven by advancements in synchrotron…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-02-25 Xue Han , Haodong Yao , Fei Zhan , Xueqi Song , Junfang Zhao , Haifeng Zhao

Despite advances in test-time scaling and diffusion finetuning, guidance for Auto-Regressive Diffusion Models (ARDMs) remains underexplored. We introduce an amortized framework that augments a pretrained ARDM with an offline-trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Prakhar Srivastava , Farrin Marouf Sofian , Francesco Immorlano , Kushagra Pandey , Stephan Mandt
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