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The extremes of a stationary time series typically occur in clusters. A primary measure for this phenomenon is the extremal index, representing the reciprocal of the expected cluster size. Both a disjoint and a sliding blocks estimator for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-14 Betina Berghaus , Axel Bücher

In this paper we develop new extremal principles in variational analysis that deal with finite and infinite systems of convex and nonconvex sets. The results obtained, unified under the name of tangential extremal principles, combine primal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-01-24 Boris S. Mordukhovich , Hung M. Phan

In this paper, we introduce a mathematical apparatus that is relevant for understanding a dynamical system with small random perturbations and coupled with the so-called transmutation process -- where the latter jumps from one mode to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-09-15 Getachew K. Befekadu

We consider a finite horizon optimal stopping problem related to trade-off strategies between expected profit and cost cash-flows of an investment under uncertainty. The optimal problem is first formulated in terms of a system of Snell…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-25 Boualem Djehiche , Said Hamadène , Marie Amélie Morlais

Various notions of fluctuations exist depending on the way one chooses to measure them. We discuss two extreme cases (continuous measurement versus long inter-measurement times) and we see their relation with entropy production and with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-05 C. Maes , K. Netocny

We will investigate the value and inactive region of optimal stopping and one-sided singular control problems by focusing on two fundamental ratios. We shall see that these ratios unambiguously characterize the solution, although usually…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Pekka Matomäki

Convergence of Extremum Seeking (ES) algorithms has been established in the limit of small gains. Using averaging theory and contraction analysis, we propose a framework for computing explicit bounds on the departure of the ES scheme from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-03-20 Gabriel Bousquet , Jean-Jacques Slotine

For a class of non-uniformly hyperbolic interval maps, we study rates of escape with respect to conformal measures associated with a family of geometric potentials. We establish the existence of physically relevant conditionally invariant…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-04-13 Mark Demers , Mike Todd

We investigate extreme value theory for physical systems with a global conservation law which describe renewal processes, mass transport models and long-range interacting spin models. As shown previously, a special feature is that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-04 Marc Höll , Wanli Wang , Eli Barkai

We present a new method for estimating the edge of a two-dimensional bounded set, given a finite random set of points drawn from the interior. The estimator is based both on Haar series and extreme values of the point process. We give…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-03-31 Stéphane Girard , Pierre Jacob

The main objective of this paper is the construction of the solution of an impulsive stochastic differential equation, subject to control conditions in the pulse-times and give sufficient conditions for them to be random variables with…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-24 Ricardo Castro Santis

A general method to derive the master equations for extremal models is established. These systems are shown to develop a peculiar kind of correlations between elements related to the characterization of extremal dynamics as an information…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Daniele Balboni

A central problem in uncertainty quantification is how to characterize the impact that our incomplete knowledge about models has on the predictions we make from them. This question naturally lends itself to a probabilistic formulation, by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-03 Giovanni Dematteis , Tobias Grafke , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

We discuss how an eigenvalue perturbation formula for transfer operators of dynamical systems is related to exponential hitting time distributions and extreme value theory for processes generated by chaotic dynamical systems. We also list a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-01-16 Gerhard Keller

The problem of computing the reachable set for a given system is a quintessential question in nonlinear control theory. While previous work has yielded a plethora of approximate and analytical methods for determining such a set, these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Melkior Ornik

We consider stationary configurations of points in Euclidean space which are marked by positive random variables called scores. The scores are allowed to depend on the relative positions of other points and outside sources of randomness.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Bojan Basrak , Ilya Molchanov , Hrvoje Planinić

For linear infinite systems the approximate controllability problem by control constraints is considered. Controllability conditions represented via system parameters are obtained. Partial differential control systems and control systems…

solv-int · Physics 2008-02-03 B. Shklyar

The control and risk assessment in complex information systems require to take into account extremes arising from nodes with large node degrees. Various sampling techniques like a Page Rank random walk, a Metropolis-Hastings Markov chain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-18 Natalia Markovich

We consider controlled martingales with bounded steps where the controller is allowed at each step to choose the distribution of the next step, and where the goal is to hit a fixed ball at the origin at time $n$. We show that the algebraic…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Scott N. Armstrong , Ofer Zeitouni

We consider both discrete and continuous "uncertain horizon" deterministic control processes, for which the termination time is a random variable. We examine the dynamic programming equations for the value function of such processes,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-01-06 June Andrews , Alexander Vladimirsky