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Related papers: Non-Bayesian Social Learning with Uncertain Models

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We develop original models to study interacting agents in financial markets and in social networks. Within these models randomness is vital as a form of shock or news that decays with time. Agents learn from their observations and learning…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-14 Ionel Popescu , Tushar Vaidya

This paper proposes a belief-based framework for social norms in environments where individuals choose a single action. Relaxing the assumption that the appropriateness standard is common knowledge, the framework allows individuals to be…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-04-30 Senran Lin

Neural Linear Models (NLM) are deep Bayesian models that produce predictive uncertainties by learning features from the data and then performing Bayesian linear regression over these features. Despite their popularity, few works have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-17 Sujay Thakur , Cooper Lorsung , Yaniv Yacoby , Finale Doshi-Velez , Weiwei Pan

We consider a social learning problem, where a network of agents is interested in selecting one among a finite number of hypotheses. We focus on weakly-connected graphs where the network is partitioned into a sending part and a receiving…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Vincenzo Matta , Virginia Bordignon , Augusto Santos , Ali H. Sayed

This paper addresses the problem of distributed hypothesis testing in multi-agent networks, where agents repeatedly collect local observations about an unknown state of the world, and try to collaboratively detect the true state through…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2016-06-13 Lili Su , Nitin H. Vaidya

The problem of state estimation for unobservable distribution systems is considered. A deep learning approach to Bayesian state estimation is proposed for real-time applications. The proposed technique consists of distribution learning of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-26 Kursat Rasim Mestav , Jaime Luengo-Rozas , Lang Tong

A comprehensive artificial intelligence system needs to not only perceive the environment with different `senses' (e.g., seeing and hearing) but also infer the world's conditional (or even causal) relations and corresponding uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-07 Hao Wang , Dit-Yan Yeung

This manuscript presents an advanced framework for Bayesian learning by incorporating action and state-dependent signal variances into decision-making models. This framework is pivotal in understanding complex data-feedback loops and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-29 Kaiwen Hou

Systems such as sensor networks and teams of autonomous robots consist of multiple autonomous entities that interact with each other in a distributed, asynchronous manner. These entities need to keep track of the state of the system as it…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Avi Pfeffer , Terry Tai

We analyze boundedly rational updating from aggregate statistics in a model with binary actions and binary states. Agents each take an irreversible action in sequence after observing the unordered set of previous actions. Each agent first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-11 Itai Arieli , Yakov Babichenko , Manuel Mueller-Frank

Social learning is a powerful mechanism through which agents learn about the world from others. However, humans don't always choose to observe others, since social learning can carry time and cognitive resource costs. How do people balance…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Lance Ying , Ryan Truong , Joshua B. Tenenbaum , Samuel J. Gershman

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) augment deep networks with uncertainty quantification by Bayesian treatment of the network weights. However, such models face the challenge of Bayesian inference in a high-dimensional and usually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Zhijie Deng , Yucen Luo , Jun Zhu , Bo Zhang

When collaborating with an AI system, we need to assess when to trust its recommendations. If we mistakenly trust it in regions where it is likely to err, catastrophic failures may occur, hence the need for Bayesian approaches for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Federico Cerutti , Lance M. Kaplan , Angelika Kimmig , Murat Sensoy

This paper presents an experimental study to investigate the learning and decision making behavior of individuals in a human society. Social learning is used as the mathematical basis for modelling interaction of individuals that aim to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-08-25 Maziyar Hamdi , Grayden Solman , Alan Kingstone , Vikram Krishnamurthy

Humans can learn languages from remarkably little experience. Developing computational models that explain this ability has been a major challenge in cognitive science. Bayesian models that build in strong inductive biases - factors that…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-25 R. Thomas McCoy , Thomas L. Griffiths

In this paper we study the problem of social learning under multiple true hypotheses and self-interested agents which exchange information over a graph. In this setup, each agent receives data that might be generated from a different…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Konstantinos Ntemos , Virginia Bordignon , Stefan Vlaski , Ali H. Sayed

Our opinions, which things we like or dislike, depend on the opinions of those around us. Nowadays, we are influenced by the opinions of online strangers, expressed in comments and ratings on online platforms. Here, we perform novel…

What do data tell us about physics-and what don't they tell us? There has been a surge of interest in using machine learning models to discover governing physical laws such as differential equations from data, but current methods lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Steven Atkinson

Machine Learning is becoming more prevalent in science and engineering, but many approaches do not provide meaningful uncertainty estimates and predictions may also violate known physical knowledge. We propose a Bayesian framework to embed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Matthew Marsh , Benoît Chachuat , Antonio del Rio Chanona

Bayes' rule has enabled innumerable powerful algorithms of statistical signal processing and statistical machine learning. However, when model misspecifications exist in prior and/or data distributions, the direct application of Bayes' rule…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-13 Shixiong Wang
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