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The practice of valuation by marking-to-market with current trading prices is seriously flawed. Under leverage the problem is particularly dramatic: due to the concave form of market impact, selling always initially causes the expected…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-28 Fabio Caccioli , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , J. Doyne Farmer

We investigate the variety of a portfolio of stocks in normal and extreme days of market activity. We show that the variety carries information about the market activity which is not present in the single-index model and we observe that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

The growth of the exhange-traded fund (ETF) industry has given rise to the trading of options written on ETFs and their leveraged counterparts {(LETFs)}. We study the relationship between the ETF and LETF implied volatility surfaces when…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-16 Tim Leung , Matthew Lorig , Andrea Pascucci

Relative weight analysis is a classic tool for detecting whether one variable or interaction in a model is relevant. In this study, we focus on the construction of relative weights for non-linear interactions using restricted cubic splines.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-30 Maikol Solís , Carlos Pasquier

We review the dynamics of the returns of Leveraged Exchange Traded Funds (LETFs) and propose a new measure of realized volatility: Shortfall from Maximum Convexity. We show that SMC has a more intuitive interpretation and provides more…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-06 Matthew Ginley

We use a controlled laboratory experiment to study the causal impact of income decreases within a time period on redistribution decisions at the end of that period, in an environment where we keep fixed the sum of incomes over the period.…

General Economics · Economics 2021-07-08 Nickolas Gagnon , Riccardo D. Saulle , Henrik W. Zaunbrecher

What return should you expect when you take on a given amount of risk? How should that return depend upon other people's behavior? What principles can you use to answer these questions? In this paper, we approach these topics by exploring…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 Emanuel Derman

We demonstrate that minority mechanisms arise in the dynamics of markets because of effects of price impact; accordingly the relative importance of minority and delayed majority mechanisms depends on the frequency of trading. We then use…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Damien Challet , Tobias Galla

By incorporating market impact and asymmetric sensitivity into the evolutionary minority game, we study the coevolutionary dynamics of stock prices and investment strategies in financial markets. Both the stock price movement and the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-11 Li-Xin Zhong , Wen-Juan Xu , Fei Ren , Yong-Dong Shi

Discrete time hedging in a complete diffusion market is considered. The hedge portfolio is rebalanced when the absolute difference between delta of the hedge portfolio and the derivative contract reaches a threshold level. The rate of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-27 Mats Brodén , Magnus Wiktorsson

By studying all the trades and best bids/asks of ultra high frequency snapshots recorded from the order books of a basket of 10 futures assets, we bring qualitative empirical evidence that the impact of a single trade depends on the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-28 Khalil al Dayri , Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-Francois Muzy

In observational studies with dichotomous outcome of a population, researchers need to present the effects of exposures and interaction between the exposures jointly in order to learn the relationship between the exposure effects and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-22 Xiaoqin Wang , Weimin Ye , Li Yin

This paper characterizes the equilibrium in a continuous time financial market populated by heterogeneous agents who differ in their rate of relative risk aversion and face convex portfolio constraints. The model is studied in an…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-19 Tyler Abbot

Individual-specific, time-constant, random effects are often used to model dependence and/or to account for omitted covariates in regression models for longitudinal responses. Longitudinal studies have known a huge and widespread use in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Marco Alfo' , Roberto Rocci

We uncover a large and significant low-minus-high rank effect for commodities across two centuries. There is nothing anomalous about this anomaly, nor is it clear how it can be arbitraged away. Using nonparametric econometric methods, we…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-27 Ricardo T. Fernholz , Christoffer Koch

In several linear regression data sets, $Y (\in R)$ on ${\bf X} (\in R^p),$ visual comparisons of $L_1$ and $L_2$-residuals' plots indicate bad leverage cases. The phenomenon is confirmed theoretically by introducing Location Breakdown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Yannis G. Yatracos

In this paper, the higher order dynamics of individual illiquid stocks are investigated. We show that considering the classical powers correlation could lead to a spurious assessment of the volatility persistency or long memory volatility…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-12 Valentin Patilea , Hamdi Raïssi

This paper examines the impact of US monetary policy tightening on emerging markets, distinguishing between direct and indirect spillover effects using the global vector autoregression with stochastic volatility covering 32 countries. The…

General Economics · Economics 2024-02-13 Povilas Lastauskas , Anh Dinh Minh Nguyen

We study equilibrium feedback strategies for a family of dynamic mean-variance problems with competition among a large group of agents. We assume that the time horizon is random and each agent's risk aversion depends dynamically on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Xiaoqing Liang , Jie Xiong , Ying Yang

Trading styles can be classified into either trend-following or mean-reverting. If the net trading style is trend-following the traded asset is more likely to move in the same direction it moved previously (the opposite is true if the net…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-20 Lawrence Middleton , James Dodd , Simone Rijavec
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