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Testing uniformity on the $p$-dimensional unit sphere is arguably the most fundamental problem in directional statistics. In this paper, we consider this problem in the framework of axial data, that is, under the assumption that the $n$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Christine Cutting , Davy Paindaveine , Thomas Verdebout

Testing for independence between two random vectors is a fundamental problem in statistics. It is observed from empirical studies that many existing omnibus consistent tests may not work well for some strongly nonmonotonic and nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-27 Kai Xu , Yeqing Zhou , Liping Zhu , Runze Li

Online experiments are widely used for improving online services. While doing online experiments, The student t-test is the most widely used hypothesis testing technique. In practice, however, the normality assumption on which the t-test…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-25 Zheng Cai , Bo Hu , Zhihua Zhu

Confidence sequences, anytime p-values (called p-processes in this paper), and e-processes all enable sequential inference for composite and nonparametric classes of distributions at arbitrary stopping times. Examining the literature, one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Aaditya Ramdas , Johannes Ruf , Martin Larsson , Wouter Koolen

How can we monitor, in real time, whether one uncertain prospect has any upside over another? To answer this question, we develop a novel family of sequential, anytime-valid tests for stochastic dominance (SD; also known as stochastic…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Sebastian Arnold , Yo Joong Choe , Marco Scarsini , Ilia Tsetlin

Verifying that a statistically significant result is scientifically meaningful is not only good scientific practice, it is a natural way to control the Type I error rate. Here we introduce a novel extension of the p-value - a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-04 Jeffrey D. Blume , Lucy DAgostino McGowan , William D. Dupont , Robert A. Greevy

We propose a sequential test for detecting arbitrary distribution shifts that allows conformal test martingales (CTMs) to work under a fixed, reference-conditional setting. Existing CTM detectors construct test martingales by continually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Shalev Shaer , Yarin Bar , Drew Prinster , Yaniv Romano

We consider the Granger causal structure learning problem from time series data. Granger causal algorithms predict a 'Granger causal effect' between two variables by testing if prediction error of one decreases significantly in the absence…

A new global stochastic search, guided mainly through derivative-free directional information computable from the sample statistical moments of the design variables within a Monte Carlo setup, is proposed. The search is aided by imparting…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-10 Saikat Sarkar , Debasish Roy , Ram Mohan Vasu

It is well known to generalize the meagre ideal replacing aleph_0 by a (regular) cardinal lambda > aleph_0 and requiring the ideal to be lambda^+-complete. But can we generalize the null ideal? In terms of forcing, this means finding a…

Logic · Mathematics 2017-01-20 Saharon Shelah

There is a significant literature on methods for incorporating knowledge into multiple testing procedures so as to improve their power and precision. Some common forms of prior knowledge include (a) beliefs about which hypotheses are null,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-07 Aaditya Ramdas , Rina Foygel Barber , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

We generalise the randomness test definitions in the literature for both the Martin-L\"of and Schnorr randomness of a series of binary outcomes, in order to allow for interval-valued rather than merely precise forecasts for these outcomes,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-21 Gert de Cooman , Floris Persiau , Jasper De Bock

In this paper, we propose a test procedure based on the LASSO methodology to test the global null hypothesis of no dependence between a response variable and $p$ predictors, where $n$ observations with $n < p$ are available. The proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 Carsten Uhlig , Steffen Uhlig

Given observations from a stationary time series, permutation tests allow one to construct exactly level $\alpha$ tests under the null hypothesis of an i.i.d. (or, more generally, exchangeable) distribution. On the other hand, when the null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Joseph P. Romano , Marius A. Tirlea

Graphical tests assess whether a function of interest departs from an envelope of functions generated under a simulated null distribution. This approach originated in spatial statistics, but has recently gained some popularity in functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-25 Meng Xu , Philip T. Reiss

In this paper, we discuss a test function method to obtain nonexistence of global-in-time solutions for higher order evolution equations with fractional derivatives and a power nonlinearity, under a sign condition on the initial data. In…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-06-17 Kazumasa Fujiwara , Marcello D'Abbicco

In this paper we introduce a variant of Burkholder's martingale transform associated with two martingales with respect to different filtrations. Even though the classical martingale techniques cannot be applied, we show that the discussed…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-24 Vjekoslav Kovač , Kristina Ana Škreb

Given a random sample from a random variable $T$ which is bounded from above, $T\le\tau$ a.s., we define processes that are positive supermartingales if $E(T)\ge\mu$. Such processes are called test martingales. Tests of the supermartingale…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-20 Harrie Hendriks

To date, testing interactions in high dimensions has been a challenging task. Existing methods often have issues with sensitivity to modeling assumptions and heavily asymptotic nominal p-values. To help alleviate these issues, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-06-29 Noah Simon , Robert Tibshirani

Two new omnibus tests of uniformity for data on the hypersphere are proposed. The new test statistics exploit closed-form expressions for orthogonal polynomials, feature tuning parameters, and are related to a "smooth maximum" function and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Alberto Fernández-de-Marcos , Eduardo García-Portugués