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We propose a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for the reconstruction and prediction from observed time series data, of discretized stochastic dynamical systems, based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods (MCMC). Our results can be used…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-03 Christos Merkatas , Konstantinos Kaloudis , Spyridon J. Hatjispyros

This paper proposes a decentralized dynamic state estimation scheme for microgrids. The approach employs the voltage and current measurements in the dq0 reference frame through phasor synchronization to be able to exclude orthogonal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-09 Bang L. H. Nguyen , Tuyen V. Vu , Tuan A. Ngo

In this paper, a new filter model called set-membership Kalman filter for nonlinear state estimation problems was designed, where both random and unknown but bounded uncertainties were considered simultaneously in the discrete-time system.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-09 Ligang Sun , Hamza Alkhatib , Boris Kargoll , Vladik Kreinovich , Ingo Neumann

Classical discriminant analysis assumes identically distributed training data, yet in many applications observations are collected over time and the class-conditional distributions drift. This population drift renders stationary classifiers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Shuilian Xie , Mahdi Imani , Edward R. Dougherty , Ulisses M. Braga-Neto

We employ the variational formulation and the Euler-Lagrange equations to study the steady-state error in linear non-causal estimators (smoothers). We give a complete description of the steady-state error for inputs that are polynomial in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-02-04 D. Ezri , B. Z. Bobrovsky , Z. Schuss

This paper proposes an event-triggered variational Bayesian filter for remote state estimation with unknown and time-varying noise covariances. After presetting multiple nominal process noise covariances and an initial measurement noise…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-15 Xiaoxu Lv , Peihu Duan , Zhisheng Duan , Guanrong Chen , Ling Shi

The state estimation problem for nonlinear systems with stochastic uncertainties can be formulated in the Bayesian framework, where the objective is to replace the state completely by its probability density function. Without the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Lukas Ecker , Kurt Schlacher

Satellite dynamics and tracking remain important challenges in the context of space exploration and communication systems. Accurate state estimation is essential to maintain reliable orbital motion and system performance. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-16 Moh Kamalul Wafi

The estimation of non-Gaussian measurement noise models is a significant challenge across various fields. In practical applications, it often faces challenges due to the large number of parameters and high computational complexity. This…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-25 Zuxuan Zhang , Gang Wang , Jiacheng He , Shan Zhong

Data-driven control of nonlinear systems with rigorous guarantees is a challenging problem as it usually calls for nonconvex optimization and requires often knowledge of the true basis functions of the system dynamics. To tackle these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-27 Tim Martin , Thomas B. Schön , Frank Allgöwer

Filtering and smoothing algorithms for linear discrete-time state-space models with skew-t distributed measurement noise are presented. The proposed algorithms improve upon our earlier proposed filter and smoother using the mean field…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-22 Henri Nurminen , Tohid Ardeshiri , Robert Piche , Fredrik Gustafsson

Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Ben Swallow , David A. Rand , Giorgos Minas

We introduce a new sequential methodology to calibrate the fixed parameters and track the stochastic dynamical variables of a state-space system. The proposed method is based on the nested hybrid filtering (NHF) framework of [1], that…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-24 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Joaquín Míguez

This paper addresses the Bayesian calibration of dynamic models with parametric and structural uncertainties, in particular where the uncertain parameters are unknown/poorly known spatio-temporally varying subsystem models. Independent…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-02 Piyush Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

This paper investigates the distributionally robust filtering of signals generated by state-space models driven by exogenous disturbances with noisy observations in finite and infinite horizon scenarios. The exact joint probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-29 Taylan Kargin , Joudi Hajar , Vikrant Malik , Babak Hassibi

This paper considers a stochastic control framework, in which the residual model uncertainty of the dynamical system is learned using a Gaussian Process (GP). In the proposed formulation, the residual model uncertainty consists of a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-26 Marcel Menner , Karl Berntorp

When measurements from dynamical systems are noisy, it is useful to have estimation algorithms that have low sensitivity to measurement noises and outliers. In the first set of results described in this paper we obtain optimal estimators…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-20 Krishan Mohan Nagpal

A filter for inertial-based odometry is a recursive method used to estimate the pose from measurements of ego-motion and relative pose. Currently, there is no known filter that guarantees the computation of a globally optimal solution for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-08 Xinghan Li , Haoying Li , Guangyang Zeng , Qingcheng Zeng , Xiaoqiang Ren , Chao Yang , Junfeng Wu

In this paper, we present a unified optimal and exponentially stable filter for linear discrete-time stochastic systems that simultaneously estimates the states and unknown inputs in an unbiased minimum-variance sense, without making any…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-06-17 Sze Zheng Yong , Minghui Zhu , Emilio Frazzoli

This work presents a scalable control framework based on nonlinear Model Predictive Control for high-dimensional dynamical systems. The proposed approach addresses the key challenges of model scalability and partial observability by…