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Related papers: Statistical inference for statistical decisions

200 papers

The question of how best to estimate a continuous probability density from finite data is an intriguing open problem at the interface of statistics and physics. Previous work has argued that this problem can be addressed in a natural way…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-07-16 Justin B. Kinney

This paper describes and motivates a new decision theory known as functional decision theory (FDT), as distinct from causal decision theory and evidential decision theory. Functional decision theorists hold that the normative principle for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-05-24 Eliezer Yudkowsky , Nate Soares

Respondent driven sampling (RDS) is a method often used to estimate population properties (e.g. sexual risk behavior) in hard-to-reach populations. It combines an effective modified snowball sampling methodology with an estimation procedure…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-19 Jens Malmros , Naoki Masuda , Tom Britton

As its name suggests, sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) targets to estimate a subspace from data that contains all information sufficient to explain a dependent variable. Ample approaches exist to SDR, some of the most recent of which…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-15 Emmanuel Jordy Menvouta , Sven Serneels , Tim Verdonck

Many statistical methods require solutions to optimization problems. When the global solution is hard to attain, statisticians always use the better if there are two solutions for chosen, where the word "better" is understood in the sense…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-17 Shifeng Xiong

We propose and study a general method for construction of consistent statistical tests on the basis of possibly indirect, corrupted, or partially available observations. The class of tests devised in the paper contains Neyman's smooth…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-22 Mikhail Langovoy

Hierarchically-organized data arise naturally in many psychology and neuroscience studies. As the standard assumption of independent and identically distributed samples does not hold for such data, two important problems are to accurately…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-03 Irene Dowding , Stefan Haufe

The analysis of decision making under uncertainty is closely related to the analysis of probabilistic inference. Indeed, much of the research into efficient methods for probabilistic inference in expert systems has been motivated by the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Ross D. Shachter , Mark Alan Peot

Support Vector Data Description (SVDD) is a popular one-class classifiers for anomaly and novelty detection. But despite its effectiveness, SVDD does not scale well with data size. To avoid prohibitive training times, sampling methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-30 Adrian Englhardt , Holger Trittenbach , Daniel Kottke , Bernhard Sick , Klemens Böhm

The paper discusses inference techniques for semiparametric models based on suitable versions of inference functions. The text contains two parts. In the first part, we review the optimality theory for non-parametric models based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Rodrigo Labouriau

Subsampling or subdata selection is a useful approach in large-scale statistical learning. Most existing studies focus on model-based subsampling methods which significantly depend on the model assumption. In this paper, we consider the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-09 Mei Zhang , Yongdao Zhou , Zheng Zhou , Aijun Zhang

Data-driven sequential decision has found a wide range of applications in modern operations management, such as dynamic pricing, inventory control, and assortment optimization. Most existing research on data-driven sequential decision…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-01 Yining Wang , Xi Chen , Xiangyu Chang , Dongdong Ge

Selective inference aims at providing valid inference after a data-driven selection of models or hypotheses. It is essential to avoid overconfident results and replicability issues. While significant advances have been made in this area for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-14 Matteo D'Alessandro , Magne Thoresen

This technical note considers the sampling of outcomes that provide the greatest amount of information about the structure of underlying world models. This generalisation furnishes a principled approach to structure learning under a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-25 Karl Friston , Lancelot Da Costa , Alexander Tschantz , Conor Heins , Christopher Buckley , Tim Verbelen , Thomas Parr

Selecting relevant features associated with a given response variable is an important issue in many scientific fields. Quantifying quality and uncertainty of a selection result via false discovery rate (FDR) control has been of recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-17 Chenguang Dai , Buyu Lin , Xin Xing , Jun S. Liu

A general approach to selective inference is considered for hypothesis testing of the null hypothesis represented as an arbitrary shaped region in the parameter space of multivariate normal model. This approach is useful for hierarchical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Yoshikazu Terada , Hidetoshi Shimodaira

Statistical inference as a formal scientific method to covert experience to knowledge has proven to be elusively difficult. While frequentist and Bayesian methodologies have been accepted in the contemporary era as two dominant schools of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Chuanhai Liu , Ryan Martin

A substantial school in the philosophy of science identifies Bayesian inference with inductive inference and even rationality as such, and seems to be strengthened by the rise and practical success of Bayesian statistics. We argue that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-21 Andrew Gelman , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

The class of composite likelihood functions provides a flexible and powerful toolkit to carry out approximate inference for complex statistical models when the full likelihood is either impossible to specify or unfeasible to compute.…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-25 Nicola Lunardon , Elvezio Ronchetti

We consider a model of selective prediction, where the prediction algorithm is given a data sequence in an online fashion and asked to predict a pre-specified statistic of the upcoming data points. The algorithm is allowed to choose when to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-30 Mingda Qiao , Gregory Valiant