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Let $E$ be a finite set, $\{F^i\}_{i \in E}$ a family of vector fields on $\mathbb{R}^d$ leaving positively invariant a compact set $M$ and having a common zero $p \in M.$ We consider a piecewise deterministic Markov process $(X,I)$ on $M…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-03 Michel Benaïm , Edouard Strickler

We consider a Markov chain $(M_{n})_{n\ge 0}$ on the set $\mathbb{N}_{0}$ of nonnegative integers which is eventually decreasing, i.e. $\mathbb{P}\{M_{n+1}<M_{n}|M_{n}\ge a\}=1$ for some $a\in\mathbb{N}$ and all $n\ge 0$. We are interested…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Gerold Alsmeyer , Alexander Marynych

Suppose X and Y are two independent irreducible Markov chains on n states. We consider the intersection time, which is the first time their trajectories intersect. We show for reversible and lazy chains that the total variation mixing time…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Yuval Peres , Thomas Sauerwald , Perla Sousi , Alexandre Stauffer

We establish and generalise several bounds for various random walk quantities including the mixing time and the maximum hitting time. Unlike previous analyses, our derivations are based on rather intuitive notions of local expansion…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Thomas Sauerwald , Luca Zanetti

We consider a discrete-time two-dimensional process $\{(X_{1,n},X_{2,n})\}$ on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ with a background process $\{J_n\}$ on a finite set $S_0$, where individual processes $\{X_{1,n}\}$ and $\{X_{2,n}\}$ are both skip free. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-24 Toshihisa Ozawa

We consider the random walk Metropolis algorithm on $\mathbb{R}^n$ with Gaussian proposals, and when the target probability measure is the $n$-fold product of a one-dimensional law. In the limit $n\to\infty$, it is well known (see [Ann.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Benjamin Jourdain , Tony Lelièvre , Błażej Miasojedow

Many systems across the sciences evolve through a combination of multiplicative growth and diffusive transport. In the presence of disorder, these systems tend to form localized structures which alternate between long periods of relative…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-19 Matteo Smerlak

We study a variant of the Generalized Excited Random Walk (GERW) on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ introduced by Menshikov, Popov, Ram\'irez and Vachkovskaia in [Ann. Probab. 40 (5), 2012]. It consists of a particular version of the model studied in [arXiv…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Rodrigo B. Alves , Giulio Iacobelli , Glauco Valle , Leonel Zuaznábar

We consider weighted graphs satisfying sub-Gaussian estimate for the natural random walk. On such graphs, we study symmetric Markov chains with heavy tailed jumps. We establish a threshold behavior of such Markov chains when the index…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Mathav Murugan , Laurent Saloff-Coste

Tandem queueing networks are widely used to model systems where services are provided in sequential stages. In this study, we assume that each station in the tandem system operates under a general renewal process. Additionally, we assume…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-13 Eliran Sherzer

We derive an approximate but explicit formula for the Mean First Passage Time of a random walker between a source and a target node of a directed and weighted network. The formula does not require any matrix inversion, and it takes as only…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-11-10 Silvia Bartolucci , Fabio Caccioli , Francesco Caravelli , Pierpaolo Vivo

We prove a quenched central limit theorem for random walks with bounded increments in a randomly evolving environment on $\mathbb{Z}^d$. We assume that the transition probabilities of the walk depend not too strongly on the environment and…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Gerhard Keller , Carlangelo Liverani

We consider the process $\{x-N(t):t\geq 0\}$, where $x\in\mathbb{R}_+$ and $\{N(t):t\geq 0\}$ is a renewal process with light-tailed distributed holding times. We are interested in the joint distribution of $(\tau(x),A(x))$ where $\tau(x)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-23 Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

Let $\{X_n\}_{n\in\N}$ be a Markov chain on a measurable space $\X$ with transition kernel $P$ and let $V:\X\r[1,+\infty)$. The Markov kernel $P$ is here considered as a linear bounded operator on the weighted-supremum space $\cB_V$…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-06 Loïc Hervé , James Ledoux

The cutoff phenomenon describes a sharp transition in the convergence of a family of ergodic finite Markov chains to equilibrium. Many natural families of chains are believed to exhibit cutoff, and yet establishing this fact is often…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-19 Eyal Lubetzky , Allan Sly

We consider dynamical percolation on the complete graph $K_n$, where each edge refreshes its state at rate $\mu \ll 1/n$, and is then declared open with probability $p = \lambda/n$ where $\lambda > 1$. We study a random walk on this…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-03 Sam Olesker-Taylor , Perla Sousi

We address a class of Markov jump linear systems that are characterized by the underlying Markov process being time-inhomogeneous with a priori unknown transition probabilities. Necessary and sufficient conditions for uniform stochastic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-11-24 Collin C. Lutz , Daniel J. Stilwell

We consider the problem of bounding mean first passage times for a class of continuous-time Markov chains that captures stochastic interactions between groups of identical agents. The quantitative analysis of such probabilistic population…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-07 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Verena Wolf

This paper deals with the long run average continuous control problem of piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP's) taking values in a general Borel space and with compact action space depending on the state variable. The control…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-03 O. L. V. Costa , F. Dufour

In this note we derive the exact probability that a specific state in a two-state Markov chain is visited exactly $k$ times after $N$ transitions. We provide a closed-form solution for $\mathbb{P}(N_l = k \mid N)$, considering initial state…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Mohammad Taha Shah