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Monitoring plant and animal populations is an important goal for both academic research and management of natural resources. Successful management of populations often depends on obtaining estimates of their mean or total over a region. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-14 Jay M. Ver Hoef , John K. Jansen

Parameter estimation and inference from complex survey samples typically focuses on global model parameters whose estimators have asymptotic properties, such as from fixed effects regression models. The central challenge is to both mitigate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Matthew R. Williams , F. Hunter McGuire , Terrance D. Savitsky

We address the problem of uncertainty quantification for the deconvolution model \(Z = X + Y\), where \(X\) and \(Y\) are nonnegative random variables and the goal is to estimate the signal's distribution of \(X \sim F_0\) supported…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Francesco Gili , Geurt Jongbloed

We present an image generation methodology based on ray tracing that can be used to render realistic images of Particle Image Velocimetry (PIV) and Background Oriented Schlieren (BOS) experiments in the presence of density/refractive index…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-24 Lalit K. Rajendran , Sally P. M. Bane , Pavlos P. Vlachos

In this work we propose an Uncertainty Quantification methodology for sedimentary basins evolution under mechanical and geochemical compaction processes, which we model as a coupled, time-dependent, non-linear, monodimensional (depth-only)…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Ivo Colombo , Fabio Nobile , Giovanni Porta , Anna Scotti , Lorenzo Tamellini

Morden deep ensembles technique achieves strong uncertainty estimation performance by going through multiple forward passes with different models. This is at the price of a high storage space and a slow speed in the inference (test) time.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Ha Manh Bui , Anqi Liu

Uncertainty quantification is essential when dealing with ill-conditioned inverse problems due to the inherent nonuniqueness of the solution. Bayesian approaches allow us to determine how likely an estimation of the unknown parameters is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-16 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Felix J. Herrmann

Modern deep learning systems successfully solve many perception tasks such as object pose estimation when the input image is of high quality. However, in challenging imaging conditions such as on low-resolution images or when the image is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-05-10 Sergey Prokudin , Peter Gehler , Sebastian Nowozin

We present a new uncertainty estimation method for Particle Image Velocimetry (PIV), that uses the correlation plane as a model for the probability density function (PDF) of displacements and calculates the second order moment of the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-05-01 Sayantan Bhattacharya , John J. Charonko , Pavlos P. Vlachos

We show how to enhance the redshift accuracy of surveys consisting of tracers with highly uncertain positions along the line of sight. Photometric surveys with redshift uncertainty delta_z ~ 0.03 can yield final redshift uncertainties of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-28 Jens Jasche , Benjamin D. Wandelt

The uncertainty quantification of sensor measurements coupled with deep learning networks is crucial for many robotics systems, especially for safety-critical applications such as self-driving cars. This paper develops an uncertainty…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Qiyuan Wu , Mark Campbell

Uncertainty quantification based on generalized polynomial chaos has been used in many applications. It has also achieved great success in variation-aware design automation. However, almost all existing techniques assume that the parameters…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-06-21 Chunfeng Cui , Zheng Zhang

For objects in the low Earth orbit region, uncertainty in atmospheric density estimation is an important source of orbit prediction error, which is critical for space situational awareness activities such as the satellite conjunction…

Space Physics · Physics 2022-11-01 Smriti Nandan Paul , Richard J. Licata , Piyush M. Mehta

We present the quantum theory of the measurement of bosonic particles by multipixel detectors. For the sake of clarity, we specialize on beams of photons. We study the measurement of different spatial beam characteristics, as position and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-09-13 Vanessa Chille , Nicolas Treps , Claude Fabre , Gerd Leuchs , Christoph Marquardt , Andrea Aiello

We consider the high energy physics unfolding problem where the goal is to estimate the spectrum of elementary particles given observations distorted by the limited resolution of a particle detector. This important statistical inverse…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-18 Mikael Kuusela , Victor M. Panaretos

Since many safety-critical systems, such as surgical robots and autonomous driving cars operate in unstable environments with sensor noise and incomplete data, it is desirable for object detectors to take the localization uncertainty into…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-07 Youngwan Lee , Joong-won Hwang , Hyung-Il Kim , Kimin Yun , Yongjin Kwon , Yuseok Bae , Sung Ju Hwang

One way to incorporate systematic uncertainties into the calculation of confidence intervals is by integrating over probability density functions parametrizing the uncertainties. In this note we present a development of this method which…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2009-11-07 J. Conrad , O. Botner , A. Hallgren , Carlos P. de los Heros

Unfolding is an ill-posed inverse problem in particle physics aiming to infer a true particle-level spectrum from smeared detector-level data. For computational and practical reasons, these spaces are typically discretized using histograms,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-19 Michael Stanley , Pratik Patil , Mikael Kuusela

There is a rich literature on Bayesian methods for density estimation, which characterize the unknown density as a mixture of kernels. Such methods have advantages in terms of providing uncertainty quantification in estimation, while being…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-10 Shounak Chattopadhyay , Antik Chakraborty , David B. Dunson

In this work, we study wavelet projection estimators for density estimation, focusing on their construction from $\mathcal{S}$-regular, compactly supported wavelet bases. A key aspect of such estimators is the choice of the resolution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Van Ha Hoang , Tien Dat Nguyen , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen