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Modern technological advances have enabled an unprecedented amount of structured data with complex temporal dependence, urging the need for new methods to efficiently model and forecast high-dimensional tensor-valued time series. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-28 Di Wang , Yao Zheng , Guodong Li

Existing methods of vector autoregressive model for multivariate time series analysis make use of low-rank matrix approximation or Tucker decomposition to reduce the dimension of the over-parameterization issue. In this paper, we propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Sijia Xia , Michael K. Ng , Xiongjun Zhang

Motivated by Tucker tensor decomposition, this paper imposes low-rank structures to the column and row spaces of coefficient matrices in a multivariate infinite-order vector autoregression (VAR), which leads to a supervised factor model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-04 Feiqing Huang , Kexin Lu , Guodong Li

In autoregressive modeling for tensor-valued time series, Tucker decomposition, when applied to the coefficient tensor, provides a clear interpretation of supervised factor modeling but loses its efficiency rapidly with increasing tensor…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Yuxi Cai , Lan Li , Yize Wang , Guodong Li

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are popularly adopted for modelling high-dimensional time series, and their piecewise extensions allow for structural changes in the data. In VAR modelling, the number of parameters grow quadratically with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-23 Haeran Cho , Hyeyoung Maeng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models are important tools for the analysis of multivariate time series. This paper focuses on high-dimensional time series and on the different regularized estimation procedures proposed for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Jonas Krampe , Efstathios Paparoditis

Contemporary time series analysis has seen more and more tensor type data, from many fields. For example, stocks can be grouped according to Size, Book-to-Market ratio, and Operating Profitability, leading to a 3-way tensor observation at…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-05 Zebang Li , Han Xiao

The reduced-rank vector autoregressive (VAR) model can be interpreted as a supervised factor model, where two factor modelings are simultaneously applied to response and predictor spaces. This article introduces a new model, called vector…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-16 Di Wang , Xiaoyu Zhang , Guodong Li , Ruey Tsay

High-dimensional time series has diverse applications in econometrics and finance. Recent models for capturing temporal dependence have employed a bilinear representation for matrix time series, or the Tucker-decomposition based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Debika Ghosh , Samrat Roy , Nilanjana Chakraborty

The vector autoregressive (VAR) model is a powerful tool in modeling complex time series and has been exploited in many fields. However, fitting high dimensional VAR model poses some unique challenges: On one hand, the dimensionality,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-30 Fang Han , Huanran Lu , Han Liu

This paper studies a tensor-structured linear regression model with a scalar response variable and tensor-structured predictors, such that the regression parameters form a tensor of order $d$ (i.e., a $d$-fold multiway array) in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-26 Talal Ahmed , Haroon Raja , Waheed U. Bajwa

Modern applications have made ubiquitous high-dimensional data, especially time-dependent data, with more and more complicated structures, and it also has become more frequent to encounter the scenario of hierarchical relationships among…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-06 Lan Li , Shibo Yu , Yingzhou Wang , Guodong Li

Tensor time series, which is a time series consisting of tensorial observations, has become ubiquitous. It typically exhibits high dimensionality. One approach for dimension reduction is to use a factor model structure, in a form similar to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-19 Yuefeng Han , Rong Chen , Dan Yang , Cun-Hui Zhang

Existing models for high-dimensional time series are overwhelmingly developed within the finite-order vector autoregressive (VAR) framework. However, the more flexible vector autoregressive moving averages (VARMA) have been much less…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-01 Feiqing Huang , Kexin Lu , Yao Zheng

Most currently used tensor regression models for high-dimensional data are based on Tucker decomposition, which has good properties but loses its efficiency in compressing tensors very quickly as the order of tensors increases, say greater…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Yuefeng Si , Yingying Zhang , Yuxi Cai , Chunling Liu , Guodong Li

The objective of transfer learning is to enhance estimation and inference in a target data by leveraging knowledge gained from additional sources. Recent studies have explored transfer learning for independent observations in complex,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-23 Mingliang Ma Abolfazl Safikhani

We study sparse principal component analysis for high dimensional vector autoregressive time series under a doubly asymptotic framework, which allows the dimension $d$ to scale with the series length $T$. We treat the transition matrix of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-02 Zhaoran Wang , Fang Han , Han Liu

Matrix-variate time series data are increasingly popular in economics, statistics, and environmental studies, among other fields. This paper develops regularized estimation methods for analyzing high-dimensional matrix-variate time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Hangjin Jiang , Baining Shen , Yuzhou Li , Zhaoxing Gao

The standard vector autoregressive (VAR) models suffer from overparameterization which is a serious issue for high-dimensional time series data as it restricts the number of variables and lags that can be incorporated into the model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-25 S. Yaser Samadi , Wiranthe B. Herath

As a special infinite-order vector autoregressive (VAR) model, the vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) model can capture much richer temporal patterns than the widely used finite-order VAR model. However, its practicality has long…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-27 Yao Zheng
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