Related papers: Multiscale Jump Testing and Estimation Under Compl…
Nonsmooth phenomena, such as abrupt changes, impacts, and switching behaviors, frequently arise in real-world systems and present significant challenges for traditional optimal control methods, which typically assume smoothness and…
In this paper, we study a class of stochastic optimal control problem with jumps under partial information. More precisely, the controlled systems are described by a fully coupled nonlinear multi- dimensional forward-backward stochastic…
Most studies in real time change-point detection either focus on the linear model or use the CUSUM method under classical assumptions on model errors. This paper considers the sequential change-point detection in a nonlinear quantile model.…
A change point problem occurs in many statistical applications. If there exist change points in a model, it is harmful to make a statistical analysis without any consideration of the existence of the change points and the results derived…
Consider the detection of a sparse change in high-dimensional time-series. We introduce Sparsity Likelihood-based (SL-based) score and the change-points detection procedure in multivariate normal model with general covariance structure.…
This paper develops a new approach to the estimation of the degree of boundedness or stability of multidimensional nonlinear systems with time-dependent nonperiodic coefficients-an essential task in various engineering and natural science…
We investigate the significance of change-points within fully nonparametric regression contexts, with a particular focus on panel data where data generation processes vary across units, and error terms may display complex dependency…
This paper considers M-estimation of a nonlinear regression model with multiple change-points occuring at unknown times. The multi-phase random design regression model, discontinuous in each change-point, have an arbitrary error $\epsilon$.…
A method is proposed to generate an optimal fit of a number of connected linear trend segments onto time-series data. To be able to efficiently handle many lines, the method employs a stochastic search procedure to determine optimal…
Many problems in quantum information theory can be formulated as optimizations over the sequential outcomes of dynamical systems subject to unpredictable external influences. Such problems include many-body entanglement detection through…
Kinetic equations model distributions of particles in position-velocity phase space. Often, one is interested in studying the long-time behavior of particles in high-collisional regimes in which an approximate (advection)-diffusion model…
In this paper, we propose a new method to measure the probabilistic robustness of stochastic jump linear system with respect to both the initial state uncertainties and the randomness in switching. Wasserstein distance which defines a…
In this paper we prove a necessary condition of the optimal control problem for a class of general mean-field forward-backward stochastic systems with jumps in the case where the diffusion coefficients depend on control, the control set…
Robust inference for stochastic dynamical systems is often hampered by sparse sampling and the absence of closed-form likelihoods. We introduce a Monte Carlo path-inference framework that leverages full-path statistics and bridge processes…
The aim of sequential change-point detection is to issue an alarm when it is thought that certain probabilistic properties of the monitored observations have changed. This work is concerned with nonparametric, closed-end testing procedures…
We develop new econometric methods for the comparison of nonparametric time trends. In many applications, practitioners are interested in whether the observed time series all have the same time trend. Moreover, they would often like to know…
Demand for high-performance, robust, and safe autonomous systems has grown substantially in recent years. These objectives motivate the desire for efficient safety-theoretic reasoning that can be embedded in core decision-making tasks such…
The cooperative dynamics of a 1-D collection of Markov jump, interacting stochastic processes is studied via a mean-field approach. In the time-asymptotic regime, the resulting nonlinear master equation is analytically solved. The…
We develop an asymptotic theory for the jump robust measurement of covariations in the context of stochastic evolution equation in infinite dimensions. Namely, we identify scaling limits for realized covariations of solution processes with…
We introduce a new approach for decoupling trends (drift) and changepoints (shifts) in time series. Our locally adaptive model-based approach for robustly decoupling combines Bayesian trend filtering and machine learning based…