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Related papers: Estimating drift parameters in a non-ergodic Gauss…

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We study the problem of parameters estimation in Indirect Observability contexts, where $X_t \in R^r$ is an unobservable stationary process parametrized by a vector of unknown parameters and all observable data are generated by an…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Robert Azencott , Peng Ren , Ilya Timofeyev

We study Bayes procedures for the problem of nonparametric drift estimation for one-dimensional, ergodic diffusion models from discrete-time, low-frequency data. We give conditions for posterior consistency and verify these conditions for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-01 Frank van der Meulen , Harry van Zanten

We consider a diffusion $(\xi_t)_{t\ge 0}$ whose drift contains some deterministic periodic signal. Its shape being fixed and known, up to scaling in time, the periodicity of the signal is the unknown parameter $\vartheta$ of interest. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-26 Reinhard Hoepfner , Yury Kutoyants

We construct the least-square estimator for the unknown drift parameter in the multifractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model and establish its strong consistency in the non-ergodic case. The proofs are based on the asymptotic bounds with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-19 Marco Dozzi , Yuriy Kozachenko , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

This paper deals with the estimation problem of misspecified ergodic L\'evy driven stochastic differential equation models based on high-frequency samples. We utilize the widely applicable and tractable Gaussian quasi-likelihood approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-11 Yuma Uehara

In the paper we consider the problem of estimating parameters entering the drift of a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process in the non-ergodic case, when the underlying stochastic integral is of Young type. We consider the sampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Radomyra Shevchenko , Jeannette H. C. Woerner

We introduce a nonparametric approach for estimating drift and diffusion functions in systems of stochastic differential equations from observations of the state vector. Gaussian processes are used as flexible models for these functions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-15 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

We consider non-parametric Bayesian estimation of the drift coefficient of a one-dimensional stochastic differential equation from discrete-time observations on the solution of this equation. Under suitable regularity conditions that are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Shota Gugushvili , Peter Spreij

Gaussian quasi-likelihood estimation of the parameter $\theta$ in the square-root diffusion process is studied under high frequency sampling. Different from the previous study of Overbeck and Ryd\'{e}n(1998) under low-frequency sampling,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Yuzhong Cheng , Nicole Hufnagel , Hiroki Masuda

We address the problem of estimating the drift parameter in a system of $N$ interacting particles driven by additive fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index \( H \geq 1/2 \). Considering continuous observation of the interacting particles…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-12 Chiara Amorino , Ivan Nourdin , Radomyra Shevchenko

Fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of the second kind $(\text{fOU}_{2})$ is solution of the Langevin equation $\mathrm{d}X_t = -\theta X_t\,\mathrm{d}t+\mathrm{d}Y_t^{(1)}, \ \theta >0$ with Gaussian driving noise $ Y_t^{(1)} := \int^t_0…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-12 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Lauri Viitasaari

Let X be a second order random process indexed by a compact interval [0,T]. Assume that n independent realizations of X are observed on a fixed grid of p time points. Under mild regularity assumptions on the sample paths of X, we show the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-25 David Degras

We study rates of convergence in central limit theorems for partial sum of functionals of general stationary and non-stationary Gaussian sequences, using optimal tools from analysis on Wiener space. We apply our result to study drift…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Frederi Viens

The mixed fractional Vasicek model, which is an extended model of the traditional Vasicek model, has been widely used in modelling volatility, interest rate and exchange rate. Obviously, if some phenomenon are modeled by the mixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Chunhao Cai , Yinzhong Huang , Weilin Xiao

In this paper we consider an ergodic diffusion process with jumps whose drift coefficient depends on an unknown parameter $\theta$. We suppose that the process is discretely observed at the instants (t n i)i=0,...,n with $\Delta$n = sup…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-13 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

The application of the collective variables method to the study of the behaviour of nonuniversal characteristics of the system in the critical region is illustrated by an example of the order parameter. Explicit expressions for the order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-07-09 I. V. Pylyuk

We consider a diffusion $(\xi_t)_{t\ge 0}$ with some $T$-periodic time dependent input term contained in the drift: under an unknown parameter $\vth\in\Theta$, some discontinuity - an additional periodic signal - occurs at times…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-18 Reinhard Hoepfner , Yury Kutoyants

We consider the nonparametric functional estimation of the drift of a Gaussian process via minimax and Bayes estimators. In this context, we construct superefficient estimators of Stein type for such drifts using the Malliavin integration…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-18 Nicolas Privault , Anthony Réveillac

We consider a reflected Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $X$ driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in (0, \frac12) \cup (\frac12, 1)$. Our goal is to estimate an unknown drift parameter $\alpha\in (-\infty,\infty)$ on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-24 Chihoon Lee , Jian Song

We study rates of convergence in central limit theorems for the partial sum of squares of general Gaussian sequences, using tools from analysis on Wiener space. No assumption of stationarity, asymptotically or otherwise, is made. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-09 Soukaina Douissi , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Frederi G. Viens