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This work extends a previous study that introduced an algorithm for state estimation on manifolds within the framework of the Kalman filter. Its objective is to address the limitations of the earlier approach. The reversible Kalman filter…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-21 Svyatoslav Covanov , Cedric Pradalier

Latent variable time-series models are among the most heavily used tools from machine learning and applied statistics. These models have the advantage of learning latent structure both from noisy observations and from the temporal ordering…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-24 Evan Archer , Il Memming Park , Lars Buesing , John Cunningham , Liam Paninski

The crucial step in designing a particle filter for a particular application is the choice of importance density. The optimal scheme is to use the conditional posterior density of the state, but this cannot be sampled or calculated…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-15 Pete Bunch , Simon Godsill

Estimating parameters of a diffusion process given continuous-time observations of the process via maximum likelihood approaches or, online, via stochastic gradient descent or Kalman filter formulations constitutes a well-established…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Jan Albrecht , Sebastian Reich

This paper presents an adaptive Kalman filter for a linear dynamic system perturbed by an additive disturbance. The objective is to estimate both of the state and the unknown disturbance concurrently, while learning the disturbance as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Taeyoung Lee

Recurrent signals give rise to trajectories that repeatedly return close to earlier states in state space. Many analysis methods therefore require a principled notion of similarity between states. In practice, a recurrence threshold sets…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Omer Bahadir Eryilmaz , Cihan Katar , Max A. Little

A binary fluid mixture in contact with lateral particle reservoirs is considered. By imposing different particle concentrations in these reservoirs, the system can be maintained under controlled non-equilibrium conditions. Previous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-01 O. Politano , Alejandro L. Garcia , F. Baras , M. Malek Mansour

The slow relaxation and aging of glassy systems can be modelled as a Markov process on a simplified rough energy landscape: energy minima where the system tends to get trapped are taken as nodes of a random network, and the dynamics are…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2020-01-29 Riccardo Giuseppe Margiotta , Reimer Kühn , Peter Sollich

The Kalman filter is an established tool for the analysis of dynamic systems with normally distributed noise, and it has been successfully applied in numerous application areas. It provides sequentially calculated estimates of the system…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-10-26 S. Eichstädt , N. Makarava , C. Elster

Bayesian filtering serves as the mainstream framework of state estimation in dynamic systems. Its standard version utilizes total probability rule and Bayes' law alternatively, where how to define and compute conditional probability is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-02 Wenhan Cao , Shiqi Liu , Chang Liu , Zeyu He , Stephen S. -T. Yau , Shengbo Eben Li

We combine conditional state density construction with an extension of the Scenario Approach for stochastic Model Predictive Control to nonlinear systems to yield a novel particle-based formulation of stochastic nonlinear output-feedback…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Martin A. Sehr , Robert R. Bitmead

Analytical work probability distributions for open classical systems are scarce; they can only be calculated in a few examples. In this work, I present a new method to derive such quantities for weakly driven processes in the overdamped…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-09 Pierre Nazé

We use statistical learning methods to construct an adaptive state estimator for nonlinear stochastic systems. Optimal state estimation, in the form of a Kalman filter, requires knowledge of the system's process and measurement uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-05 Michael Busch , Jeff Moehlis

We consider the inverse problem of reconstructing an unknown function $u$ from a finite set of measurements, under the assumption that $u$ is the trajectory of a transport-dominated problem with unknown input parameters. We propose an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Olga Mula , Cecilia Pagliantini , Federico Vismara

We consider the problem of estimating the sparse time-varying parameter vectors of a point process model in an online fashion, where the observations and inputs respectively consist of binary and continuous time series. We construct a novel…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-04-20 Alireza Sheikhattar , Jonathan B. Fritz , Shihab A. Shamma , Behtash Babadi

In this paper, we describe a novel application of sigma-point methods to continuous-discrete filtering. In principle, the nonlinear continuous- discrete filtering problem can be solved exactly. In practice, the solution contains terms that…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-15 Simon Lyons , Simo Särkkä , Amos Storkey

In this technical note, a recursive set-membership filtering algorithm for discrete-time nonlinear dynamical systems subject to unknown but bounded process and measurement noises is proposed. The nonlinear dynamics is represented in a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-29 Diganta Bhattacharjee , Kamesh Subbarao

We consider a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) where the integrated continuous-time Markov chain can be observed at discrete time points perturbed by a Brownian motion. The aim is to derive a filter for the underlying continuous-time Markov chain.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Nicole Bäuerle , Igor Gilitschenski , Uwe D. Hanebeck

This paper presents a new filter for state-space models based on Bellman's dynamic-programming principle, allowing for nonlinearity, non-Gaussianity and degeneracy in the observation and/or state-transition equations. The resulting Bellman…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Rutger-Jan Lange

Despite the widespread use of gradient-based algorithms for optimizing high-dimensional non-convex functions, understanding their ability of finding good minima instead of being trapped in spurious ones remains to a large extent an open…

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