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We propose a novel approach to leveraging pre-trained language models (LMs) for early forecasting of academic trajectories in STEM students using high-dimensional longitudinal experiential data. This data, which captures students'…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Ahatsham Hayat , Bilal Khan , Mohammad Rashedul Hasan

The number of recurrent events before a terminating event is often of interest. For instance, death terminates an individual's process of rehospitalizations and the number of rehospitalizations is an important indicator of economic cost. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-30 Willem van den Boom , Maria De Iorio , Marta Tallarita

User event modeling plays a central role in many machine learning applications, with use cases spanning e-commerce, social media, finance, cybersecurity, and other domains. User events can be broadly categorized into personal events, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Rizal Fathony , Igor Melnyk , Owen Reinert , Nam H. Nguyen , Daniele Rosa , C. Bayan Bruss

Background: Linear mixed-effects models are central for analyzing longitudinal continuous data, yet many learners meet them as scattered formulas or software output rather than as a coherent workflow. There is a need for a single,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Sunday A. Adetunji

Time-to-event analysis is a branch of statistics that has increased in popularity during the last decades due to its many application fields, such as predictive maintenance, customer churn prediction and population lifetime estimation. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Camila Fernandez , Chung Shue Chen , Chen Pierre Gaillard , Alonso Silva

Time-varying covariates in longitudinal studies frequently evolve through reciprocal feedback, undergo role reversal, and reflect unobserved individual heterogeneity. Standard statistical frameworks often assume fixed covariate roles and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Niloofar Ramezani , Pascal Nitiema , Jeffrey R. Wilson

This tutorial shows how various Bayesian survival models can be fitted using the integrated nested Laplace approximation in a clear, legible, and comprehensible manner using the INLA and INLAjoint R-packages. Such models include accelerated…

Multivariate spatio-temporal data refers to multiple measurements taken across space and time. For many analyses, spatial and time components can be separately studied: for example, to explore the temporal trend of one variable for a single…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-24 H. Sherry Zhang , Dianne Cook , Ursula Laa , Nicolas Langrené , Patricia Menéndez

The multivariate Bayesian structural time series (MBSTS) model is a general machine learning model that deals with inference and prediction for multiple correlated time series, where one also has the choice of using a different candidate…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-07 Ning Ning , Jinwen Qiu

With the arrival of the R packages nlme and lme4, linear mixed models (LMMs) have come to be widely used in experimentally-driven areas like psychology, linguistics, and cognitive science. This tutorial provides a practical introduction to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-17 Tanner Sorensen , Shravan Vasishth

When modeling longitudinal biomedical data, often dimensionality reduction as well as dynamic modeling in the resulting latent representation is needed. This can be achieved by artificial neural networks for dimension reduction, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-01 Göran Köber , Raffael Kalisch , Lara Puhlmann , Andrea Chmitorz , Anita Schick , Harald Binder

In many longitudinal microarray studies, the gene expression levels in a random sample are observed repeatedly over time under two or more conditions. The resulting time courses are generally very short, high-dimensional, and may have…

Applications · Statistics 2013-02-26 Maurice Berk , Cheryl Hemingway , Michael Levin , Giovanni Montana

Two-part joint models for a longitudinal semicontinuous biomarker and a terminal event have been recently introduced based on frequentist estimation. The biomarker distribution is decomposed into a probability of positive value and the…

Most existing time-to-event methods focus on either single-event or competing-risks settings, leaving multi-event scenarios relatively underexplored. In many healthcare applications, for example, a patient may experience multiple clinical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Christian Marius Lillelund , Ali Hossein Gharari Foomani , Weijie Sun , Shi-ang Qi , Russell Greiner

Advances in information technology have increased the availability of time-stamped relational data such as those produced by email exchanges or interaction through social media. Whereas the associated information flows could be aggregated…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-03 Federica Bianchi , Edoardo Filippi-Mazzola , Alessandro Lomi , Ernst C. Wit

Large language models (LLMs) have made significant progress in Emotional Intelligence (EI) and long-context modeling. However, existing benchmarks often overlook the fact that emotional information processing unfolds as a continuous…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Weichu Liu , Jing Xiong , Yuxuan Hu , Zixuan Li , Minghuan Tan , Ningning Mao , Hui Shen , Wendong Xu , Chaofan Tao , Min Yang , Chengming Li , Lingpeng Kong , Ngai Wong

Forecasting with longitudinal data has been rarely studied. Most of the available studies are for continuous response and all of them are for univariate response. In this study, we consider forecasting multivariate longitudinal binary data.…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-13 Ozgur Asar , Ozlem Ilk

The BayesMortalityPlus package provides a framework for modelling and predicting mortality data. The package includes tools for the construction of life tables based on Heligman-Pollard laws, and also on dynamic linear smoothers.…

In the context of clinical and biomedical studies, joint frailty models have been developed to study the joint temporal evolution of recurrent and terminal events, capturing both the heterogeneous susceptibility to experiencing a new…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-08 Chiara Masci , Marta Spreafico , Francesca Ieva

In real-world domains such as self-driving, generalization to rare scenarios remains a fundamental challenge. To address this, we introduce a new dataset designed for end-to-end driving that focuses on long-tail driving events. We provide…

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