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This paper advances a variable screening approach to enhance conditional quantile forecasts using high-dimensional predictors. We have refined and augmented the quantile partial correlation (QPC)-based variable screening proposed by Ma et…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-22 Hongqi Chen , Ji Hyung Lee

Big data analytics has opened new avenues in economic research, but the challenge of analyzing datasets with tens of millions of observations is substantial. Conventional econometric methods based on extreme estimators require large amounts…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-02 Sokbae Lee , Yuan Liao , Myung Hwan Seo , Youngki Shin

We propose a prediction procedure for the functional linear quantile regression model by using partial quantile covariance techniques and develop a simple partial quantile regression (SIMPQR) algorithm to efficiently extract partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-03 Dengdeng Yu , Linglong Kong , Ivan Mizera

In this study, we consider preliminary test and shrinkage estimation strategies for quantile regression models. In classical Least Squares Estimation (LSE) method, the relationship between the explanatory and explained variables in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-07 Bahadır Yüzbaşı , Yasin Asar , M. Şamil Şık , Ahmet Demiralp

Ensemble of regression trees have become popular statistical tools for the estimation of conditional mean given a set of predictors. However, quantile regression trees and their ensembles have not yet garnered much attention despite the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-12 Bereket P. Kindo , Hao Wang , Timothy Hanson , Edsel A. Peña

This paper studies quantile regression with an endogenous regressor and measurement error in the dependent variable. Standard quantile regression estimators ignoring these two elements can induce substantial bias. We adopt a…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-21 Xuanjing Su

In this work we consider selling items using a sequential first price auction mechanism. We generalize the assumption of conservative bidding to extensive form games (henceforth optimistic conservative bidding), and show that for both…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-02-02 Avinatan Hassidim , Yishay Mansour

In recent years, censored quantile regression has enjoyed an increasing popularity for survival analysis while many existing works rely on linearity assumptions. In this work, we propose a Global Censored Quantile Random Forest (GCQRF) for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-17 Siyu Zhou , Limin Peng

Flexible estimation of multiple conditional quantiles is of interest in numerous applications, such as studying the effect of pregnancy-related factors on low and high birth weight. We propose a Bayesian non-parametric method to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Steven G. Xu , Brian J. Reich

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for learning the relationship between a response variable and a multivariate predictor while exploring heterogeneous effects. In this paper, we consider statistical inference for quantile regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-19 Xuming He , Xiaoou Pan , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou

We introduce a new methodology for analyzing serial data by quantile regression assuming that the underlying quantile function consists of constant segments. The procedure does not rely on any distributional assumption besides serial…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-09 Laura Jula Vanegas , Merle Behr , Axel Munk

This paper provides a method to construct simultaneous confidence bands for quantile functions and quantile effects in nonlinear network and panel models with unobserved two-way effects, strictly exogenous covariates, and possibly discrete…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-09 Victor Chernozhukov , Iván Fernández-Val , Martin Weidner

In this paper, we introduce a novel decentralized surrogate gradient-based algorithm for quantile regression in a feature-distributed setting, where global features are dispersed across multiple machines within a decentralized network. The…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-24 Peiwen Xiao , Xiaohui Liu , Guangming Pan , Wei Long

High-fidelity (HF) data are often expensive to collect and therefore scarce, making conditional quantiles difficult to estimate accurately. We propose a two-stage, model-agnostic method for multi-fidelity quantile regression. The central…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Yixiang Liu , Yao Zhang

We study the statistical complexity of private linear regression under an unknown, potentially ill-conditioned covariate distribution. Somewhat surprisingly, under privacy constraints the intrinsic complexity is \emph{not} captured by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Fan Chen , Jiachun Li , Alexander Rakhlin , David Simchi-Levi

This paper studies estimation in functional linear quantile regression in which the dependent variable is scalar while the covariate is a function, and the conditional quantile for each fixed quantile index is modeled as a linear functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Kengo Kato

Many online companies sell advertisement space in second-price auctions with reserve. In this paper, we develop a probabilistic method to learn a profitable strategy to set the reserve price. We use historical auction data with features to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-25 Maja R. Rudolph , Joseph G. Ellis , David M. Blei

In this paper, we investigate the problem about how to bid in repeated contextual first price auctions. We consider a single bidder (learner) who repeatedly bids in the first price auctions: at each time $t$, the learner observes a context…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-11 Ashwinkumar Badanidiyuru , Zhe Feng , Guru Guruganesh

We study the complexity of computing Bayes-Nash equilibria in single-item first-price auctions. We present the first efficient algorithms for the problem, when the bidders' values for the item are independently drawn from the same…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Aris Filos-Ratsikas , Yiannis Giannakopoulos , Alexandros Hollender , Charalampos Kokkalis

Adversarial Risk Analysis (ARA) is an upcoming methodology that is considered to have advantages over the traditional decision theoretic and game theoretic approaches. ARA solutions for first-price sealed-bid (FPSB) auctions have been found…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-20 Muhammad Ejaz , Chaitanya Joshi , Stephen Joe