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Related papers: Coupling functions in climate

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Despite advances in climate modeling, simulating the El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains challenging due to its spatiotemporal diversity and complexity. To address this, we build upon existing model hierarchies to develop a new…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-27 Jinyu Wang , Xianghui Fang , Nan Chen , Bo Qin , Mu Mu , Chaopeng Ji

Regional climate change in the $21^{st}$ century will result from the interplay between human-induced changes and internal climate variability. Competing effects from greenhouse gas warming and aerosol cooling have historically caused…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-02 Raphaël Hébert , Thomas Laepple

Complex network theory provides an important tool for the analysis of complex systems such as the Earth's climate. In this context, functional climate networks can be constructed using a spatiotemporal climate dataset and a suitable time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-09-22 Leonardo N. Ferreira , Nicole C. R. Ferreira , Elbert E. N. Macau , Reik V. Donner

The emergence of oscillations in models of the El-Ni\~no effect is of utmost relevance. Here we investigate a coupled nonlinear delay differential system modeling theEl-Ni\~no/ Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, which arises through…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-05-24 Chandrakala Meena , Shweta Kumari , Akansha Sharma , Sudeshna Sinha

Information-theoretic quantities, such as entropy, are used to quantify the amount of information a given variable provides. Entropies can be used together to compute the mutual information, which quantifies the amount of information two…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-12-22 Kevin H. Knuth , Deniz Gençağa , William B. Rossow

Complex network theory provides an elegant and powerful framework to statistically investigate different types of systems such as society, brain or the structure of local and long-range dynamical interrelationships in the climate system.…

Experimentally observed networks of interacting dynamical systems are inferred from recorded multivariate time series by evaluating a statistical measure of dependence, usually the cross-correlation coefficient, or mutual information. These…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-07-03 Milan Palus

Much work has been done on relaxation oscillations and other simple oscillators in conceptual climate models. However, the oscillatory patterns in climate data are often more complicated than what can be described by such mechanisms. This…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-12-02 Andrew Roberts , Esther Widiasih , Chris K. R. T. Jones , Martin Wechselberger

Tropical monsoons play a critical role in shaping regional and global climate systems, with profound ecological and socio-economic impacts. However, their long-term prediction remains challenging due to the complex interplay of regional…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-24 Guanghao Ran , Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan

Very strong El Ni\~no events occur sporadically every 10-20 years. The origin of this bursting behavior still remains elusive. Using a simplified 3-dimensional dynamical model of the tropical Pacific climate system, which captures the El…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-05-04 Andrew Roberts , Esther Widiasih , Axel Timmermann , Christopher K. R. T. Jones , John Guckenheimer

We consider a delay differential equation (DDE) model for El-Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability. The model combines two key mechanisms that participate in ENSO dynamics: delayed negative feedback and seasonal forcing. We perform…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-29 Michael Ghil , Ilya Zaliapin , Sylvester Thompson

Eigen techniques such as empirical orthogonal function (EOF) or coupled pattern (CP) / maximum covariance analysis have been frequently used for detecting patterns in multivariate climatological data sets. Recently, statistical methods…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-04-12 Jonathan F. Donges , Irina Petrova , Alexander Loew , Norbert Marwan , Jürgen Kurths

The first step in exploring the properties of dynamical systems like the Earth climate is to identify the different phase space regions where the trajectories asymptotically evolve, called `attractors'. In a given system, multiple…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Maura Brunetti , Jérôme Kasparian , Christian Vérard

We study the dynamics of the El Nino phenomenon using the mathematical model of delayed-action oscillator (DAO). Topics such as the influence of the annual cycle, global warming, stochastic influences due to weather conditions and even…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ian Boutle , Richard H. S. Taylor , Rudolf A. Roemer

To enable flexible model coupling in coastal inundation studies, a coupling framework based on ESMF/NUOPC technology under a common modeling framework called the NOAA Environmental Modeling System (NEMS) was developed. The framework is…

Coupled atmosphere-ocean deep learning (DL) climate emulators are a new frontier but are known to exhibit weak ENSO variability, raising questions about their ability to simulate teleconnections. Here, we present the first Pacific pacemaker…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-27 Zhanxiang Hua , Christina Karamperidou , Zilu Meng

We introduce a unified statistical framework for quantifying system-environment coupling by treating the interaction energy $V_\mathcal{SE}$ as a stochastic variable. Using a reference-particle decomposition, we derive exact, closed-form…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-05-02 Mohammad Rahbar , Christopher J. Stein

This article describes the software engineering framework and computation performance of a global climate system model which helps the user to understand the step-by-step technical to DIY(do it yourself) a climate model by your own. The…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-08-26 Pengfei Wang

Non-isolated systems have diverse coupling relations with the external environment. These relations generate complex thermodynamics and information transmission between the system and its environment. The framework depicted in the current…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-06-15 Yang Tian , Pei Sun

Quantitative forecasting of average rainfall into the next season remains highly challenging, but in some favourable isolated cases may be possible with a series of relatively simple steps. We chose to explore predictions of austral…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-21 Stjepan Marcelja