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Stochastic subgrid-scale parametrizations aim to incorporate effects of unresolved processes in an effective model by sampling from a distribution usually described in terms of resolved modes. This is an active research area in climate,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-12-01 Jeric Alcala , Ilya Timofeyev

Adapting to the changing climate requires accurate local climate information, a computationally challenging problem. Recent studies have used Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs), a type of deep learning, to learn complex distributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Kiri Daust , Adam Monahan

Atmospheric models used for weather and climate prediction are traditionally formulated in a deterministic manner. In other words, given a particular state of the resolved scale variables, the most likely forcing from the sub-grid scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Hannah M. Christensen , Salah Kouhen , Greta Miller , Raghul Parthipan

We investigate artificial neural networks as a parametrization tool for stochastic inputs in numerical simulations. We address parametrization from the point of view of emulating the data generating process, instead of explicitly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-10 Shing Chan , Ahmed H. Elsheikh

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have shown immense potential in fields such as text and image generation. Only very recently attempts to exploit GANs to statistical-mechanics models have been reported. Here we quantitatively test…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-07 Daniele Lanzoni , Olivier Pierre-Louis , Francesco Montalenti

Subgrid parameterizations of mesoscale eddies continue to be in demand for climate simulations. These subgrid parameterizations can be powerfully designed using physics and/or data-driven methods, with uncertainty quantification. For…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-23 Pavel Perezhogin , Laure Zanna , Carlos Fernandez-Granda

The analysis of parametric and non-parametric uncertainties of very large dynamical systems requires the construction of a stochastic model of said system. Linear approaches relying on random matrix theory and principal componant analysis…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-02 Hamza Boukraichi , Nissrine Akkari , Fabien Casenave , David Ryckelynck

Representing and quantifying uncertainty in physical parameterisations is a central challenge in weather and climate modelling, and approaches are often developed separately for different timescales. Here, we introduce a unified framework…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-01 Laura A. Mansfield , Hannah M. Christensen

The modelling of small-scale processes is a major source of error in climate models, hindering the accuracy of low-cost models which must approximate such processes through parameterization. Red noise is essential to many operational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Raghul Parthipan , Hannah M. Christensen , J. Scott Hosking , Damon J. Wischik

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) are popular and successful generative models. Despite their success, optimization is notoriously challenging. In this work, we explain the success and limitations of GANs by casting them as Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Maurizio Filippone , Marius P. Linhard

Despite continuous improvements, precipitation forecasts are still not as accurate and reliable as those of other meteorological variables. A major contributing factor to this is that several key processes affecting precipitation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-09 Lucy Harris , Andrew T. T. McRae , Matthew Chantry , Peter D. Dueben , Tim N. Palmer

Addressing the challenges of climate change requires accurate and high-resolution mapping of geospatial data, especially climate and weather variables. However, many existing geospatial datasets, such as the gridded outputs of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Guiye Li , Guofeng Cao

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) are a powerful approach to unsupervised learning. They have achieved state-of-the-art performance in the image domain. However, GANs are limited in two ways. They often learn distributions with low…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-11 Adji B. Dieng , Francisco J. R. Ruiz , David M. Blei , Michalis K. Titsias

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) have been recently adopted for super-resolution, an application closely related to what is referred to as "downscaling" in the atmospheric sciences: improving the spatial resolution of low-resolution…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-12 Jussi Leinonen , Daniele Nerini , Alexis Berne

We present a deep learning model for data-driven simulations of random dynamical systems without a distributional assumption. The deep learning model consists of a recurrent neural network, which aims to learn the time marching structure,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Kyongmin Yeo , Zan Li , Wesley M. Gifford

The true distribution parameterizations of commonly used image datasets are inaccessible. Rather than designing metrics for feature spaces with unknown characteristics, we propose to measure GAN performance by evaluating on explicitly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-31 Shayne O'Brien , Matt Groh , Abhimanyu Dubey

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) provide an algorithmic framework for constructing generative models with several appealing properties: they do not require a likelihood function to be specified, only a generating procedure; they…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shakir Mohamed , Balaji Lakshminarayanan

One of the main challenges in the parametrization of geological models is the ability to capture complex geological structures often observed in the subsurface. In recent years, generative adversarial networks (GAN) were proposed as an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-10 Shing Chan , Ahmed H. Elsheikh

Global climate models represent small-scale processes such as clouds and convection using quasi-empirical models known as parameterizations, and these parameterizations are a leading cause of uncertainty in climate projections. A promising…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-31 Janni Yuval , Paul A. O'Gorman

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) with clustered latent spaces can perform conditional generation in a completely unsupervised manner. In the real world, the salient attributes of unlabeled data can be imbalanced. However, most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Uiwon Hwang , Heeseung Kim , Dahuin Jung , Hyemi Jang , Hyungyu Lee , Sungroh Yoon
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