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We construct a no-arbitrage model of bond prices where the long bond is used as a numeraire. We develop bond prices and their dynamics without developing any model for the spot rate or forward rates. The model is arbitrage free and all…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Victor Goodman , Kyounghee Kim

We prove the superhedging duality for a discrete-time financial market with proportional transaction costs under model uncertainty. Frictions are modeled through solvency cones as in the original model of [Kabanov, Y., Hedging and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-19 Erhan Bayraktar , Matteo Burzoni

We consider derivatives written on multiple underlyings in a one-period financial market, and we are interested in the computation of model-free upper and lower bounds for their arbitrage-free prices. We work in a completely realistic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-13 Ariel Neufeld , Antonis Papapantoleon , Qikun Xiang

We construct a binary market model with memory that approximates a continuous-time market model driven by a Gaussian process equivalent to Brownian motion. We give a sufficient conditions for the binary market to be arbitrage-free. In a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Akihiko Inoue , Yumiharu Nakano , Vo Anh

In this paper we investigate discrete time trading under integer constraints, that is, we assume that the offered goods or shares are traded in integer quantities instead of the usual real quantity assumption. For finite probability spaces…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-28 Stefan Gerhold , Paul Krühner

We develop an arbitrage-free deep learning framework for yield curve and bond price forecasting based on the Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) term-structure model and a dynamic Nelson-Siegel parameterization of forward rates. Our approach embeds a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-25 Xiang Gao , Cody Hyndman

This paper completes the analysis of Choulli et al. Non-Arbitrage up to Random Horizons and after Honest Times for Semimartingale Models and contains two principal contributions. The first contribution consists in providing and analysing…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-10 Anna Aksamit , Tahir Choulli , Jun Deng , Monique Jeanblanc

We present an arbitrage-free non-parametric yield curve prediction model which takes the full (discretized) yield curve as state variable. We believe that absence of arbitrage is an important model feature in case of highly correlated data,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-03-12 Josef Teichmann , Mario V. Wüthrich

We revisit mean-risk portfolio selection in a one-period financial market where risk is quantified by a positively homogeneous risk measure $\rho$. We first show that under mild assumptions, the set of optimal portfolios for a fixed return…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-20 Martin Herdegen , Nazem Khan

In this paper, we study an irreversible investment problem under Knightian uncertainty. In a general framework, in which Knightian uncertainty is modeled through a set of multiple priors, we prove existence and uniqueness of the optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-07 Giorgio Ferrari , Hanwu Li , Frank Riedel

We investigate default-free bond markets where the standard relationship between a possibly existing bank account process and the term structure of bond prices is broken, i.e. the bank account process is not a valid num\'eraire. We argue…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-02 Irene Klein , Thorsten Schmidt , Josef Teichmann

We have embedded the classical theory of stochastic finance into a differential geometric framework called Geometric Arbitrage Theory and show that it is possible to: --Write arbitrage as curvature of a principal fibre bundle.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-06 Simone Farinelli

We consider the pricing of derivatives in a setting with trading restrictions, but without any probabilistic assumptions on the underlying model, in discrete and continuous time. In particular, we assume that European put or call options…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-09 Alexander M. G. Cox , Zhaoxu Hou , Jan Obloj

We provide an axiomatic approach to general premium principles in a probability-free setting that allows for Knightian uncertainty. Every premium principle is the sum of a risk measure, as a generalization of the expected value, and a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-21 Max Nendel , Frank Riedel , Maren Diane Schmeck

Although the valuation of life contingent assets has been thoroughly investigated under the framework of mathematical statistics, little financial economics research pays attention to the pricing of these assets in a non-arbitrage, complete…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-28 Patrick Ling

The paper investigates quadratic hedging in a semimartingale market that does not necessarily contain a risk-free asset. An equivalence result for hedging with and without numeraire change is established. This permits direct computation of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Aleš Černý , Christoph Czichowsky , Jan Kallsen

We propose a Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing and a Super-Replication Theorem in a model-independent framework. We prove these theorems in the setting of finite, discrete time and a market consisting of a risky asset S as well as…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-27 Beatrice Acciaio , Mathias Beiglböck , Friedrich Penkner , Walter Schachermayer

Double no-touch options, contracts which pay out a fixed amount provided an underlying asset remains within a given interval, are commonly traded, particularly in FX markets. In this work, we establish model-free bounds on the price of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-07 Alexander M. G. Cox , Jan Obloj

We present a numerically efficient approach for learning a risk-neutral measure for paths of simulated spot and option prices up to a finite horizon under convex transaction costs and convex trading constraints. This approach can then be…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Hans Buehler , Phillip Murray , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Ben Wood

Risk-neutral pricing dictates that the discounted derivative price is a martingale in a measure equivalent to the economic measure. The residual ambiguity for incomplete markets is here resolved by minimising the entropy of the price…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-01 Paul McCloud
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