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Computing all critical points of a monomial on a very affine variety is a fundamental task in algebraic statistics, particle physics and other fields. The number of critical points is known as the maximum likelihood (ML) degree. When the…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Daniele Agostini , Taylor Brysiewicz , Claudia Fevola , Lukas Kühne , Bernd Sturmfels , Simon Telen

We study the pointwise maximum likelihood estimation rates for a class of Gaussian mixtures that are invariant under the action of some isometry group. This model is also known as multi-reference alignment, where random isometries of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-01 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

A very popular class of models for networks posits that each node is represented by a point in a continuous latent space, and that the probability of an edge between nodes is a decreasing function of the distance between them in this latent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Dena Marie Asta

We settle a conjecture by Coons and Sullivant stating that the maximum likelihood (ML) degree of a facial submodel of a toric model is at most the ML degree of the model itself. We discuss the impact on the ML degree from observing zeros in…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2025-07-04 Carlos Améndola , Janike Oldekop , Maximilian Wiesmann

This note introduces the $\texttt{LikelihoodGeometry}$ package for the computer algebra system $\textit{Macaulay2}$. This package gives tools to construct the likelihood correspondence of a discrete algebraic statistical model, a variety…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-19 David Barnhill , John Cobb , Matthew Faust

Logistic regression is a classical model for describing the probabilistic dependence of binary responses to multivariate covariates. We consider the predictive performance of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for logistic regression,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Hugo Chardon , Matthieu Lerasle , Jaouad Mourtada

Gaussian random fields on Euclidean spaces whose variances reach their maximum values at unique points are considered. Exact asymptotic behaviors of probabilities of large absolute maximum of theirs trajectories have been evaluated using…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-12 Sergey G. Kobelkov , Vladimir I. Piterbarg

This paper rigorously establishes that the existence of the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) in high-dimensional logistic regression models with Gaussian covariates undergoes a sharp `phase transition'. We introduce an explicit boundary…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-27 Emmanuel J. Candes , Pragya Sur

This paper deals with multivariate Gaussian models for which the covariance matrix is a Kronecker product of two matrices. We consider maximum likelihood estimation of the model parameters, in particular of the covariance matrix. There is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-09 Beata Roś , Fetsje Bijma , Jan C. de Munck , Mathisca C. M. de Gunst

We settle a conjecture by Bik and Marigliano stating that the degree of a one-dimensional discrete model with rational maximum likelihood estimator is bounded above by a linear function in the size of its support, therefore showing that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-04 Carlos Améndola , Viet Duc Nguyen , Janike Oldekop

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert

We analyze the problem of maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian distributions that are multivariate totally positive of order two (MTP2). By exploiting connections to phylogenetics and single-linkage clustering, we give a simple proof…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-29 Steffen Lauritzen , Caroline Uhler , Piotr Zwiernik

Let $C$ be a smooth projective curve and $W$ a symplectic bundle over $C$. Let $LQ_e (W)$ be the Lagrangian Quot scheme parametrizing Lagrangian subsheaves $E \subset W$ of degree $e$. We give a closed formula for intersection numbers on…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2019-03-12 Daewoong Cheong , Insong Choe , George H. Hitching

Maxima of the linear density field form a point process that can be used to understand the spatial distribution of virialized halos that collapsed from initially overdense regions. However, owing to the peak constraint, clustering…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-05-30 Vincent Desjacques

Maximum likelihood estimation is a common method of estimating the parameters of the probability distribution from a given sample. This paper aims to introduce the maximum likelihood estimation in the framework of sublinear expectation. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Xinpeng Li , Yue Liu , Jiaquan Lu

Estimation of the mean vector and covariance matrix is of central importance in the analysis of multivariate data. In the framework of generalized linear models, usually the variances are certain functions of the means with the normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-25 Anupam Kundu , Mohsen Pourahmadi

The complexity of a maximum likelihood estimation is measured by its maximum likelihood degree ($ML$ degree). In this paper we study the maximum likelihood problem associated to chemical networks composed by one single chemical reaction…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-09-04 Simone Camosso

Modern data sets in various domains often include units that were sampled non-randomly from the population and have a latent correlation structure. Here we investigate a common form of this setting, where every unit is associated with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Omer Weissbrod , Shachar Kaufman , David Golan , Saharon Rosset

The asymptotic variance of the maximum likelihood estimate is proved to decrease when the maximization is restricted to a subspace that contains the true parameter value. Maximum likelihood estimation allows a systematic fitting of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-31 Marie Turčičová , Jan Mandel , Kryštof Eben

We study the problem of maximum likelihood estimation of densities that are log-concave and lie in the graphical model corresponding to a given undirected graph $G$. We show that the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) is the product of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Kaie Kubjas , Olga Kuznetsova , Elina Robeva , Pardis Semnani , Luca Sodomaco