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Estimation of covariance matrices or their inverses plays a central role in many statistical methods. For these methods to work reliably, estimated matrices must not only be invertible but also well-conditioned. In this paper we present an…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-06 Eric C. Chi , Kenneth Lange

We develop a method for estimating well-conditioned and sparse covariance and inverse covariance matrices from a sample of vectors drawn from a sub-gaussian distribution in high dimensional setting. The proposed estimators are obtained by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-21 Ashwini Maurya

The asymptotic distribution of the Markowitz portfolio is derived, for the general case (assuming fourth moments of returns exist), and for the case of multivariate normal returns. The derivation allows for inference which is robust to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-09 Steven E. Pav

We study a continuous-time Markowitz mean-variance portfolio selection model in which a naive agent, unaware of the underlying time-inconsistency, continuously reoptimizes over time. We define the resulting naive policies through the limit…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-16 Lin Chen , Xun Yu Zhou

In this paper we construct a shrinkage estimator of the global minimum variance (GMV) portfolio by a combination of two techniques: Tikhonov regularization and direct shrinkage of portfolio weights. More specifically, we employ a double…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-08 Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Erik Thorsén

This article is focused on using a new measurement of risk-- Weighted Value at Risk to develop a new method of constructing initiate from the TVAR solving problem, based on MATLAB software, using the historical simulation method (avoiding…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-27 Tianyu Hao

This paper tackles the problem of robust covariance matrix estimation when the data is incomplete. Classical statistical estimation methodologies are usually built upon the Gaussian assumption, whereas existing robust estimation ones assume…

Covariance estimation becomes challenging in the regime where the number p of variables outstrips the number n of samples available to construct the estimate. One way to circumvent this problem is to assume that the covariance matrix is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-14 Richard Y. Chen , Alex Gittens , Joel A. Tropp

This paper develops a large-scale inference approach for the regularization of stock return covariance matrices. The framework allows for the presence of heavy tails and multivariate GARCH-type effects of unknown form among the stock…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-16 Richard Luger

For a covariance matrix coming from a factor model of returns, we investigate the relationship between the long-only global minimum variance portfolio and the asset exposures to the factors. In the case of a 1-factor model, we provide a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Nick L. Gunther , Alec N. Kercheval , Ololade Sowunmi

In this paper, we consider a new problem of portfolio optimization using stochastic information. In a setting where there is some uncertainty, we ask how to best select $k$ potential solutions, with the goal of optimizing the value of the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Marina Drygala , Silvio Lattanzi , Andreas Maggiori , Miltiadis Stouras , Ola Svensson , Sergei Vassilvitskii

We consider an incomplete market with a nontradable stochastic factor and a continuous time investment problem with an optimality criterion based on monotone mean-variance preferences. We formulate it as a stochastic differential game…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-25 Jakub Trybuła , Dariusz Zawisza

Estimation of high dimensional covariance matrices is an interesting and important research topic. In this paper, we propose a dynamic structure and develop an estimation procedure for high dimensional covariance matrices. Asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-05 Shaojun Guo , John Box , Wenyang Zhang

Portfolio optimization methods have evolved significantly since Markowitz introduced the mean-variance framework in 1952. While the theoretical appeal of this approach is undeniable, its practical implementation poses important challenges,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-28 Adil Rengim Cetingoz , Olivier Guéant

Relying on recent advances in statistical estimation of covariance distances based on random matrix theory, this article proposes an improved covariance and precision matrix estimation for a wide family of metrics. The method is shown to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-03 Malik Tiomoko , Florent Bouchard , Guillaume Ginholac , Romain Couillet

We analyze characteristics' joint predictive information through the lens of out-of-sample power utility functions. Linking weights to characteristics to form optimal portfolios suffers from estimation error which we mitigate by maximizing…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-05 Christopher G. Lamoureux , Huacheng Zhang

We study a continuous-time portfolio optimization problem under an explicit constraint on the Deviation Conditional Value-at-Risk (DCVaR), defined as the difference between the CVaR and the expected terminal wealth. While the mean-CVaR…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Jérôme Lelong , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , William Thevenot

Investment returns naturally reside on irregular domains, however, standard multivariate portfolio optimization methods are agnostic to data structure. To this end, we investigate ways for domain knowledge to be conveniently incorporated…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-17 Bruno Scalzo Dees , Ljubisa Stankovic , Anthony G. Constantinides , Danilo P. Mandic

In this paper, new results in random matrix theory are derived which allow us to construct a shrinkage estimator of the global minimum variance (GMV) portfolio when the shrinkage target is a random object. More specifically, the shrinkage…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Erik Thorsen

We propose a data-driven way to reduce the noise of covariance matrices of nonstationary systems. In the case of stationary systems, asymptotic approaches were proved to converge to the optimal solutions. Such methods produce eigenvalues…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-10 Christian Bongiorno , Damien Challet , Grégoire Loeper