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Time series forecasting is one of the most active research topics. Machine learning methods have been increasingly adopted to solve these predictive tasks. However, in a recent work, these were shown to systematically present a lower…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-01 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Carlos Soares

Quantifying changes in the probability and magnitude of extreme flooding events is key to mitigating their impacts. While hydrodynamic data are inherently spatially dependent, traditional spatial models such as Gaussian processes are poorly…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-06 Reetam Majumder , Brian J. Reich , Benjamin A. Shaby

Deep learning has been successful in automating the design of features in machine learning pipelines. However, the algorithms optimizing neural network parameters remain largely hand-designed and computationally inefficient. We study if we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Boris Knyazev , Michal Drozdzal , Graham W. Taylor , Adriana Romero-Soriano

Machine learning models play a vital role in the prediction task in several fields of study. In this work, we utilize the ability of machine learning algorithms to predict the occurrence of extreme events in a nonlinear mechanical system.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 J. Meiyazhagan , S. Sudharsan , A. Venkatasen , M. Senthilvelan

Climate change is increasing the occurrence of extreme precipitation events, threatening infrastructure, agriculture, and public safety. Ensemble prediction systems provide probabilistic forecasts but exhibit biases and difficulties in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Christopher Bülte , Sohir Maskey , Philipp Scholl , Jonas von Berg , Gitta Kutyniok

Streamflow prediction is one of the key challenges in the field of hydrology due to the complex interplay between multiple non-linear physical mechanisms behind streamflow generation. While physics based models are rooted in rich…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-12 Ankush Khandelwal , Shaoming Xu , Xiang Li , Xiaowei Jia , Michael Stienbach , Christopher Duffy , John Nieber , Vipin Kumar

We propose self-adaptive training -- a unified training algorithm that dynamically calibrates and enhances training processes by model predictions without incurring an extra computational cost -- to advance both supervised and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Lang Huang , Chao Zhang , Hongyang Zhang

Studying low-likelihood high-impact extreme weather events in a warming world is a significant and challenging task for current ensemble forecasting systems. While these systems presently use up to 100 members, larger ensembles could enrich…

Machine learning (ML) offers powerful methods for detecting and modeling associations often in data with large feature spaces and complex associations. Many useful tools/packages (e.g. scikit-learn) have been developed to make the various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-27 Ryan J. Urbanowicz , Robert Zhang , Yuhan Cui , Pranshu Suri

Cybersecurity is essential, and attacks are rapidly growing and getting more challenging to detect. The traditional Firewall and Intrusion Detection system, even though it is widely used and recommended but it fails to detect new attacks,…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Mustafa Sakhai , Maciej Wielgosz

Ensemble forecasting has proven over the years to be a vital tool for predicting extreme or only partially predictable weather events. In particular life-threatening weather events. Many National Meteorological Services in East Africa do…

Gaining a deeper understanding of weather and being able to predict its future conduct have always been considered important endeavors for the growth of our society. This research paper explores the advancements in understanding and…

Despite the necessity for accurate flood prediction, many regions lack sufficient river discharge observations. Although numerous models for daily river discharge prediction exist, achieving high accuracy, interpretability, and efficiency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Mizuki Funato , Yohei Sawada

We demonstrate several techniques to encourage practical uses of neural networks for fluid flow estimation. In the present paper, three perspectives which are remaining challenges for applications of machine learning to fluid dynamics are…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-05-19 Masaki Morimoto , Kai Fukami , Kai Zhang , Koji Fukagata

Accurate electrical load forecasting is crucial for optimizing power system operations, planning, and management. As power systems become increasingly complex, traditional forecasting methods may fail to capture the intricate patterns and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-26 Elias Raffoul , Mingjian Tuo , Cunzhi Zhao , Tianxia Zhao , Meng Ling , Xingpeng Li

The explosion of digital data has created multiple opportunities for organizations and individuals to leverage machine learning (ML) to transform the way they operate. However, the shortage of experts in the field of machine learning --…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Doron Laadan , Roman Vainshtein , Yarden Curiel , Gilad Katz , Lior Rokach

Ensemble techniques in recommender systems have demonstrated accuracy improvements of 10-30%, yet their environmental impact remains unmeasured. While deep learning recommendation algorithms can generate up to 3,297 kg CO2 per paper,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Jannik Nitschke

Time series forecasting plays an increasingly important role in modern business decisions. In today's data-rich environment, people often aim to choose the optimal forecasting model for their data. However, identifying the optimal model…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-17 Xixi Li , Fotios Petropoulos , Yanfei Kang

Forecast combination integrates information from various sources by consolidating multiple forecast results from the target time series. Instead of the need to select a single optimal forecasting model, this paper introduces a deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Yinuo Ren , Feng Li , Yanfei Kang , Jue Wang

To mitigate the uncertainty of variable renewable resources, two off-the-shelf machine learning tools are deployed to forecast the solar power output of a solar photovoltaic system. The support vector machines generate the forecasts and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-02 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury