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In this paper we present a technique for using the bootstrap to estimate the operating characteristics and their variability for certain types of ensemble methods. Bootstrapping a model can require a huge amount of work if the training data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-26 Anthony Gamst , Jay-Calvin Reyes , Alden Walker

That data follow a Gompertz distribution is a widely used assumption in diverse fields of applied sciences, e.g., in biology or when analysing survival times. Since misspecified models may lead to false conclusions, assessing the fit of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-06 Dennis Dobler , Bruno Ebner

Bootstrap methods, initially developed for solving statistical and quantum field theories, have recently been shown to capture the discrete spectrum of quantum mechanical problems, such as the single particle Schr\"odinger equation with an…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2021-12-15 Serguei Tchoumakov , Serge Florens

Simulator-based models are models for which the likelihood is intractable but simulation of synthetic data is possible. They are often used to describe complex real-world phenomena, and as such can often be misspecified in practice.…

Finkelstein-Schoenfeld, Buyse, Pocock, and other authors have developed generalizations of the Mann-Whitney test that allow for pairwise patient comparisons to include a hierarchy of measurements. Various authors present either asymptotic…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-26 William N. Anderson , Johan Verbeeck

We propose a nonparametric bootstrap procedure for two-phase stratified sampling without replacement. In this design, a weighted likelihood estimator is known to have smaller asymptotic variance than under the convenient assumption of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-26 Takumi Saegusa

Estimating the mixing density of a latent mixture model is an important task in signal processing. Nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation is one popular approach to this problem. If the latent variable distribution is assumed to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-01 Shijie Wang , Minsuk Shin , Ray Bai

The robust rank-order test (Fligner and Policello, 1981) was designed as an improvement of the non-parametric Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney U-test to be more appropriate when the samples being compared have unequal variance. However, it tends to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-08 Nirvik Sinha

This paper introduces a local optimization-based approach to test statistical hypotheses and to construct confidence intervals. This approach can be viewed as an extension of bootstrap, and yields asymptotically valid tests and confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-21 Shifeng Xiong

Bootstrap techniques (also called resampling computation techniques) have introduced new advances in modeling and model evaluation. Using resampling methods to construct a series of new samples which are based on the original data set,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Riadh Kallel , Marie Cottrell , Vincent Vigneron

We consider the problem of finding confidence intervals for the risk of forecasting the future of a stationary, ergodic stochastic process, using a model estimated from the past of the process. We show that a bootstrap procedure provides…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-01 Robert Lunde , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

The objective of Bayesian inference is often to infer, from data, a probability measure for a random variable that can be used as input for Monte Carlo simulation. When datasets for Bayesian inference are small, a principle challenge is…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-29 Jiaxin Zhang , Michael D. Shields

A multiplier bootstrap procedure for construction of likelihood-based confidence sets is considered for finite samples and a possible model misspecification. Theoretical results justify the bootstrap validity for a small or moderate sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-18 Vladimir Spokoiny , Mayya Zhilova

We propose new goodness-of-fit tests for the Poisson distribution. The testing procedure entails fitting a weighted Poisson distribution, which has the Poisson as a special case, to observed data. Based on sample data, we calculate an…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-21 Winnie Kirui , Elzanie Bothma , Marius Smuts , Anke Steyn , Jaco Visagie

A reasonable confidence interval should have a confidence coefficient no less than the given nominal level and a small expected length to reliably and accurately estimate the parameter of interest, and the bootstrap interval is considered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-15 Weizhen Wang , Chongxiu Yu , Zhongzhan Zhang

Bootstrap methods are widely used for distribution estimation, although in some problems they are applicable only with difficulty. A case in point is that of estimating the distributions of eigenvalue estimators, or of functions of those…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-12 Peter Hall , Young K. Lee , Byeong U. Park , Debashis Paul

The maximum-likelihood estimator of nonlinear panel data models with fixed effects is consistent but asymptotically-biased under rectangular-array asymptotics. The literature has thus far concentrated its effort on devising methods to…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-28 Ayden Higgins , Koen Jochmans

A natural way to quantify uncertainties in Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) is through Bayesian methods. That said, sampling from the joint posterior distribution of GMMs via standard Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) imposes several…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-20 Santiago Marin , Bronwyn Loong , Anton H. Westveld

The bootstrap is a popular data-driven method to quantify statistical uncertainty, but for modern high-dimensional problems, it could suffer from huge computational costs due to the need to repeatedly generate resamples and refit models. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Henry Lam , Zhenyuan Liu

In reinforcement learning, it is typical to use the empirically observed transitions and rewards to estimate the value of a policy via either model-based or Q-fitting approaches. Although straightforward, these techniques in general yield…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Ilya Kostrikov , Ofir Nachum