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An extreme wind speed estimation method that considers wind hazard climate types is critical for design wind load calculation for building structures affected by mixed climates. However, it is very difficult to obtain wind hazard climate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-30 Wei Cui , Teng Ma , Lin Zhao , Yaojun Ge

We introduce a decision-making framework tailored for the management of systemic risk in networks. This framework is constructed upon three fundamental components: (1) a set of acceptable network configurations, (2) a set of interventions…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-28 Gregor Svindland , Alexander Voß

This paper aims to explore the application of machine learning in forecasting Chinese macroeconomic variables. Specifically, it employs various machine learning models to predict the quarterly real GDP growth of China, and analyzes the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-08 Yanqing Yang , Xingcheng Xu , Jinfeng Ge , Yan Xu

Following several episodes of financial market turmoil in recent decades, changes in systemic risk have drawn growing attention. Therefore, we propose surveillance schemes for systemic risk, which allow to detect misspecified systemic risk…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-14 Timo Dimitriadis , Yannick Hoga

Machine learning has more and more effect on our every day's life. This field keeps growing and expanding into new areas. Machine learning is based on the implementation of artificial intelligence that gives systems the capability to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-01-31 Munther Abualkibash

The widespread dissemination of toxic online posts is increasingly damaging to society. However, research on detecting toxic language in Chinese has lagged significantly. Existing datasets lack fine-grained annotation of toxic types and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Junyu Lu , Bo Xu , Xiaokun Zhang , Changrong Min , Liang Yang , Hongfei Lin

Systemic risk arises as a multi-layer network phenomenon. Layers represent direct financial exposures of various types, including interbank liabilities, derivative- or foreign exchange exposures. Another network layer of systemic risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-13 Anton Pichler , Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner

The crowd panic and its contagion play non-negligible roles at the time of the stock crash, especially for China where inexperienced investors dominate the market. However, existing models rarely consider investors in networking stocks and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-26 Shan Lu , Jichang Zhao , Huiwen Wang , Ruoen Ren

Online transaction fraud presents substantial challenges to businesses and consumers, risking significant financial losses. Conventional rule-based systems struggle to keep pace with evolving fraud tactics, leading to high false positive…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-20 Catayoun Azarm , Erman Acar , Mickey van Zeelt

With increasing competition and pace in the financial markets, robust forecasting methods are becoming more and more valuable to investors. While machine learning algorithms offer a proven way of modeling non-linearities in time series,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-09 Lukas Ryll , Sebastian Seidens

In this study, we propose a new multi-objective portfolio optimization with idiosyncratic and systemic risks for financial networks. The two risks are measured by the idiosyncratic variance and the network clustering coefficient derived…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-23 Yajie Yang , Longfeng Zhao , Lin Chen , Chao Wang , Jihui Han

The question of how to stabilize financial systems has attracted considerable attention since the global financial crisis of 2007-2009. Recently, Beale et al. ("Individual versus systemic risk and the regulator's dilemma", Proc Natl Acad…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-30 Teruyoshi Kobayashi

In today's complex and volatile financial market environment, risk management of multi-asset portfolios faces significant challenges. Traditional risk assessment methods, due to their limited ability to capture complex correlations between…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-14 Fu Lei , Ge Shi

Financial crises emerge when structural vulnerabilities accumulate across sectors, markets, and investor behavior. Predicting these systemic transitions is challenging because they arise from evolving interactions between market…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-22 Sandeep Neela

We use methods from network science to analyze corruption risk in a large administrative dataset of over 4 million public procurement contracts from European Union member states covering the years 2008-2016. By mapping procurement markets…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-20 Johannes Wachs , Mihály Fazekas , János Kertész

Due to the new advancements in automation using Artificial Intelligence, Robotics and Internet of Things it has become crucial to pay attention to possible vulnerabilities in order to avoid cyber attack and hijacking that can occur which…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-08-20 Chinwe Ekenna , Bharvee Acharya

Bank crisis is challenging to define but can be manifested through bank contagion. This study presents a comprehensive framework grounded in nonlinear time series analysis to identify potential early warning signals (EWS) for impending…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-17 Shijia Song , Handong Li

Cyber security and resilience are major challenges in our modern economies; this is why they are top priorities on the agenda of governments, security and defense forces, management of companies and organizations. Hence, the need of a deep…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-12 Michel Dacorogna , Nehla Debbabi , Marie Kratz

Financial market risk forecasting involves applying mathematical models, historical data analysis and statistical methods to estimate the impact of future market movements on investments. This process is crucial for investors to develop…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Jinxin Xu , Kaixian Xu , Yue Wang , Qinyan Shen , Ruisi Li

Financial markets are exposed to systemic risk (SR), the risk that a major fraction of the system ceases to function, and collapses. It has recently become possible to quantify SR in terms of underlying financial networks where nodes…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-03 Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner
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