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In data-driven learning and inference tasks, the high cost of acquiring samples from the target distribution often limits performance. A common strategy to mitigate this challenge is to augment the limited target samples with data from a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Barron Han , Danil Akhtiamov , Reza Ghane , Babak Hassibi

Testing and evaluation are expensive but critical steps in the development of connected and automated vehicles (CAVs). In this paper, we develop an adaptive sampling framework to efficiently evaluate the accident rate of CAVs, particularly…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Xianliang Gong , Shuo Feng , Yulin Pan

In this paper, we develop an exact reformulation and a deterministic approximation for distributionally robust joint chance-constrained programmings (DRCCPs) with a general class of convex uncertain constraints under data-driven Wasserstein…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Yining Gu , Yanjun Wang

We observe a $n$-sample, the distribution of which is assumed to belong, or at least to be close enough, to a given mixture model. We propose an estimator of this distribution that belongs to our model and possesses some robustness…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Alexandre Lecestre

We introduce weighted Markovian graphs, a random walk model that decouples the transition dynamics of a Markov chain from (random) edge weights representing the cost of traversing each edge. This decoupling allows us to study the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Thao Le , Robbert van der Burg , Bernd Heidergott , Ines Lindner , Alessandro Zocca

We propose a new generative model, Cramer-Wold Autoencoder (CWAE). Following WAE, we directly encourage normality of the latent space. Our paper uses also the recent idea from Sliced WAE (SWAE) model, which uses one-dimensional projections…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-21 Szymon Knop , Jacek Tabor , Przemysław Spurek , Igor Podolak , Marcin Mazur , Stanisław Jastrzębski

We develop an approach to risk minimization and stochastic optimization that provides a convex surrogate for variance, allowing near-optimal and computationally efficient trading between approximation and estimation error. Our approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-15 John Duchi , Hongseok Namkoong

This paper investigates the use of risk measures and theories of choice for modeling risk-averse route choice and traffic network equilibrium with random travel times. We interpret the postulates of these theories in the context of routing,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-17 Roberto Cominetti , Alfredo Torrico

A new resolvent-based method is developed to predict the space-time properties of the flow field. To overcome the deterioration of the prediction accuracy with the increasing distance between the measurements and predictions in the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-10-17 Anjia Ying , Tian Liang , Zhigang Li , Lin Fu

Conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) is a prominent risk measure in financial engineering, energy systems, and supply chain management. In these domains, Markov decision processes (MDPs) with a long-run CVaR criterion effectively mitigate cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Qixin Wang , Hao Cao , Jian-Qiang Hu , Mingjie Hu , Li Xia

We study the vehicle routing problem with time windows (VRPTW) and stochastic travel times, in which the decision-maker observes related contextual information, represented as feature variables, before making routing decisions. Despite the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Breno Serrano , Alexandre M. Florio , Stefan Minner , Maximilian Schiffer , Thibaut Vidal

This paper focuses on the problem of predicting the future position of a target road user given its current state, consisting of position and velocity. A weighted average approach is adopted, where the weights are determined from data…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Angelos Toytziaridis , Paolo Falcone , Jonas Sjöberg

This paper introduces an equilibrium framework based on sequential sampling in which players face strategic uncertainty over their opponents' behavior and acquire informative signals to resolve it. Sequential sampling equilibrium delivers a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-11-03 Duarte Gonçalves

This paper designs a novel trajectory planning approach to resolve the computational efficiency and safety problems in uncoordinated methods by exploiting vehicle-to-everything (V2X) technology. The trajectory planning for connected and…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Zhengqin Liu , Jinlong Lei , Peng Yi

Data assimilation refers to a set of algorithms designed to compute the optimal estimate of a system's state by refining the prior prediction (known as background states) using observed data. Variational assimilation methods rely on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Yi Xiao , Qilong Jia , Wei Xue , Lei Bai

Sample average approximation (SAA) replaces an intractable expected objective by an empirical average and is a basic device of modern stochastic optimization. We develop a rate theory for optimal values and empirical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Hien Duy Nguyen , Jacob Westerhout , Xin Guo

In observational studies, accurately characterizing variance is critical for sample size determination, yet unaccounted-for variability from propensity score estimation and the resulting weights limit the accuracy of standard variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Taekwon Hong , Daeyoung Lim , Woojung Bae , Yong Ma

Options are generally learned by using an inaccurate environment model (or simulator), which contains uncertain model parameters. While there are several methods to learn options that are robust against the uncertainty of model parameters,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-01 Takuya Hiraoka , Takahisa Imagawa , Tatsuya Mori , Takashi Onishi , Yoshimasa Tsuruoka

Stated choice probabilities are increasingly used in conjunction with the random-coefficient model (RCM) to describe individual preferences. They allow survey respondents to express uncertainty about the future or the incompleteness of a…

General Economics · Economics 2025-03-19 Romuald Meango

This paper discusses a class of combinatorial optimization problems with uncertain costs in the objective function. It is assumed that a sample of the cost realizations is available, which defines an empirical probability distribution for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-21 Marcel Jackiewicz , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski