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The problem of estimating a random vector x from noisy linear measurements y = A x + w with unknown parameters on the distributions of x and w, which must also be learned, arises in a wide range of statistical learning and linear inverse…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-06-20 Alyson K. Fletcher , Mojtaba Sahraee-Ardakan , Philip Schniter , Sundeep Rangan

We present a distribution optimization framework that significantly improves confidence bounds for various risk measures compared to previous methods. Our framework encompasses popular risk measures such as the entropic risk measure,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Hao Liang , Zhi-quan Luo

Efficient resource allocation is essential for optimizing various tasks in wireless networks, which are usually formulated as generalized assignment problems (GAP). GAP, as a generalized version of the linear sum assignment problem,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-06 Zijiang Yan , Hao Zhou , Jianhua Pei , Aryan Kaushik , Hina Tabassum , Ping Wang

Considering non-stationary environments in online optimization enables decision-maker to effectively adapt to changes and improve its performance over time. In such cases, it is favorable to adopt a strategy that minimizes the negative…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-05 Siyi Wang , Zifan Wang , Xinlei Yi , Michael M. Zavlanos , Karl H. Johansson , Sandra Hirche

Motivated by the prominence of Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) as a measure for tail risk in settings affected by uncertainty, we develop a new formula for approximating CVaR based optimization objectives and their gradients from limited…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-25 Anand Deo , Karthyek Murthy

We consider an instance of a nonatomic routing game. We assume that the network is parallel, that is, constituted of only two nodes, an origin and a destination. We consider infinitesimal players that have a symmetric network cost, but are…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-04-10 Paulin Jacquot , Cheng Wan

We propose a general analytical framework for single-facility continuous location problems under spatial demand uncertainty. In contrast to classical formulations based on discrete or regionally aggregated demands, the proposed model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Víctor Blanco , Miguel Martínez-Antón

Quantification of risk positions under model uncertainty is of crucial importance from both viewpoints of external regulation and internal management. The concept of model uncertainty, sometimes also referred to as model ambiguity. Although…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-06 Wentao Hu

The CVAE is one of the most widely-used models in trajectory prediction for AD. It captures the interplay between a driving context and its ground-truth future into a probabilistic latent space and uses it to produce predictions. In this…

In a wide variety of sequential decision making problems, it can be important to estimate the impact of rare events in order to minimize risk exposure. A popular risk measure is the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR), which is commonly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-11 Dylan Troop , Frédéric Godin , Jia Yuan Yu

In this paper a class of bottleneck combinatorial optimization problems with uncertain costs is discussed. The uncertainty is modeled by specifying a discrete scenario set containing a finite number of cost vectors, called scenarios. In…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2013-07-19 Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

In this paper a class of combinatorial optimization problems with uncertain costs is discussed. The uncertainty is modeled by specifying a discrete scenario set containing $K$ distinct cost scenarios. The Ordered Weighted Averaging (OWA for…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-11-17 Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

Minimising a spectral risk objective, defined as a convex combination of expected cost and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), is challenging when the uncertainty distribution is decision-dependent, making both surrogate modelling and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Marcell T. Kurbucz

We consider a critically-loaded multiclass queueing control problem with model uncertainty. The model consists of $I$ types of customers and a single server. At any time instant, a decision-maker (DM) allocates the server's effort to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-31 Asaf Cohen , Subhamay Saha

We propose and analyze algorithms for distributionally robust optimization of convex losses with conditional value at risk (CVaR) and $\chi^2$ divergence uncertainty sets. We prove that our algorithms require a number of gradient…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-14 Daniel Levy , Yair Carmon , John C. Duchi , Aaron Sidford

We study the problem of setting a price for a potential buyer with a valuation drawn from an unknown distribution $D$. The seller has "data"' about $D$ in the form of $m \ge 1$ i.i.d. samples, and the algorithmic challenge is to use these…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-02-12 Zhiyi Huang , Yishay Mansour , Tim Roughgarden

We tackle the problem of trajectory planning in an environment comprised of a set of obstacles with uncertain time-varying locations. The uncertainties are modeled using widely accepted Gaussian distributions, resulting in a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-16 Vasileios Lefkopoulos , Maryam Kamgarpour

The conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) is a useful risk measure in fields such as machine learning, finance, insurance, energy, etc. When measuring very extreme risk, the commonly used CVaR estimation method of sample averaging does not work…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-10 Dylan Troop , Frédéric Godin , Jia Yuan Yu

The Value-at-Risk (VaR) and the Expected Shortfall (ES) are the two most popular risk measures in banking and insurance regulation. To bridge between the two regulatory risk measures, the Probability Equivalent Level of VaR-ES (PELVE) was…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-30 Hirbod Assa , Liyuan Lin , Ruodu Wang

A key driver of Credit Value Adjustment (CVA) is the possible dependency between exposure and counterparty credit risk, known as Wrong-Way Risk (WWR). At this time, addressing WWR in a both sound and tractable way remains challenging:…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-10 Damiano Brigo , Frédéric Vrins