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Let $N_{\triangle}(G)$ be the number of triangles in a graph $G$. In [14] and [25] (respectively) the following bounds were proved on the lower tail behaviour of triangle counts in the dense Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graphs $G_m\sim G(n,m)$:…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-11-03 José Alvarado , Gabriel Dias , Simon Griffiths

We develop a quantitative large deviations theory for random hypergraphs, which rests on tensor decomposition and counting lemmas under a novel family of cut-type norms. As our main application, we obtain sharp asymptotics for joint upper…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Nicholas A. Cook , Amir Dembo , Huy Tuan Pham

What is the probability that the number of triangles in $\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$, the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph with edge density $p$, is at least twice its mean? Writing it as $\exp[- r(n,p)]$, already the order of the rate function…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-04-12 Eyal Lubetzky , Yufei Zhao

Concentration inequalities for subgraph counts in random geometric graphs built over Poisson point processes are proved. The estimates give upper bounds for the probabilities $\mathbb{P}(N\geq M +r)$ and $\mathbb{P}(N\leq M - r)$ where $M$…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-29 Sascha Bachmann , Matthias Reitzner

For a fixed graph $H$ and for arbitrarily large host graphs $G$, the number of homomorphisms from $H$ to $G$ and the number of subgraphs isomorphic to $H$ contained in $G$ have been extensively studied in extremal graph theory and graph…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-07-05 Chun-Hung Liu

Given a sequence of $s$-uniform hypergraphs $\{H_n\}_{n \geq 1}$, denote by $T_p(H_n)$ the number of edges in the random induced hypergraph obtained by including every vertex in $H_n$ independently with probability $p \in (0, 1)$. Recent…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Somabha Mukherjee , Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya

With $\xi$ the number of triangles in the usual (Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi) random graph $G(m,p)$, $p>1/m$ and $\eta>0$, we show (for some $C_{\eta}>0$) $$\Pr(\xi> (1+\eta)\E \xi) < \exp[-C_{\eta}\min{m^2p^2\log(1/p),m^3p^3}].$$ This is tight up to…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-30 Bobby DeMarco , Jeff Kahn

We consider the question of determining the probability of triangle count deviations in the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graphs $G(n,m)$ and $G(n,p)$ with densities larger than $n^{-1/2}(\log{n})^{1/2}$. In particular, we determine the log…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-01-13 José D. Alvarado , Leonardo Gonçalves de Oliveira , Simon Griffiths

Starting with the large deviation principle (LDP) for the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi binomial random graph $\mathcal{G}(n,p)$ (edge indicators are i.i.d.), due to Chatterjee and Varadhan (2011), we derive the LDP for the uniform random graph…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-01 Amir Dembo , Eyal Lubetzky

Suppose that $X$ is a bounded-degree polynomial with nonnegative coefficients on the $p$-biased discrete hypercube. Our main result gives sharp estimates on the logarithmic upper tail probability of $X$ whenever an associated extremal…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Matan Harel , Frank Mousset , Wojciech Samotij

Inhomogeneous random graphs are fundamental models for real-world networks, where prescribed degrees are imposed as soft constraints. A common assumption in such models is that the degree distribution follows a power-law, capturing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Riccardo Michielan , Clara Stegehuis , Bert Zwart

We show that the naive mean-field approximation correctly predicts the leading term of the logarithmic lower tail probabilities for the number of copies of a given subgraph in $G(n,p)$ and of arithmetic progressions of a given length in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Gady Kozma , Wojciech Samotij

For r \ge 2, let X be the number of r-armed stars K_{1,r} in the binomial random graph G_{n,p}. We study the upper tail \Pr(X \ge (1+\epsilon)\E X), and establish exponential bounds which are best possible up to constant factors in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Matas Šileikis , Lutz Warnke

We determine the asymptotic behavior of the maximum subgraph density of large random graphs with a prescribed degree sequence. The result applies in particular to the Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi model, where it settles a conjecture of Hajek [IEEE…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-08 Venkat Anantharam , Justin Salez

We consider general Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs) where the sufficient statistics are functions of homomorphism counts for a fixed collection of simple graphs $F_k$. Whereas previous work has shown a degeneracy phenomenon in dense…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Nicholas A. Cook , Amir Dembo

Upper exponential inequalities for the tail probabilities of the centered and normalized number of triangles in the Erd\"{o}s-R\'{e}nyi graph are obtained, where the probability of every edge is fixed. The result is formulated in terms of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-21 Alexander Bystrov , Nadezhda Volodko

Given a $k$-node pattern graph $H$ and an $n$-node host graph $G$, the subgraph counting problem asks to compute the number of copies of $H$ in $G$. In this work we address the following question: can we count the copies of $H$ faster if…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Marco Bressan

For a fixed infinite graph $H$, we study the largest density of a monochromatic subgraph isomorphic to $H$ that can be found in every two-coloring of the edges of $K_{\mathbb{N}}$. This is called the Ramsey upper density of $H$, and was…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-03-16 Ander Lamaison

We study the following generalization of the Tur\'an problem in sparse random graphs. Given graphs $T$ and $H$, let $\mathrm{ex}\big(G(n,p), T, H\big)$ be the random variable that counts the largest number of copies of $T$ in a subgraph of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Wojciech Samotij , Clara Shikhelman

We consider the probability that a weighted sum of $n$ i.i.d. random variables $X_j$, $j = 1, . . ., n$, with stretched exponential tails is larger than its expectation and determine the rate of its decay, under suitable conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Nina Gantert , Kavita Ramanan , Franz Rembart