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A probabilistic framework is introduced that represents stylized banking networks and aims to predict the size of contagion events. In contrast to previous work on random financial networks, which assumes independent connections between…
Community structure is common in many real networks, with nodes clustered in groups sharing the same connections patterns. While many community detection methods have been developed for networks with binary edges, few of them are applicable…
The presence of erratic or unstable paths in standard kinetic Monte Carlo simulations significantly undermines the accurate simulation and sampling of transition pathways. While typically reliable methods, such as the Gillespie algorithm,…
Modeling networks can serve as a means of summarizing high-dimensional complex systems. Adapting an approach devised for dense, weighted networks, we propose a new method for generating and estimating unweighted networks. This approach can…
This paper establishes the almost sure convergence and asymptotic normality of levels and differenced quasi maximum-likelihood (QML) estimators of dynamic panel data models. The QML estimators are robust with respect to initial conditions,…
Seemingly unrelated linear regression models are introduced in which the distribution of the errors is a finite mixture of Gaussian components. Identifiability conditions are provided. The score vector and the Hessian matrix are derived.…
We study low-rank matrix regression in settings where matrix-valued predictors and scalar responses are observed across multiple individuals. Rather than assuming a fully homogeneous coefficient matrices across individuals, we accommodate…
With the rapid advancement of information technology and data collection systems, large-scale spatial panel data presents new methodological and computational challenges. This paper introduces a dynamic spatial panel quantile model that…
This letter examines the controllability of consensus dynamics on matrix-weighed networks from a graph-theoretic perspective. Unlike the scalar-weighted networks, the rank of weight matrix introduces additional intricacies into…
This paper develops a new model and estimation procedure for panel data that allows us to identify heterogeneous structural breaks. We model individual heterogeneity using a grouped pattern. For each group, we allow common structural breaks…
Statistical inference using pairwise comparison data is an effective approach to analyzing large-scale sparse networks. In this paper, we propose a general framework to model the mutual interactions in a network, which enjoys ample…
Assessing sensitivity to unmeasured confounding is an important step in observational studies, which typically estimate effects under the assumption that all confounders are measured. In this paper, we develop a sensitivity analysis…
Constrained approaches to maximum likelihood estimation in the context of finite mixtures of normals have been presented in the literature. A fully data-dependent constrained method for maximum likelihood estimation of clusterwise linear…
We derive asymptotic properties of penalized estimators for singular models for which identifiability may break and the true parameter values can lie on the boundary of the parameter space. Selection consistency of the estimators is also…
In this article we focus on dynamic network data which describe interactions among a fixed population through time. We model this data using the latent space framework, in which the probability of a connection forming is expressed as a…
The quickest change detection problem is considered in the context of monitoring large-scale independent normal distributed data streams with possible changes in some of the means. It is assumed that for each individual local data stream,…
Linear model prediction with a large number of potential predictors is both statistically and computationally challenging. The traditional approaches are largely based on shrinkage selection/estimation methods, which are applicable even…
Causal effect estimation in networked systems is central to data-driven decision making. In such settings, interventions on one unit can spill over to others, and in complex physical or social systems, the interaction pathways driving these…
Although the interest in the the use of social and information networks has grown, most inferences on networks assume the data collected represents the complete. However, when ignoring missing data, even when missing completely at random,…
We study the problem of detecting a common change point in large panel data based on a mean shift model, wherein the errors exhibit both temporal and cross-sectional dependence. A least squares based procedure is used to estimate the…