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We study consistency properties of machine learning methods based on minimizing convex surrogates. We extend the recent framework of Osokin et al. (2017) for the quantitative analysis of consistency properties to the case of inconsistent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-10 Kirill Struminsky , Simon Lacoste-Julien , Anton Osokin

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo is a widely used algorithm for sampling from posterior distributions of complex Bayesian models. It can efficiently explore high-dimensional parameter spaces guided by simulated Hamiltonian flows. However, the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-29 Lingge Li , Andrew Holbrook , Babak Shahbaba , Pierre Baldi

We consider a class of stochastic programming problems where the implicitly decision-dependent random variable follows a nonparametric regression model with heteroscedastic error. The Clarke subdifferential and surrogate functions are not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Boyang Shen , Junyi Liu

The work focuses on gathering high-fidelity and low-fidelity numerical simulations data using Nektar++ (Solver based on Applied Mathematics) and XFOIL respectively. The utilization of the higher polynomial distribution in calculating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Swapnil Kumar

Slurry transportation via pipelines is essential for global industries, offering efficiency and environmental benefits. Specifically, the precise calibration of physical parameters for transporting raw phosphate material to fertilizer…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-06-13 Marwane Elkarii , Radouan Boukharfane , Nabil El Moçayd

We consider a multiphysics system with multiple component models coupled together through network coupling interfaces, i.e., a handful of scalars. If each component model contains uncertainties represented by a set of parameters, a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-07-28 Paul G. Constantine , Eric T. Phipps , Timothy M. Wildey

Large-scale numerical simulations are used across many scientific disciplines to facilitate experimental development and provide insights into underlying physical processes, but they come with a significant computational cost. Deep neural…

Stress and material deformation field predictions are among the most important tasks in computational mechanics. These predictions are typically made by solving the governing equations of continuum mechanics using finite element analysis,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-24 George D. Pasparakis , Lori Graham-Brady , Michael D. Shields

Building robust, interpretable, and secure AI system requires quantifying and representing uncertainty under a probabilistic perspective to mimic human cognitive abilities. However, probabilistic computation presents significant challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-15 Hengyuan Ma , Yang Qi , Li Zhang , Wenlian Lu , Jianfeng Feng

Monte Carlo (MC) sampling is a popular method for estimating the statistics (e.g. expectation and variance) of a random variable. Its slow convergence has led to the emergence of advanced techniques to reduce the variance of the MC…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Mohamed Reda El Amri , Paul Mycek , Sophie Ricci , Matthias De Lozzo

Surrogate modeling for systems with high-dimensional quantities of interest remains challenging, particularly when training data are costly to acquire. This work develops multifidelity methods for multiple-input multiple-output linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Vignesh Sella , Julie Pham , Karen Willcox , Anirban Chaudhuri

Uncertainty quantification plays an important role in achieving trustworthy and reliable learning-based computational imaging. Recent advances in generative modeling and Bayesian neural networks have enabled the development of…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Canberk Ekmekci , Mujdat Cetin

Accurately modelling the Earth's climate has widespread applications ranging from forecasting local weather to understanding global climate change. Low-fidelity simulations of climate phenomena are readily available, but high-fidelity…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-09-17 Ben Hudson , Frederik Nijweide , Isaac Sebenius

Two-stage stochastic programming is a popular framework for optimization under uncertainty, where decision variables are split between first-stage decisions, and second-stage (or recourse) decisions, with the latter being adjusted after…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-19 Antonio Alcántara , Carlos Ruiz , Calvin Tsay

The paper addresses Bayesian inferences in inverse problems with uncertainty quantification involving a computationally expensive forward map associated with solving a partial differential equations. To mitigate the computational cost, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-18 A. Galaviz , J. A. Christen , A. Capella

The estimation of unknown values of parameters (or hidden variables, control variables) that characterise a physical system often relies on the comparison of measured data with synthetic data produced by some numerical simulator of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson

We introduce inherent measures for effective quality control of brain segmentation based on a Bayesian fully convolutional neural network, using model uncertainty. Monte Carlo samples from the posterior distribution are efficiently…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-06-11 Abhijit Guha Roy , Sailesh Conjeti , Nassir Navab , Christian Wachinger

Large Language Models have emerged as prime candidates to tackle misinformation mitigation. However, existing approaches struggle with hallucinations and overconfident predictions. We propose an uncertainty quantification framework that…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-01 Mauricio Rivera , Jean-François Godbout , Reihaneh Rabbany , Kellin Pelrine

Traditionally, the field of computational Bayesian statistics has been divided into two main subfields: variational methods and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). In recent years, however, several methods have been proposed based on combining…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-19 Cheng Zhang , Babak Shahbaba , Hongkai Zhao

Understanding decisions made by neural networks is key for the deployment of intelligent systems in real world applications. However, the opaque decision making process of these systems is a disadvantage where interpretability is essential.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Kai Fischer , Jonas Schneider
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