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The challenges for non-intrusive methods for Polynomial Chaos modeling lie in the computational efficiency and accuracy under a limited number of model simulations. These challenges can be addressed by enforcing sparsity in the series…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-24 Panagiotis Tsilifis , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub , Fabio Nobile

This paper introduces Tree-based Polynomial Chaos Expansion (Tree-PCE), a novel surrogate modeling technique designed to efficiently approximate complex numerical models exhibiting nonlinearities and discontinuities. Tree-PCE combines the…

We propose a non-intrusive reduced-order modeling method based on proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) and polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) for stochastic representations in uncertainty quantification (UQ) analysis. Firstly, POD provides…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-07-02 Xiang Sun , Xiaomin Pan , Jung-Il Choi

Increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events motivates the assessment of power system resilience. The random nature of power system failures during these events mandates probabilistic resilience assessment, but…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-05 Aidan Gerkis , Xiaozhe Wang

In the field of uncertainty quantification, sparse polynomial chaos (PC) expansions are commonly used by researchers for a variety of purposes, such as surrogate modeling. Ideas from compressed sensing may be employed to exploit this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-09 Paul Diaz , Alireza Doostan , Jerrad Hampton

Principal Component Analysis (PCA) minimizes the reconstruction error given a class of linear models of fixed component dimensionality. Probabilistic PCA adds a probabilistic structure by learning the probability distribution of the PCA…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Vanessa Böhm , Uroš Seljak

Uncertainty quantification seeks to provide a quantitative means to understand complex systems that are impacted by parametric uncertainty. The polynomial chaos method is a computational approach to solve stochastic partial differential…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-27 Melvin Leok , Gautam Wilkins

We present a new approach for constructing a data-driven surrogate model and using it for Bayesian parameter estimation in partial differential equation (PDE) models. We first use parameter observations and Gaussian Process regression to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Jing Li , Alexandre M Tartakovsky

This paper presents a method for performing Uncertainty Quantification in high-dimensional uncertain spaces by combining arbitrary polynomial chaos with a recently proposed scheme for sensitivity enhancement (1). Including available…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-09 Nick Pepper , Francesco Montomoli , Kyriakos Kantarakias

In this paper we present a basis selection method that can be used with $\ell_1$-minimization to adaptively determine the large coefficients of polynomial chaos expansions (PCE). The adaptive construction produces anisotropic basis sets…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2015-06-22 John D. Jakeman , Michael S. Eldred , Khachik Sargsyan

We apply the Tensor Train (TT) approximation to construct the Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) of a random field, and solve the stochastic elliptic diffusion PDE with the stochastic Galerkin discretization. We compare two strategies of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-06-12 Sergey Dolgov , Boris N. Khoromskij , Alexander Litvinenko , Hermann G. Matthies

This work is directed to uncertainty quantification of homogenized effective properties for composite materials with complex, three dimensional microstructure. The uncertainties arise in the material parameters of the single constituents as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Alexander Henkes , Ismail Caylak , Rolf Mahnken

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a well-established method commonly used to explore and visualise data. A classical PCA model is the fixed effect model where data are generated as a fixed structure of low rank corrupted by noise. Under…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-13 Marie Verbanck , Julie Josse , François Husson

For a large class of orthogonal basis functions, there has been a recent identification of expansion methods for computing accurate, stable approximations of a quantity of interest. This paper presents, within the context of uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-13 Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan

Accurate modeling of radio wave propagation over irregular terrains is crucial for designing reliable wireless communication systems in such environments, yet uncertainties in the antenna configuration are not quantified within…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-04 Sicheng An , Luca Di Rienzo , Hao Qin , Xingqi Zhang , Lorenzo Codecasa

Constructing surrogate models for uncertainty quantification (UQ) on complex partial differential equations (PDEs) having inherently high-dimensional $\mathcal{O}(10^{\ge 2})$ stochastic inputs (e.g., forcing terms, boundary conditions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Katiana Kontolati , Dimitrios Loukrezis , Dimitris G. Giovanis , Lohit Vandanapu , Michael D. Shields

We apply the Tensor Train (TT) decomposition to construct the tensor product Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) of a random field, to solve the stochastic elliptic diffusion PDE with the stochastic Galerkin discretization, and to compute some…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-12 Sergey Dolgov , Boris N. Khoromskij , Alexander Litvinenko , Hermann G. Matthies

As non-institutive polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) techniques have gained growing popularity among researchers, we here provide a comprehensive review of major sampling strategies for the least squares based PCE. Traditional sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2018-02-14 Mohammad Hadigol , Alireza Doostan

Computational inverse problems for biomedical simulators suffer from limited data and relatively high parameter dimensionality. This often requires sensitivity analysis, where parameters of the model are ranked based on their influence on…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-06 Mitchel J. Colebank

To explain the decision of any model, we extend the notion of probabilistic Sufficient Explanations (P-SE). For each instance, this approach selects the minimal subset of features that is sufficient to yield the same prediction with high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-17 Salim I. Amoukou , Nicolas J. B Brunel